Levi Rothermund
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Thailand and Vietnam meet again, and honestly, this fixture barely needs an introduction anymore. These two sides contested last year’s ASEAN Championship final over two legs, and Vietnam came out on top both times. Now they clash early in Group B with maximum points already banked by both teams after matchday one. Thailand crushed Pakistan 4-0, Vietnam edged past Philippines 1-0. The gap in scorelines tells one story, the head-to-head history tells another.
What makes this one interesting is the pattern. Every single one of the last five meetings between these two has produced goals for both sides bar the friendly. Thailand keep finding the net against Vietnam, they just haven’t found enough of a cushion to hold on.
Watch Teerasak Poeiphimai for Thailand. He scored twice against Pakistan and picked up a yellow card doing it, so referees will be watching him closely too. On the Vietnam side, Nguyen Dinh Bac looked lively against Philippines, scoring the only goal and drawing two offside flags along the way, a sign he’s pushing the offside line hard.
Hot stat: Thailand racked up 24 total shots across their last five matches, four times more than Vietnam’s total of 6. Yet Vietnam still hold the better win rate in 2026 at 87% against Thailand’s 58%. Shots don’t always tell the whole story.
| 🏆 Tournament: | FIFA ASEAN Cup 2026 Division 1, Group B |
| 🗓️ Date: | 29.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 14:30 CEST |
Thailand vs Vietnam prediction
We think both teams to score is the value angle here. Look at the last five head-to-head results: 2-2, 0-2, 2-3, 1-2, 2-1. Every one of them saw both sides get on the scoresheet. Thailand’s attack has been sharp, four goals in one match alone, and Vietnam rarely shut teams out completely against this opponent specifically, even when they win comfortably elsewhere.
Thailand’s 5-3-2 setup pushes numbers forward down the flanks, which should open space for Vietnam’s counters. Vietnam’s 4-1-2-1-2 relies on quick transitions through the middle, and their pass accuracy in the last five matches sits noticeably lower than Thailand’s, 300 against 573. That gap suggests Vietnam might concede possession spells, but their directness in behind could punish a Thai back line that’s already shown it can be breached twice in a single fixture before.
Fouls and cards look fairly even, nine total fouls apiece across the sample, so we don’t expect this one to turn into a stop-start affair. Corners lean slightly toward Vietnam at six against Thailand’s five, a small detail but worth flagging for anyone eyeing set-piece markets.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Both Teams To Score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Thailand’s most recent outing against Pakistan was about as one-sided as it gets, a 4-0 win built on 24 shots across the sample of games and clinical finishing from Teerasak Poeiphimai. Before that, though, the story against Vietnam specifically was rougher: a 2-2 draw followed by a straight 0-2 loss in the championship final. Thailand can clearly score against weaker opposition, but their defensive record against Vietnam in particular remains shaky. Anthony Hudson’s side arrives full of confidence off the group opener, yet the underlying numbers against this exact rival suggest caution.
Vietnam’s 1-0 win over Philippines wasn’t flashy, just one goal from Nguyen Dinh Bac and a controlled performance overall. Their shot output was modest, six total across the sampled matches, well below Thailand’s tally. What stands out is consistency. Vietnam have won 13 of 15 matches this year, an 87% rate that dwarfs Thailand’s. Sang-sik Kim has built a side that grinds out results even without dominating the ball, and against Thailand specifically they’ve won or drawn every recent meeting. That record matters more than raw shot counts here, we think.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Thailand | Vietnam |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 5 meetings) | 7 | 10 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Thailand vs Vietnam stats page for more info.
Vietnam. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Thailand possible starting eleven
- GK: Patiwat Khammai
- DF: Nattapong Sayriya, Chaiyaphon Otton, Manuel Bihr, Suphanan Bureerat, Peerawat Akkratum
- MF: Kritsada Kaman, Kakana Khamyok, Seksan Ratree
- FW: Teerasak Poeiphimai, Jude Soonsup-Bell
Hudson sticks with the back five that anchored the Pakistan win, giving Nattapong Sayriya and Chaiyaphon Otton full 90-minute roles again. Teerasak Poeiphimai leads the line off the back of his brace, and Jude Soonsup-Bell offers pace alongside him. The 5-3-2 shape gives Thailand width through wing-backs while keeping numbers behind the ball, a sensible setup given Vietnam’s counter-attacking threat.
Vietnam possible starting eleven
- GK: Patrik Le Giang
- DF: Phạm Xuân Mạnh, Bui Hoang Viet Anh, Cao Quang Vinh, Leygley Adou Minh
- MF: Trương Tiến Anh, Le Pham Thanh Long, Đỗ Hoàng Hên, Nguyen Hai Long
- FW: Nguyen Dinh Bac, Nguyễn Xuân Son
Kim’s men keep the same defensive quartet that shut out most of the danger against Philippines. The 4-1-2-1-2 gives Trương Tiến Anh the deepest midfield role, screening for a more advanced pair pushing support toward Nguyen Dinh Bac and Nguyễn Xuân Son up top. Lee Williams remains a genuine option off the bench if Kim wants fresh legs late on.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Thailand. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Our punters team leans toward goals at both ends here. Thailand’s attacking output this season is real, but so is Vietnam’s habit of scoring against them in every recent meeting bar none. We’re backing Both Teams To Score alongside Over 2.5 total goals, with a slight preference for Vietnam to edge the result given their superior 2026 form and their unbeaten run against Thailand across the last two competitive meetings. Maybe Thailand snatch a point off the back of home support and momentum from the Pakistan rout, but the head-to-head trend favors Kim’s side once again.
Read also: Thailand vs Vietnam Head-to-Head: Record, Stats & Form as of 27 Sep 2026
