Liam Duckstein
TPS Turku host KuPs at Veritas Stadium in Turku on June 17 in a Veikkausliiga clash that has real table implications. KuPs sit third in the standings with 21 points from 12 games, while TPS are fifth with 15 points from just 10 matches. That games-in-hand gap means TPS are not mathematically far behind, but their current form tells a different story.
KuPs midfielder Otto Ruoppi has been quietly influential in recent weeks, contributing a goal and showing disciplined defensive work across three appearances. For TPS, Matej Hradecky anchors the backline with consistent passing volume and the most interceptions among the home defenders, making him the player most likely to either neutralize or be overrun by KuPs’ attack.
Hot stat: KuPs registered 46 total shots across their last five matches compared to TPS’s 27, and they also dominated corners 23 to 7. That level of territorial pressure will be difficult for a TPS side that has lost four of its last five games to absorb.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Veikkausliiga 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Veritas Stadium, Turku |
| 🗓️ Date: | 17.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:00 CEST |
TPS Turku vs KuPs Prediction
KuPs are the clear pick here. They are unbeaten in their last seven matches, winning three and drawing four, while TPS have lost four of their last five. The bookmakers reflect this with KuPs priced as heavy favorites, and the stats back that up completely.
TPS have scored just two goals across their last five matches. Their pass accuracy sits at 760 out of 977 attempted passes, which is noticeably lower than KuPs’ 1107 from 1322. That gap in ball control matters when playing a side that moves the ball with intention and creates volume in the final third.
KuPs commit fouls at a similar rate to TPS (41 vs 40 in five matches), but they carry a red card from that period, so there is some discipline concern. Their yellow card count (6) is lower than TPS’s (8), suggesting TPS players have been more reactive under pressure.
We predict KuPs to win this match. Playing against a TPS side that has failed to score in three of their last five games, a KuPs clean sheet is also a realistic outcome worth considering.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | KuPs Clean Sheet – Yes |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
TPS Turku have been in poor shape heading into this fixture. They lost to Ilves twice (0-1 each time), dropped points against Inter Turku (1-2), and fell to AC Oulu (0-1). Their only win in the last five came against VPS (1-0). Ivan Piñol’s side is struggling to find the net and has been leaking goals against sides they should be competing with.
Their last match, a 0-1 defeat to Ilves at home, summed up the current situation. Elmo Henriksson made 16 saves across three recent appearances, which indicates TPS are facing consistent pressure and relying heavily on their goalkeeper to stay in games. That is not a sustainable position.
KuPs have been solid across their last five matches. They beat Lahti 2-1 and JaPS 1-0, then drew with Inter Turku, and split two fixtures against VPS with a draw and a goalless result. Miika Nuutinen’s side is not blowing teams away, but they are grinding results and staying unbeaten.
Their most recent match, a 1-1 draw with VPS, showed KuPs’ consistency. Jaime Moreno leads the attack with two goals across recent appearances, while Brahima Magassa has also contributed a goal from defense. KuPs generate chances at a high rate and their 23 corners in five matches shows they create sustained pressure from wide areas.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | TPS Turku | KuPs |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 4 |
| Total shots | 27 | 46 |
| Free kicks | 40 | 38 |
| Corner kicks | 7 | 23 |
| Total fouls | 40 | 41 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 78% | 84% |
| Interceptions | 27 | 16 |
| Offsides | 0 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated TPS Turku vs KuPs stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: KuPs the Favourite
- Moneyline TPS Turku 5.00-5.10 | KuPs 1.53-1.64
- Draw 3.60-3.85
KuPs at 1.53 to 1.64 reflects the reality of the situation. TPS are struggling to score, and KuPs have been unbeaten for seven straight. The draw at 3.60 to 3.85 is only worth a look if you believe TPS can grind out a low-block defensive performance, which their recent results do not support. The value, to be honest, sits with KuPs and the “No” on BTTS given TPS’s attacking output has been almost non-existent lately.
Possible Starting Lineups
TPS Turku Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Elmo Henriksson
- DF: Tobias Karkulowski, Matej Hradecky, Oscar Häggström, Atte Sihvonen
- MF: Timo Zaal, Lasse Ikonen, Marius Konkkola
- FW: Luke Ivanovic, Elmer Vauhkonen, Albijon Muzaci
TPS have been consistent in their 4-3-3 shape across recent matches. Elmo Henriksson starts in goal and has been one of the busiest goalkeepers in the league lately. Matej Hradecky is the most active defender in terms of passing and interceptions and will need a strong performance to handle KuPs’ front line. Lasse Ikonen is TPS’s best attacking threat from midfield, having scored once in three recent appearances. Elmer Vauhkonen, who has six shots across three matches, is the most active forward and will need to create something against a defensively organized KuPs side.
KuPs Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Johannes Kreidl
- DF: Clinton Antwi, Arttu Lötjönen, Bob Nii Armah, Brahima Magassa
- MF: Valentin Gasc, Petteri Pennanen, Otto Ruoppi
- FW: Gustav Engvall, Jaime Moreno, Joslyn Lutumba Luyeye
KuPs line up in their preferred 4-2-3-1 shape with Johannes Kreidl in goal. Arttu Lötjönen leads the team in passing volume with 200 passes across three matches, setting the tempo from the back. Valentin Gasc has been disciplined in midfield with four interceptions and solid passing accuracy. Up front, Jaime Moreno is the danger man with two goals and eight total shots in recent games. Gustav Engvall adds width and seven shots of his own, making KuPs’ front three a genuine problem for TPS’s defense.
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KuPs. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
KuPs are the better side on every measurable stat right now. They shoot more, pass more accurately, win more corners, and have not lost in seven matches. TPS have scored just two goals in five games and are leaking results against mid-table opposition.
We predict a KuPs win, most likely by a single goal in a controlled, low-scoring match. TPS will work hard defensively, as their 27 interceptions in five games shows they do try to disrupt play, but KuPs’ volume of shots and corner pressure will likely be too much to contain for the full 90 minutes. Our tip is KuPs to win with a clean sheet, and we back Under 2.5 goals as the total goals market pick given both sides’ recent scoring patterns.
