Torino vs Pisa Prediction: 25.09.2025 Coppa Italia 2025/26

The Coppa Italia is back with a Round 2 showdown as Torino host Pisa at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. While the home side arrive with their status as favourites largely intact, Pisa have consistently shown they’re a club not to overlook in cup competitions. A particularly intriguing facet here is the contrasting momentum: Torino’s recent results reflect a turbulent but defensively disciplined approach, while Pisa, despite their Serie B standing, enter with something to prove and a reputation for resilience in knockout football.

Key players to watch are Giovanni Simeone for Torino, whose movements in the box have often galvanized their attack, and Pisa’s sharp forward M’Bala Nzola, who grabbed a recent key goal showing his potential in big occasions.

The “hot stat” from previous matches? Pisa have managed 45 total shots in their last five matches—impressively outshooting their opponents and showing they’re anything but shy in attack, regardless of outcome.

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Torino vs Pisa Prediction

Given the recent results and relative strengths of both squads, the best value pick here looks to be backing Torino with a -1 Asian Handicap or Draw No Bet—depending on your appetite for risk. Torino’s defensive shape under Marco Baroni has held up even against top opponents, as seen in a gritty clean sheet and 1-0 win over Roma, while their struggles against free-scoring sides like Inter and Atalanta show there’s a clear gap in finishing compared to upper-tier Serie A clubs. Pisa, meanwhile, have been creative going forward (witness their high shots tally) but are leaking goals and short on confidence after three defeats in four.

Examining both teams’ disciplinary records and ball usage, Torino average five yellow cards and commit 55 fouls over their last five, while Pisa match them with equal bookings and fouls but enjoy slightly superior ball progression, as reflected in their frequent long passes and quick transitions. That said, Torino’s higher pass accuracy (81 to Pisa’s 76 percent on average) and more measured approach in the midfield suggest they’ll be able to control the contest when needed. Expect Torino to edge possession but Pisa to search for quick breaks and set-piece opportunities, possibly leading to a high tally of corners and plenty of end-to-end action in the first half.

Team Analysis

Torino’s recent games:
Looking at Torino’s last five, they managed a significant 1-0 win over Roma—a testament to their defensive discipline—while their 0-3 and 0-5 defeats to Atalanta and Inter respectively underline issues with containing elite attacks. The recent 0-0 draw against Fiorentina highlighted both a lack of cutting edge up front and a defensive switch to damage limitation, but their ability to shut down Modena with a 1-0 win in the cup offers a more optimistic blueprint for this cup clash. Their sturdy formation—3-4-2-1—relies on midfield stability and well-timed wingback surges, but the pressure will be on forwards like Simeone and Nzola to convert rare opportunities.

Pisa’s recent games:
Pisa, under Gilardino, are still searching for consistency. Their last five show attacking intent with a narrow 2-3 loss to Napoli (a match where they refused to park the bus and came close to a shock), but a 0-1 defeat to Udinese and 0-1 at home to Roma reflect ongoing issues in breaking down higher-quality defences. Their 1-1 with Atalanta was a gritty display of counter-attacking patience, and although their 2-1 win over Cesena stands out, it was hardly a statement victory given the difference in league ranking. Pisa tend to line up in a 3-5-2, giving them enough bodies in midfield to disrupt Torino’s shape, but without clean finishing, they’re often found wanting in the final third.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Torino vs Pisa stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Torino the favourite

• Moneyline Torino 1.76 | Pisa 5.00
• Draw 3.45
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.28 | Under 2.5 1.72
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.05 | No 1.70

What do the odds tell us? Torino are clear favourites—reflecting both their Serie A pedigree and consistent cup progression. Pisa’s underdog status is justified by patchy recent form and defensive frailties. Bookmakers are leaning towards a low-scoring affair, and a Torino win to nil is strongly implied. Although Pisa have attacking spirit, their low conversion rate gives punters little reason to back them for an upset.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Torino possible starting eleven

Expect Baroni to opt for the tried-and-tested 3-4-2-1, which lends defensive balance and allows wingbacks like Lazaro and Biraghi to get forward. Keep a particularly close eye on Simeone, whose instinctive positioning can punish defences, and on Maripán for vital aerial duels at the back.

Pisa possible starting eleven

Gilardino is likely to stick with the 3-5-2 that balances midfield presence with the option for fullbacks to tuck in. Aebischer and Akinsanmiro will be crucial in both defence and transitions. Up front, Nzola’s pace and physicality could cause the Torino backline trouble, particularly if the game opens up late on.

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My take on the Match

It’s cup football—anything can happen—but all signs point toward Torino grinding out a controlled, professional win in front of their home fans. Their formation, tactical discipline, and greater midfield organisation give them the edge against a Pisa who simply haven’t found the right balance in either end of the pitch. The main pick: Torino to win with margin, possibly 2-0, as Pisa may struggle to break through a packed Torino defence. We expect a competitive contest, especially in the midfield, but Torino’s experience and home advantage should see them through.

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