Alex MacQuoid
The upcoming UEFA Europa League clash between Tottenham and AZ Alkmaar promises to be a thrilling encounter with significant implications. For Tottenham, a victory is crucial to keep their European aspirations alive after a narrow loss to AZ in the first leg. The match holds less pressure for AZ Alkmaar, who come into this encounter with a slight advantage. However, both teams will aim to secure their place in the quarter-finals, making each moment of this game critical for their tournament journey.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | UEFA Europa League 2024/25 |
| ⚽️ Venue: | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.03.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 22:00 CEST |
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Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar prediction: 2-1
Both Tottenham and AZ Alkmaar have displayed contrasting styles this season. Tottenham leans heavily on their possession-based approach, often controlling games with their high pass accuracy, standing at 78% over recent matches. Their discipline is commendable, with fewer fouls and offsides, which might give them an edge in maintaining control. On the other hand, AZ Alkmaar’s aggressive playstyle, reflected in their higher fouls and yellow cards, coupled with a strong forward presence, poses a direct threat. With both teams likely to be on the offensive, this matchup is expected to be a goal-rich affair.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | AZ Alkmaar to score first (Odds: ~2.5) |
| ⚽ Correct Score: | 2-1 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Goals Over 2.5: | Yes |
Team Analysis
Tottenham’s recent form has seen them struggle for consistency, with just two wins in their last six matches. Their last outing, a 2-2 draw against Bournemouth, highlighted defensive vulnerabilities, something AZ Alkmaar could exploit. Despite this, Tottenham’s home performance against a strong Manchester United side earlier this year shows their potential when on form.
AZ Alkmaar, contrastingly, are riding a wave of strong performances, having won six out of their last eight matches. Their victory against Tottenham in the first leg of this tie demonstrates their capability to topple higher-ranked opponents. While their away win at Heracles was narrow, it showcased their offensive reliability and resilience.
Overall, both teams exhibit strengths that could potentially swing the tie. Tottenham’s tactical discipline and home advantage face off against AZ’s momentum and scoring prowess, promising an exciting showdown.
Most recent H2Hs: Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar
| Date | Tournament | Goals | Total Shots | Pass Accuracy (%) | Interceptions | Offsides | Total Fouls | Total Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.03.2024 | UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | 69 | 78% | 43 | 1 | 10 | 29 |
| 06.03.2024 | UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | 94 | 90% | 49 | 11 | 15 | 48 |
🚨Read our full Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Tottenham the favourite
| Bookmaker | Tottenham | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|---|
| average | 1.51 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
The odds heavily favor Tottenham, with a 64% implied win probability. Despite their recent form, bookmakers have shown confidence in their ability to capitalize on home advantage. AZ Alkmaar, sitting at a 16% probability, have proven they can pull off upsets, but the bookmakers’ stance reflects their uphill task in this return leg.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Key Players to Watch
The spotlight will be on Son Heung-Min for Tottenham, whose creativity and pace on the wings can unsettle the best of defenses. His ability to link play and create scoring opportunities, evidenced by his six appearances and direct involvement in goals, makes him pivotal.
For AZ Alkmaar, Ernest Poku is expected to be influential. Known for his pace and skill, Poku’s ability to break through defenses, backed by his recent performances and goal-scoring form, means he will be a constant threat.
Another key figure for Tottenham is James Maddison, whose playmaking skills have been invaluable. With his keen eye for creating chances and a solid pass accuracy, Maddison is vital in orchestrating Tottenham’s attacks.
AZ’s Jordy Clasie will aim to control the midfield, breaking up play and initiating counter-attacks. His passing range and defensive contributions are crucial to AZ’s gameplay, making him a player to watch closely.
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Possible Starting Lineup
Tottenham is likely to stick with their favored 4-2-3-1 formation. The defense will have the solidity of Kevin Danso and the support of creative midfielders like James Maddison and Rodrigo Bentancur. Up front, the inclusion of Son Heung-Min is expected to add firepower.
AZ Alkmaar will mirror the formation, relying on Bruno Martins Indi to lead their defense. Ernest Poku and Jordy Clasie are anticipated to play crucial roles in attack and midfield, respectively, enhancing their chances against Tottenham’s defense.
Both teams appear to be set up for an aggressive approach, prioritizing attacking play while maintaining solid defensive blocks to counter each other’s threats.
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AZ Alkmaar. Source: Official Website
The Verdict
My main pick is a 2-1 victory for Tottenham. Although they face the formidable challenge of overcoming AZ Alkmaar’s recent form, playing at home gives Tottenham a significant advantage. The series of narrow but crucial wins this season underlines their potential to rise to the occasion. Conversely, AZ’s impressive run highlights their threat, yet they are likely to face a stern test against a determined Tottenham side eager to advance in the UEFA Europa League.
