Trabzonspor vs Rizespor Prediction: 14.03.2026 Süper Lig

This pivotal Süper Lig encounter sees Trabzonspor welcome Rizespor to the Medical Park Arena, with both sides striving for crucial points as the season intensifies. While Trabzonspor are firmly in the race for a Champions League spot, Rizespor are seeking to climb into the top half, adding extra edge to this Black Sea derby. With both teams operating in a 4-2-3-1 setup, individual matchups in midfield and attack will be key.

Among the players to watch, Trabzonspor’s Paul Onuachu stands out with six goals in his last five matches, while Rizespor’s Valentin Mihăilă—both a creator and scorer—brings dynamism to Rizespor’s front line. An interesting sub-plot will be the tactical battle between coaches Fatih Tekke and Recep Uçar, who have crafted distinct yet competitive squads.

“Hot stat”: Trabzonspor have netted 14 goals in their latest five matches – an impressive attacking output that should put Rizespor’s defense on high alert.

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Trabzonspor vs Rizespor prediction

Given Trabzonspor’s red-hot form and attacking prowess, the home side enters this fixture as clear favourites. Their front line, spearheaded by the prolific Paul Onuachu, has consistently broken down opposition, while their midfield has shown excellent transitional play. In contrast, Rizespor’s away form has been inconsistent, and they’ve struggled for clean sheets, especially against high-ranking sides.

Statistically, Trabzonspor’s higher possession numbers and disciplinary solidity—they’ve received fewer yellow cards (8 vs. 11) than Rizespor in the last five matches—suggest they can dictate tempo without sacrificing control. However, Rizespor’s ability to force turnovers (48 interceptions last five, versus Trabzonspor’s 35) makes them dangerous on the break. Expect Trabzonspor to dominate possession and shots, but Rizespor won’t be without chances, especially through their mobile forwards.

Team Analysis

Trabzonspor come into this match off a 3-1 away win at Kayserispor, confirming their clinical edge up front. Their latest five matches yielded four wins and just one loss, with a total of 14 goals scored. Midfield dynamism from Ozan Tufan and creativity from Ernest Muci have provided the service for Onuachu, while the backline—anchored by Stefan Savić and Arseniy Batagov—has shown resilience under pressure. Their only recent defeat came in a close-fought contest with title challengers Fenerbahce.

Rizespor, meanwhile, secured a gritty 1-0 win over Antalyaspor in their last outing, bouncing back from a 1-4 home defeat against Besiktas. Their form across the last six is mixed: three wins and two defeats, but also some dogged draws. Mihăilă has been pivotal, combining with Adedire Mebude and Qazim Laci to add spark in the final third, while Mithat Pala’s surges from defense offer additional threat. However, defensive lapses remain an issue, evidenced by 35 goals conceded in 25 league games.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Trabzonspor vs Rizespor stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Trabzonspor the favourite

• Moneyline Trabzonspor 1.72 | Rizespor 4.50
• Draw 3.93
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.88 | Under 2.5 1.92
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.72 | No 2.14

Looking at these odds, bookmakers clearly favour Trabzonspor. The home win offers little value at 1.72 but strongly reflects their superior league position, recent form, and attacking firepower. The draw is a riskier play, with Rizespor’s inconsistency making it unlikely. There’s value in both the over 2.5 goals market and both teams to score, given Rizespor’s tendency to concede paired with their counter-attacking capability.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Trabzonspor possible starting eleven

Trabzonspor are expected to stick with their trusted 4-2-3-1, featuring the prolific Onuachu up front. Their midfield blend of Tufan’s creativity and Yokuşlu’s control will be vital in retaining possession. Nwakaeme and Augusto offer width and directness, while Savic and Batagov provide a reliable backbone. Keep an eye on Onuachu, whose recent finishing has been top-tier.

Rizespor possible starting eleven

Rizespor are also likely to set up in a 4-2-3-1, relying on the pace and creativity of Mihăilă and Mebude to exploit space on the flanks. Defensive organization has been an issue, but the combination of Pala and Akaydin brings physicality. Dervisoglu will be the primary goal threat, supported by Laci’s late runs and passing vision.

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My take on the Match

With both tactical analysis and recent stats in mind, my clear pick is for Trabzonspor to secure a home victory, likely by a margin of two or more goals. Their offensive structure, as well as consistent performance against mid-table opposition, make them the superior side. Rizespor’s defensive frailties—highlighted by the number of goals and shots conceded—make them vulnerable, especially on the road. If Rizespor do get on the scoresheet, expect it to come from a direct counter or set-piece scenario.

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