Temperley vs Club Atletico Guemes Prediction: 14 June 2026 Primera Nacional

Temperley welcome Club Atletico Guemes to Estadio Alfredo Beranger in a Primera Nacional clash where both sides are fighting to climb out of the lower half of the table. Temperley sit 13th with 23 points, while Guemes are 23rd with just 19, making this a direct contest with real implications for both clubs’ promotion ambitions. What makes this match interesting is that Guemes have been the better team over the last 30 days, winning three of their last five, yet they arrive as heavy underdogs at odds touching 4.75 with some bookmakers.

Pedro Souto is the standout figure to watch for Temperley, the defender contributing three goals in his last four appearances, an unusually high output for a backline player that signals set-piece danger. For Guemes, forward S. Sala has been their primary threat, scoring once and logging 330 minutes across the last four games as the focal point of Pablo Guiñazú’s attack.

Hot stat: Temperley were beaten 0-5 by Deportivo Maipu just five matches ago, their worst defensive performance of the season. Guemes played that same Maipu side and beat them 1-0 in their most recent outing, which puts the two teams’ current form in sharp contrast despite Temperley’s home advantage.

Temperley vs Club Atletico Guemes Prediction

Temperley’s home record and the bookmakers’ 48% win probability make them the logical favourite, but their season-long form is unconvincing. They have won only 5 of 17 matches in 2026, carry a negative goal difference, and conceded five goals in a single game recently. Guemes have problems of their own, shipping 23 goals in 16 league games, but their last 30-day record of three wins from five is genuinely better than Temperley’s two from five in the same window.

Both sides line up in a 4-4-2 and neither has shown a strong defensive identity. Temperley have scored 4 goals and conceded across their last five matches, while Guemes managed 3 goals in theirs. The goal totals are modest, but the defensive fragility on both sides points toward at least one goal each. We predict a Temperley win, but the margin will be tight, and Guemes will find the net at least once.

Temperley have averaged 3.2 corner kicks per game in the last five matches (16 total), slightly ahead of Guemes at 2.8 (14 total). Neither side is particularly corner-heavy, so the total is likely to stay under 10. In terms of discipline, Temperley have picked up 9 yellow cards in five games compared to Guemes’ 8, suggesting both teams play with physical intensity. Franco Diaz of Temperley leads his side with 2 bookings and is a card risk in midfield. Guemes’ Walter Juárez and facundo melillan each carry 2 yellows in three to four appearances, making Guemes’ defensive line a disciplinary concern if the game gets stretched.

• Best Bet: Temperley Win and Both Teams to Score
• We predict Temperley to edge this one 2-1
• Pedro Souto is worth tracking in any goalscorer markets given his unusual scoring output from defence

Team Analysis

Temperley’s last five matches tell a story of inconsistency. They beat Chacarita Juniors 1-0 and San Martin SJ 2-1 in their two most recent games, which is encouraging, but the 0-5 demolition at the hands of Deportivo Maipu earlier in the run exposed a defence that can completely collapse. The 0-1 loss to Gimnasia Jujuy (rated significantly higher) is less alarming given the quality gap, and the 1-1 draw with Nueva Chicago was a reasonable result. Nicolás Domingo’s side look capable of grinding out narrow wins at home, particularly against lower-ranked opposition, but they remain vulnerable to teams that press with pace and volume.

Club Atletico Guemes arrive in better recent shape than their league position suggests. Their last five matches include wins over Deportivo Maipu (1-0) and Patronato (1-0), plus a 2-1 win against Quilmes. The 1-4 loss to Colegiales and 0-2 defeat to Almagro show they can be overrun when opponents play on the front foot, and their goal difference of -7 on the season confirms the defence leaks regularly. Guiñazú’s side tends to grind out low-scoring wins against beatable opponents but struggles when the opposition takes control of tempo.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨 Check out our dedicated Temperley vs Club Atletico Guemes stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Temperley the Favourite

• Moneyline Temperley 1.85 | Club Atletico Guemes 4.70
• Draw 3.13
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

The Temperley moneyline at 1.85 is fair given their home status, but it does not fully account for Guemes’ stronger recent form. The draw at 3.13 is somewhat tempting given both teams’ inconsistency across the season, but Temperley’s home advantage and shot volume (23 shots in five games versus Guemes’ 12) justify backing the hosts. The Guemes price at 4.70 is generous enough to consider a small stake if you believe in their recent momentum, but we do not see that as the primary value here. The best value sits in combining a Temperley win with both teams scoring, rather than taking the straight moneyline alone.

Possible Starting Lineups

Temperley Possible Starting Eleven

Temperley line up in a 4-4-2 with Ezequiel Mastrolia as a reliable presence in goal across all four recent starts. Lucas Angelini is a near-certain starter having played every minute of the last four games. Pedro Souto is the player to watch closely, three goals from a defensive position in four appearances is a remarkable contribution and signals that Temperley use him aggressively on set pieces. Franco Diaz anchors the midfield but carries two yellow cards and is a suspension risk. Franco Benitez, with two assists in four games, provides the creative link between midfield and attack.

Club Atletico Guemes Possible Starting Eleven

Guemes also deploy a 4-4-2. Leandro Finochietto starts in goal, having played all four of the recent matches logged with full minutes. The defensive unit is a concern, Walter Juárez and facundo melillan each carry two yellows in recent games and could be liabilities if Temperley push the tempo. S. Sala leads the attack with one goal and consistent minutes, and David Veliz provides the assist threat from the forward line. Milton Gerez is the engine in midfield, logging 307 minutes across four games.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Temperley should win this match at home, but the margin is unlikely to be comfortable. Their shot volume advantage (23 to 12 over the last five games) is the clearest statistical edge they hold. Guemes, to be honest, are not as bad as their 23rd-place standing implies. Three wins in their last five, including a result against the same Maipu side that hammered Temperley 5-0, shows they can compete. We predict a 2-1 Temperley win, with Pedro Souto remaining a genuine threat from set pieces and S. Sala likely to give the visitors something to show for their efforts. The best bet on the card is Temperley Win and Both Teams to Score.

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