Toledo vs Sevilla Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Copa Del Rey Match - 28.10.2025

As the Copa Del Rey 2025/26 kicks off its thrilling first round, fans are set for a captivating encounter as Toledo hosts Sevilla at the Brann Stadion in Bergen, a unique neutral venue for a Spanish cup tie. The match, scheduled for 22:00 CEST on October 28, 2025, sees Miguel Falcón’s in-form Toledo test their mettle against Matías Almeyda’s experienced Sevilla side. Despite the disparity in club rankings, cup competitions have a reputation for delivering dramatic upsets — and this contest promises plenty of intrigue between a giant and an ambitious underdog.

Two players poised to shape the narrative are Toledo’s creative fulcrum in midfield (specific name not available) and Sevilla’s dynamic forward Akor Adams, whose quick feet and clinical edge have already delivered 2 goals in the last 4 matches. Their direct clashes in midfield and on the break could well tilt this high-stakes contest.

Both sides arrive from contrasting recent forms: Toledo, unbeaten in 6 of their last 7, routed Sonseca 6-1 in their most recent fixture, while Sevilla seeks consistency after mixed La Liga results but boasts offensive firepower, netting 7 goals across their last 5.

A standout “hot stat”: Sevilla has earned 14 yellow cards in their last 5 matches, underscoring a potentially aggressive approach — a factor that could play a decisive role in the ebb and flow of this Cup tie.

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Toledo vs Sevilla predictions

My best bet: Sevilla to win and Over 2.5 goals. Despite their inconsistent La Liga campaign, Sevilla’s superior squad depth and Cup pedigree are likely to prevail against a lower-tier Toledo. Sevilla thrives in knockout scenarios, possesses multi-pronged attacking threats — from Akor Adams’ direct running to Alexis Sanchez’s experience — and, crucially, faces a Toledo defence tested by Orihuela in their recent 4-2 defeat. Toledo’s recent six-goal outburst suggests they will play on the front foot, opening the match to goals. Cup ties often see open play and tactical risk-taking, especially with Toledo at home in a one-off encounter.

Stylistically, Toledo emphasizes attack with a flourish, averaging 3 goals per game in their latest fixtures but collecting very few cards, indicating a disciplined approach. They’ll seek to press Sevilla’s build-up but may struggle defensively due to limited experience at this level. Sevilla, meanwhile, has mixed defensive stats (conceded in three of last four) but accumulates an unusually high number of fouls and yellow cards — 14 bookings in five games, reflecting Almeyda’s aggressive pressing philosophy. We expect heated midfield battles and set-piece opportunities, likely resulting in goals on both ends.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

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Toledo vs Sevilla Most recent H2Hs

Historically, these teams have had limited competitive meetings, with Sevilla generally prevailing due to their technical and tactical superiority. Toledo’s aggressive approach in lower divisions results in high goal counts but leaves gaps against top-tier attacks. Sevilla’s efficiency in converting set-pieces and creating corners (29 in 5 games) could prove pivotal.

🚨Read our full Toledo vs Sevilla stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Sevilla has averaged 1.4 goals per game in their last five, with Akor Adams scoring twice.
• Toledo has won five of their last seven, scoring 6 in their latest match.
• Sevilla has accumulated 14 yellow cards in their last five matches, indicating a combative approach.
• Sevilla’s pass accuracy is among the highest, with over 1,000 completed passes in five games.
• Toledo’s defense has only one clean sheet in their last five fixtures.
• Sevilla’s corners (29 in five games) suggest set-piece strength.

Toledo vs Sevilla score prediction: 1-3

Expect goals, attacking verve, and drama. Sevilla’s notable attacking ensemble, led by Adams and supported by Sanchez, is equipped to exploit Toledo’s defensive uncertainties. Toledo’s playmaker and set-piece prowess will keep them competitive, but ultimately, Sevilla’s quality on the ball and Cup experience should tip the balance. The expected final scoreline is 3-1 to Sevilla, with Adams and Sanchez likely to find the net.

Toledo vs Sevilla Over/Under Analysis

• Sevilla’s last 5 matches: over 2.5 in three, both teams scored in four.
• Toledo’s last five: over 2.5 in two, both teams scored in two.
• Best tip: Over 2.5 goals, with both teams to score as a strong secondary play.

Toledo Preview

Sevilla Preview

Sevilla’s Cup credentials are undeniable and their European-tested squad brings both tactical steel and creative spark. Their last five include a signature 4-1 win over Barcelona but also mixed league form, including losses to Mallorca and Real Sociedad. Manager Matías Almeyda instils a combative, proactive pressing game — their 14 yellow cards and 63 total fouls underline their tenacity, while Adams (2 goals), Alexis Sanchez, and Ruben Vargas (1 goal, 1 assist) deliver versatility upfront. Defensive lapses persist, but Sevilla’s ability to register 36 shots, 29 corners, and complete over 1,000 passes in five fixtures illustrates dominance in most phases of play. Expect Sevilla to control possession, press high, and exploit set pieces.

The Verdict

The expert consensus from the TipsGG team is to back Sevilla for a Round 1 triumph. Their Cup pedigree, multi-pronged attack, and midfield experience should see them justify favouritism against Toledo, whose momentum and attacking intent will pose threats but is unlikely to overcome a much deeper opponent. Our dedicated AI prediction engine assigns a 67 percent win probability to Sevilla, with Toledo retaining a puncher’s chance if they score early and capitalize on set pieces.

How to watch Toledo vs Sevilla

• When? October 28, 2025
• Kick-off time: 22:00 CEST
• Where? Brann Stadion, Bergen
• Favorite: Sevilla

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