Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor Prediction: 25.05.2025 Süper Lig 2024/25 Preview

The Süper Lig 2024/25 regular season is rapidly approaching its climax, and this encounter between Trabzonspor and Samsunspor stands as one of the most intriguing ties of the round. Both sides find themselves with plenty to play for — Samsunspor, the season’s impressive third-place upstart, continues to punch above their historical weight, while Trabzonspor, a storied club still seeking consistency, aims to reassert their credentials at home under Fatih Tekke. With tactical tweaks and subtle shifts in both camps, this meeting could provide vital clues for bettors and fans alike.

Ones to watch here include Danylo Sikan for Trabzonspor, who’s netted three goals in his last five appearances and offers an attacking impetus that can be decisive at key moments. For Samsunspor, striker Landry Dimata’s electric form (four goals in just three recent appearances) marks him out as a potential game-changer, especially given his knack for finding space against compact defenses.

Hot stat: Samsunspor boasts an eye-catching 75% win rate over the past 30 days with three wins from four matches, underscoring their current momentum even in high-pressure situations.

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Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor prediction

The value in this fixture leans toward a closely fought contest where recent form and attacking edge tip the scales. Samsunspor’s confident run, highlighted by Dimata and their effective 4-2-3-1 setup, faces a Trabzonspor squad adept at controlling play (averaging more passes and higher accuracy in their recent outings). However, Trabzonspor’s defensive vulnerabilities (notably conceding three goals in their last meeting with Galatasaray and drawing with Bodrumspor) have hampered their ability to convert possession into dominance.

From a betting perspective, the Asian Handicap on Samsunspor (+0.5) represents notable value because even a draw delivers a win on this line, and with Samsunspor’s dynamic attack and confidence on the road, they look good to take at least a point. Expect goals: both teams average just over a goal per game in their previous five games, and with a combined 12 goals across their last ten collective matches, the over 2.5 market has strong appeal. Both teams to score (BTTS – Yes) is another solid play, given their respective defensive lapses and offensive talents.

Disciplinary trends indicate a relatively controlled contest; while Trabzonspor racks up more yellow cards (10 in the last five), both teams average just over six fouls per game. Samsunspor has a slight edge in set-piece conversion, but Trabzonspor (especially via Zubkov and Nwakaeme) can threaten from wide positions and on transitions. Expect midfield battles with plenty of turnovers, given both squads’ recent interception figures.

Team Analysis

Trabzonspor’s recent run has been a mixed bag. In their last five: two draws (Bodrumspor 1-1, Kasimpasa 1-1), two defeats to Galatasaray (0-2, 0-3), and a narrow 4-3 victory against Alanyaspor. Their offense is productive—driven by Sikan (3 goals) and Zubkov (1 goal, 1 assist over last five)—but they struggle to maintain structure when faced with aggressive opposition, as shown by conceding quick goals in big matches. Defensively, yellow cards and turnovers highlight discipline and concentration issues, which Fatih Tekke’s men need to address to hold firm at home.

Samsunspor heads into this clash boasting three wins in their last four. Their 3-0 away win against Eyupspor and the hard-fought 2-1 win over Bodrumspor demonstrate their attacking flexibility and resilience. Landry Dimata’s purple patch (four recent goals) marries well with Olivier Ntcham’s orchestrating role in midfield. Their only recent blemish is a narrow 0-1 loss to Alanyaspor, but defensively, they’ve kept two clean sheets in the last three, with Kocuk reliable in goal. Reis’ 4-2-3-1 formation lends solidity and allows for pacey transitions, making them a consistent threat.

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🚨Read our full Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Trabzonspor the favourite

• Moneyline Trabzonspor 2.09 | Samsunspor 3.25
• Draw 3.60
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.95 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.73 | No 2.05

Bookmakers narrowly favor the hosts, Trabzonspor, driven predominantly by their historical stature and home advantage, but the odds show respect to Samsunspor’s surge. With Trabzonspor struggling for consistency and Samsunspor performing above expectations, the probability gap is narrower than usual. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS (Yes) lines are set at moderate values, reflecting both sides’ recent attacking success and occasional defensive lapses. The draw hovers around 3.60, underscoring expectations for a tight, competitive fixture rather than outright dominance.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Trabzonspor possible starting eleven

• GK: Muhammet Taha Tepe
• DF: Pedro Jorge Gonçalves Malheiro, A. Boşluk, Arseniy Batagov, Mustafa Eskihellaç
• MF: Okay Yokuşlu, John Lundstram, Ozan Tufan, Oleksandr Zubkov, Anthony Nwakaeme
• FW: Danylo Sikan

Based on recent statistics and lineup frequency, Fatih Tekke is likely to continue with the 4-1-4-1, anchoring Tepe in goal, while Malheiro and Eskihellaç provide width and overlapping support from full-back positions. Yokuşlu shields the defense, allowing Lundstram and Tufan to circulate possession, with Zubkov and Nwakaeme doing damage in the wide areas behind Sikan. Zubkov’s dual threat of goals and assists merits specific attention for creative impact.

Samsunspor possible starting eleven

• GK: Okan Kocuk
• DF: Zeki Yavru, Marc Bola, Rick Van Drongelen, Ľubomír Šatka
• MF: Olivier Ntcham, Emre Kılınç, Celil Yüksel, Carlo Holse, Kingsley Schindler
• FW: Landry Dimata

Reis’s adherence to a flexible 4-2-3-1 sees Kocuk remain a safe pair of hands, with a defense offering both mobility (Marc Bola) and aerial presence (Van Drongelen, Šatka). Ntcham dictates tempo with Yüksel supporting in a box-to-box role. The attacking midfield trio brings dynamism, while Dimata’s sharp finishing offers the consistent cutting edge. Watch for Kılınç linking midfield to attack, as his creativity has boosted Samsunspor’s goal numbers recently.

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My take on the Match

My main pick for this match is Samsunspor +0.5 (Asian Handicap), complementing a likely high-scoring affair. Both teams pride themselves on front-foot football but have shown defensive frailties that attacking units can exploit. Samsunspor’s recent run and lethal forward line make them unlikely to leave empty-handed, even on hostile territory. Trabzonspor’s inconsistent back line suggests goals at both ends, and while they have home advantage, Samsunspor carries enough form and tactical discipline to avoid defeat. Expect excitement and open play, with at least three goals and both teams finding the net.

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