Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Prediction: 05.03.2026 English Premier League

As the English Premier League regular season enters its crucial stages, Tottenham Hotspur host Crystal Palace at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on March 5, 2026. This London derby offers plenty at stake, with both teams fighting to climb the mid-table and avoid being dragged into the relegation mix. Tottenham, winless in their last five matches, will look to reverse their form, while Crystal Palace, under Oliver Glasner, have shown signs of resilience and opportunism, particularly away from home.

Fans should keep an eye on Tottenham’s dynamic midfielder Xavi Simons, whose creative spark is essential in unlocking defences, and Palace striker Evann Guessand, who leads their scoring charts over recent outings. In goal, both Guglielmo Vicario (Tottenham) and Dean Henderson (Palace) have been busy, and their performances could prove decisive in what is expected to be a tightly contested fixture.

The “hot stat” going into this encounter: Crystal Palace have netted 7 goals in their last 5 matches, more than double Tottenham’s tally in the same period, highlighting a clear attacking resurgence for the Eagles.

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Tottenham vs Crystal Palace prediction

Considering the betting landscape and recent form, the best value lies in backing Crystal Palace on the Asian Handicap (+0.5). The visitors have been more productive in front of goal and sharper defensively, while Tottenham’s struggles in all zones have led to a concerning run without a win in their last five matches. Palace’s compact 3-4-2-1 formation allows them to counter efficiently, while Tottenham, in Igor Tudor’s preferred 4-2-3-1, have lacked both fluency and defensive security.

Looking closer at team styles: Tottenham average 10 yellow cards in their last five, suggesting discipline issues, while Palace’s 13 yellows show the combative nature of this matchup. Tottenham’s passing (1141 passes, 57% accuracy) underlines their directness, whereas Palace’s 2191 passes at 65% accuracy point to a more controlled approach. With fouls committed (Tottenham 57, Palace 65), expect physicality to play a key role – potentially disrupting any flow and increasing the likelihood of set-piece chances.

Team Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur: Tottenham’s recent run is a cause for concern, with four losses and a draw in their last five league matches. Their attack has been lacklustre – registering just 3 goals, and defensive lapses have left them exposed, conceding 12 in the same period. Their last match, a 1-2 loss to Fulham, summarized current issues: despite a promising start and decent possession, Tottenham failed to convert chances and were vulnerable on the break. Creativity remains a problem, and the defensive partnership of van de Ven and Drăguşin struggled for cohesion.

Crystal Palace: Palace’s form, while not spectacular, is trending positively. They’ve avoided defeat in four of their last five, winning twice and drawing twice. Their latest fixture, a 1-2 loss to Manchester United, was competitive; the Eagles matched United for long stretches but were undone by moments of individual brilliance. The standout has been their increased goal output—seven in their last five, buoyed by forwards Guessand and Strand Larsen. Palace’s midfield, marshaled by Adam Wharton, has improved in terms of both ball recovery and transition play, providing a solid base for quick attacks.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Tottenham vs Crystal Palace stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Tottenham the favourite

• Moneyline Tottenham 2.38 | Crystal Palace 3.10
• Draw 3.30
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.01 | Under 2.5 1.82
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.87

The bookmakers rank Tottenham as slight favourites, but the difference is modest – reflecting the sides’ close form and recent head-to-head records. Tottenham’s home advantage is factored in, but Palace’s stronger recent results and attacking stats offer significant value at their odds. The market leans toward a tight, low-scoring game, which fits both sides’ recent struggles to control games and convert chances efficiently.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Tottenham possible starting eleven

Expect Igor Tudor to stick to his preferred 4-2-3-1, deploying Vicario in goal and van de Ven partnering Drăguşin at the back. Archie Gray and Pedro Porro add width and support for overlapping attacks. In midfield, the duo of Bissouma and Sarr will aim to control the tempo, with creative responsibilities falling to Xavi Simons. Kolo Muani leads the line and remains a key threat in transition, while Gallagher, Palhinha, and Simons provide versatility and pressing from advanced positions.

Crystal Palace possible starting eleven

Crystal Palace are expected to utilize their successful 3-4-2-1 formation. Henderson should start in goal, with defensive stalwarts Mitchell, Richards, and Muñoz forming a sturdy trio. The midfield, anchored by Wharton and Kamada, is supported by wing-backs Sarr and Canvot. Forward roles are likely filled by Larsen, Guessand, and Johnson – all capable of quick transitions and pressing high. Watch for Guessand’s movement in the final third and Wharton’s tenacity in midfield to drive Palace’s efforts.

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The Verdict

Given Tottenham’s poor form, their lack of attacking fluency, and Crystal Palace’s superior offensive returns in recent weeks, this match sets up well for the visitors to avoid defeat. Palace’s organization, combined with the cutting edge from the likes of Guessand and the creativity of Wharton, should see them come away with at least a draw. Tottenham must be more clinical and improve discipline if they aim to regain momentum, but Palace’s stability tips the balance in their favour for this encounter.

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