Liam Duckstein
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Torino host Monza at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in the second round of the Coppa Italia 2026/27. This is a rematch of familiar Serie A rivals, and Ignazio Abate’s side will be looking to use home advantage to their benefit after a difficult run of recent results. Monza, under Ivan Juric, arrive with a sharper scoring record in the last five matches, making this a genuinely competitive cup tie despite the bookmakers leaning toward the hosts.
One player to watch is Gustavo Varela for Monza, who has scored four goals in his last three appearances and is clearly in form. For Torino, Giovanni Simeone has been the most active attacking threat, generating eight total shots across his last three games.
A standout stat heading into this match: Monza have registered 44 total shots across their last five matches compared to Torino’s 29, suggesting Juric’s side have been far more aggressive in front of goal recently.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Coppa Italia 2026/27, Round 2 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin |
| 🗓️ Date: | 01.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Torino vs Monza Prediction
Torino enter this cup tie as favorites at home, but their recent form does not fully justify the margin of confidence the bookmakers assign them. They have won three of their last six matches but have also dropped points in ways that suggest inconsistency. Monza’s last five games produced six goals, and their attack has looked considerably more fluid than Torino’s three-goal return over the same period.
Given the Coppa Italia context, both coaches are likely to rotate, which tends to open up matches and create more goal-scoring opportunities. Monza’s higher shot volume and Varela’s current form make them dangerous even away from home. We predict Monza to score at least once, but Torino’s home setting gives them enough of an edge to stay in the contest.
Torino average 11 free kicks per match across their recent sample, and Monza commit fouls at a slightly higher rate. Torino’s 3-4-2-1 shape tends to press high and invite counter-attacks, which suits Monza’s direct style. Monza’s 47 interceptions in five games compared to Torino’s 18 tells you that Juric’s side are far more aggressive off the ball, and that could disrupt Torino’s build-up play in the middle third.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Monza to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Torino’s last five matches have been a mixed picture. They beat FC Vado 3-1 and Carrarese 1-0 in what were expected results against lower-ranked opposition, but they drew 1-1 with Avellino and lost to both Milan and Sassuolo by a 1-2 scoreline. Those two defeats came against strong opposition, but losing to Sassuolo is a concerning sign for a side that wants to progress in the Coppa Italia.
Their most recent outing was that 1-2 loss to Sassuolo, where they failed to convert despite generating chances. Simeone and Che Adams have been the primary attacking outlets, but the goals have not come consistently. The squad depth is there, and Abate has options to rotate, but the team’s passing accuracy of 1,470 out of 1,644 passes suggests they can maintain the ball when they choose to.
Monza’s last five matches tell a more energetic story. They demolished Milan Futuro 4-2, beat Avellino 3-0, drew 3-3 with Padova in a high-scoring affair, then lost 1-4 to Inter before falling 2-3 to Udinese most recently. The defeats came against top-tier opposition, which provides context. Against comparable or weaker teams, Monza have been prolific.
Varela’s four goals in three games is the headline, but Patrick Cutrone also contributed two assists and generated ten shots across three appearances, making him another dangerous presence. Monza’s 1,238 passes with an accuracy of 1,041 indicates they play a more direct game, which aligns with Juric’s tactical identity from his previous coaching roles.
🚨Check out our dedicated Torino vs Monza stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Torino the Favourite
- Moneyline Torino 1.83 (avg) | Monza 4.20
- Draw 3.39
The average odds around 1.83 for Torino reflect the home advantage and their higher league standing, but they feel slightly short given their inconsistent form. Monza at 4.20 offers genuine value considering their attacking output over the last month. The draw at 3.39 is also reasonable in a cup tie where both sides may rotate. We lean toward backing both teams to score as the strongest standalone market, given the offensive numbers each side has posted recently.
Possible Starting Lineups
Torino Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Diego Mascardi
- DF: Pietro Comuzzo, Ardian Ismajli, Saúl Coco
- MF: Kian Fitz-Jim, Gvidas Gineitis, Nikola Vlašić, Cesare Casadei
- FW: Alessio Cacciamani, Giovanni Simeone, Che Adams
Torino are likely to line up in their familiar 3-4-2-1 shape. Mascardi has been the most active goalkeeper across the last five matches, registering ten saves, and is the clear starter. Comuzzo adds attacking intent from the back line, having scored once in recent games. Simeone leads the line with the most shots among Torino forwards, and Cacciamani’s one assist and consistent involvement make him a solid support option. Fitz-Jim and Gineitis provide balance in the middle, with Vlašić adding creative quality in the second line.
Monza Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Aljaz Strajnar
- DF: Andrea Carboni, Lorenzo Lucchesi, Eddy Kouadio, Ricardo Mangas
- MF: Foe Ondoa, Mathis Mout, Andrea Colpani
- FW: Omari Forson, Gustavo Varela, Patrick Cutrone
Monza’s 3-4-2-1 mirrors Torino’s setup, and Juric will likely trust his most in-form players. Strajnar gets the nod in goal. Lucchesi carries two yellow cards across recent matches but remains a key defender in the back line. Varela is the standout name up front after his four goals in three games, and Cutrone’s two assists and ten shots make him the ideal second striker. Colpani brings creativity through the middle, while Mout’s one assist and strong passing numbers support the attack from deep.
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Torino. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
This Coppa Italia tie is closer than the odds suggest. Torino have home advantage and a slightly better head-to-head record in recent Serie A meetings, winning 2-0 and drawing 1-1. But Monza’s current attacking form, led by Varela and supported by Cutrone, makes them a real threat in a cup game where defensive structure tends to be looser due to rotation.
Torino’s defensive numbers are a concern. They have allowed goals in their last two league matches and their interception count of 18 across five games is far below Monza’s 47. We predict a Torino win, but both teams to score is the pick we are most confident in. Monza will find the net at least once, and Torino’s home crowd should help them edge it in the end.
- Match result: Torino to win
- Both teams to score: Yes
- Total goals: Over 2.5
- Hot tip: Monza to score in both halves
