Torino vs Juventus Prediction: 24.05.2026 Serie A

The Derby della Mole returns as Torino host Juventus at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino on May 24, 2026, for the last round of Serie A’s regular season. Juventus, with a much higher standing and better overall form, enters as the clear favorite, but local derbies often defy expectations. One intriguing detail is Torino’s struggle in defense, conceding 61 goals this season, which stands as one of the highest in the league’s upper half. For Torino, Giovanni Simeone has been a rare bright spot up front, finding the net twice in the last five matches, while for Juventus, Dušan Vlahović remains their central attacking threat, notching two recent goals and always being a danger in the box.
A hot stat: Juventus have managed 80 shots in their last five games—a high volume, yet with only two goals scored, highlighting a recent conversion issue.

Torino vs Juventus prediction

We predict a Juventus win as the best value for this fixture. The bookies overwhelmingly back Juventus for good reason: their season-long defensive stability, higher win rate (48% vs Torino’s 36%), and a far stronger squad on paper. Torino’s recent form shows only one win in the last five matches, and the side leaks goals under pressure—Juventus have the personnel to exploit this. Juventus’ high shot output signals their ability to dominate territory and produce chances, even if recent finishing has disappointed. Torino’s fouling and cards numbers are slightly higher, indicating a tendency to break up play, possibly leading to more set-piece opportunities for Juventus. Ball retention also favors Juventus, who average more passes and better pass accuracy, suggesting they’ll control possession and tempo, limiting Torino’s counterattacks.

Team Analysis

Torino’s last five matches underline their inconsistency: only one victory (vs Sassuolo), two draws, and two defeats, most recently losing 1-2 at home to Cagliari. Torino continue to struggle in front of goal, scoring only five times in the last five outings. Defensive lapses cost them dearly, with goals conceded against even lower-ranked opponents. Giovanni Simeone’s recent form gives them hope, but the midfield lacks creativity and defensive discipline.

Juventus, by contrast, show a more stable pattern. Their last five matches included two wins (over Lecce and Bologna), two draws, and a disappointing home loss to Fiorentina. Despite only two goals scored in that period, they look solid at the back, conceding just four. The attacking struggles seem more about finishing than chance creation—Dušan Vlahović remains their reference point up front, and the team continues to rack up shots and corners.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Torino vs Juventus stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Juventus the favourite

• Moneyline Torino 8.25 | Juventus 1.41
• Draw 4.86
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.07 | Under 2.5 1.77
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.12 | No 1.67

Juventus stands as a clear favorite with odds reflecting both teams’ current form and squad quality. Torino’s long odds are justified given their poor recent results and defensive record. The market expects a low-scoring contest, and the value on under 2.5 is strong given Juventus’ recent scoring dip and Torino’s lack of punch up front. Both teams to score “No” also looks appealing, with Torino’s attack unlikely to break down a disciplined Juventus defense.

Possible Starting Lineups

Torino possible starting eleven

Paleari holds the goalkeeper spot, having featured consistently. In defense, Ebosse and Coco anchor the backline, with Marianucci and Obrador completing the line of four. Midfield relies on the work rate of Ilić, Gineitis, Tameze, and Vlašić—Obrador and Prati likely take the wing roles. Simeone leads the line, with his recent scoring making him Torino’s most reliable forward. The likely formation is 3-4-2-1, maximizing midfield coverage and counter opportunities.

Juventus possible starting eleven

Di Gregorio is the undisputed first-choice keeper. Bremer, Kalulu, and Kelly form a strong, athletic defensive core, with Cambiaso providing width. Locatelli orchestrates midfield, supported by McKennie and Thuram, who can break up play and drive forward. Up front, Vlahović is flanked by Yıldız and Conceicao, both capable of unlocking defenses. The 4-3-3 setup supports both wide play and central attacks. Vlahović remains the key man, with support from the wings.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Juventus look set to finish their regular season campaign with a win over their local rivals. Their consistent defensive performances and superior shot creation give them a clear advantage, especially against a Torino side that concedes often and struggles to convert chances. Our punters rate Juventus’ chance of victory as high, with the likelihood of a low-scoring match and Torino failing to find the net. Juventus to win and under 2.5 goals—this combination stands out for value and probability.

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