Tottenham vs Everton Prediction: 12.09.2026 English Premier League 2026/27 Preview

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Roberto De Zerbi walks into this one under real pressure. Tottenham sit rock bottom of the Premier League table after three rounds, without a single win and without a single goal scored in the league so far this season. Everton, meanwhile, arrive at N17 in a much brighter mood under David Moyes, sitting sixth with five points from three matches and an attack that has already found the net five times.

The interesting wrinkle here is history versus current form. Tottenham have won three of the last four head to head meetings between these clubs, often quite comfortably. This time around the table tells a different story, and we predict the form line matters more than the recent rivalry record on this occasion.

Two names deserve attention before kickoff. Dominic Solanke remains Spurs’ most direct route to goal and his movement in the box will be the one thing De Zerbi leans on if his side is going to break its scoring drought. On the other side, Thierno Barry has been Everton’s standout attacker, and his form alone could decide this fixture.

Hot stat: Barry has scored four of Everton’s nine goals across their last five matches, meaning almost half of the team’s entire recent output has come from one player’s boots.

Tottenham vs Everton prediction

Our pick for value here leans toward Everton avoiding defeat. Tottenham have not scored a single Premier League goal this term, sit 18th with just one point, and carry a minus five goal difference into a home fixture that on paper should suit them. That gap between reputation and reality is exactly why we like backing Everton’s double chance rather than an outright away win.

Style-wise, Tottenham have committed 56 fouls across their last five matches, roughly 11 per game, a fairly high number that suggests a side under stress and often chasing the ball. Everton have been noticeably tidier defensively with 32 fouls in the same span, closer to six per game. Passing numbers back this up too. Tottenham complete around 88% of their attempts, Everton sit near 86%, a narrow gap that shows neither side dominates territory by a wide margin. Given Tottenham’s struggles in the final third, we expect a cagey, low-event match rather than a shootout.

Team Analysis

Tottenham’s most recent output makes for grim reading. Their last competitive match ended 0-0 against Nottingham Forest, continuing a run where they simply cannot find the net domestically. Before that came a 0-2 defeat to Newcastle and a heavy 0-3 loss at Brentford. There was a 5-1 win over Charlton and a 2-2 draw with Hoffenheim mixed in, but those results came against considerably weaker opposition and do little to mask the league form. De Zerbi’s side looks short of confidence, short of goals, and short of answers right now.

Everton’s picture is far more encouraging. Their last outing produced a 2-2 draw against Manchester United, a result that extended an unbeaten stretch. Before that, Moyes’ side drew 1-1 with Bournemouth, thrashed Preston 4-0, beat Crystal Palace 2-0, and drew 1-1 with Lille. Across the last thirty days Everton have won three of seven matches for a 43% winrate, notably better than Tottenham’s 29% in the same window. The consistency, paired with Barry’s scoring form, gives Everton a platform to be competitive away from home.

🚨Check out our dedicated Tottenham vs Everton stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Tottenham the favourite

• Moneyline Tottenham 1.96 | Everton 3.60
• Draw 3.60

Bookmakers still price Tottenham as favourites with roughly 47% implied win probability against Everton’s 27%, largely on reputation and home advantage. We think that gap is a touch generous toward the hosts given their current goal drought. The draw price sitting close to Everton’s own odds suggests the market itself is not fully convinced Spurs can turn a corner in a single week, which supports our lean toward the double chance angle rather than a straight home win.

Possible Starting Lineups

Kinsky has taken over as the preferred stopper based on recent minutes and shot-stopping numbers. The back four blends Porro’s attacking outlet on the right with the Van de Ven and Van Hecke central pairing, both of whom have logged heavy minutes lately. Bentancur and Fernandes give the double pivot some ball-carrying quality, while Bergvall and Maddison support Solanke, who remains the focal point of everything Tottenham try to build in a 4-2-3-1 shape. Solanke’s movement is the one thing to watch closely if Spurs are to finally break their scoring silence.

Pickford remains an automatic pick given his minutes and save numbers this season. Tarkowski and Keane continue their long-standing central partnership, with Branthwaite and Mykolenko covering the flanks in a settled 4-2-3-1. Garner and Röhl offer steady coverage in midfield, freeing Dewsbury-Hall and Armstrong to link play toward Barry, who has been the sharpest finisher on either team heading into this fixture.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict Everton leave north London with at least a point. Tottenham’s inability to score in the league this season is too glaring a weakness to ignore, and Everton’s defensive shape combined with Barry’s sharp finishing gives them a real route to a positive result. Our own read is that this ends as a tight, low-scoring affair, perhaps a single-goal Everton win or a draw where both sides cancel each other out defensively. Backing the double chance for the visitors, alongside under 2.5 goals, feels like the most sensible way to approach this fixture.

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