Sofia Quijada
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Two sides sitting level on three points in the Clausura standings meet at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, where Jorge Sampaoli’s Talleres host a Lanus side that has dropped three of its last five league outings. Both clubs are under early pressure to turn results around, making this a match with real stakes despite the modest position in the table. Rick Lima has been Talleres’ standout attacker with two goals in his last three appearances, and Ramiro Carrera provides Lanus with the most attacking volume from midfield, logging 12 total shots across five matches.
A hot stat worth flagging: Lanus fired 71 total shots across their last five matches compared to Talleres’ 45, yet managed only four goals, a conversion rate that points to serious inefficiency in front of goal and gives Sampaoli’s defence a real chance to absorb pressure and hit on the break.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Argentine Primera Division 2026, Clausura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Córdoba |
| 🗓️ Date: | 12.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:00 CEST |
Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus Prediction
Bookmakers price Talleres as favourites at roughly 2.40-2.45, which reflects home advantage and the fact that Lanus has lost three of its last five matches. Lanus has beaten Talleres in three of the last four head-to-head meetings, including two consecutive wins in 2025, but those results were largely away from Córdoba. At home, Sampaoli’s side carries a different intensity, and Lanus arrives in poor form.
Both teams run a 4-2-3-1 system, so the midfield battle will be central. Talleres allows fewer fouls (37 vs Lanus’ 47 across five matches) and keeps better defensive shape with 26 interceptions, suggesting they can disrupt Lanus’ build-up before it reaches the final third. Lanus’ pass accuracy is higher in raw numbers, but their ball retention has not translated to goals. We predict a narrow home win, with both teams capable of finding the net at least once.
- Main bet: Talleres Cordoba to win
- Value bet: Both Teams to Score – Yes
- Alternative: Over 1.5 goals
Talleres committed fewer fouls and earned fewer yellow cards (5 vs Lanus’ 13 over five matches), pointing to a more disciplined defensive structure. Lanus’ 13 yellow cards are a concern, and their tendency to foul could hand Talleres set-piece opportunities at a ground where the crowd adds pressure. Lanus’ high foul count and low conversion rate make them vulnerable to disciplined, counter-attacking football.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Talleres Cordoba to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 1.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Talleres have collected one win and two losses in their last three matches, but the quality of opposition matters here. Their most recent outing was a commanding 4-0 defeat of Platense, a side with a world club ranking of 392, showing that Talleres can be ruthless against weaker opposition. Before that, they fell 1-3 to Velez Sarsfield, currently second in the Clausura, and lost 0-1 to Newells Old Boys. The Platense result, with Rick Lima and Valentin Depietri among the contributors, gives them positive momentum heading into this fixture. Sampaoli’s side has scored five goals in five matches this season, with the attacking output concentrated in that one dominant win.
Lanus have been inconsistent, winning two and losing three of their last five, and their most recent result was a 1-2 home loss to Union de Santa Fe, a side ranked 268th globally. Before that, a 0-1 loss to Instituto de Córdoba and a heavy 0-4 defeat to Cienciano in what appears to be a cup fixture compounded their difficulties. Their only league win in this run came against San Lorenzo. Mauricio Pellegrino’s side carries the statistical profile of a team that creates chances but struggles to finish, and the defensive side has been porous, conceding in four of the last five matches.
🚨Check out our dedicated Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Talleres Cordoba the Favourite
- Moneyline Talleres Cordoba 2.45 | Lanus 3.38
- Draw 2.99
Pinnacle’s line of 2.45 on Talleres is the sharpest available and aligns with the bookmaker consensus of roughly 39% implied probability for a home win. Lanus at 3.38 with Pinnacle represents decent value given their head-to-head record, but their current form and the away fixture make backing them outright a risk. The draw at 2.99 is fair but unattractive given both sides need points. To be honest, the home win at 2.40-2.45 is where the value sits, especially factoring in Sampaoli’s record of lifting sides for big home occasions.
Possible Starting Lineups
Talleres Cordoba Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Luis Unsain
- DF: Federico Fattori, Santiago Fernández, Valentin Demian Fascendini, Gabriel Baez
- MF: Matias Alejandro Galarza, Franco Cristaldo, Giovanni Baroni
- FW: Valentin Depietri, Rick Lima, Ronaldo Martinez
Sampaoli is likely to persist with his 4-2-3-1 shape, with Galarza and Cristaldo anchoring the midfield. Luis Unsain starts in goal after making 14 saves across five matches, showing he is the first-choice keeper. Rick Lima, with two goals and one assist in three appearances, is the most dangerous attacking outlet and the player Lanus will need to track closely. Federico Fattori has logged the most defensive minutes in the back line and provides aerial cover. Roman Daniel Riquelme may come in at right back depending on fitness after picking up a red card in recent weeks.
Lanus Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Nahuel Hernan Losada
- DF: Carlos Izquierdoz, Sasha Julian Marcich, Ronaldo Dejesús López, José Canale
- MF: Agustín Cardozo, Diego Agustín Medina, Matías Sepúlveda
- FW: Ramiro Carrera, Yoshan Valois, Eduardo Salvio
Pellegrino’s 4-2-3-1 places Cardozo as the deepest midfielder, with Medina and Sepúlveda providing the box-to-box work. Nahuel Losada, also with 14 saves across five matches, will be tested at Kempes. Yoshan Valois leads Lanus in attacking threat with one goal and five offsides across five matches, suggesting he tests the line frequently. Carlos Izquierdoz anchors the defence with nine interceptions in five games, the highest of any outfield player in this squad. Sasha Marcich’s nine interceptions and heavy foul count (9 fouls) make him a yellow card risk in this fixture.
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Talleres Cordoba. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Talleres enter this match with positive momentum from their 4-0 win over Platense and the home advantage at Kempes. Lanus arrive carrying three losses in five, a leaky defence, and a midfield that fouls excessively. The head-to-head record favours Lanus historically, but their current form and the away fixture shift the balance. We predict Talleres Cordoba to win, with both teams scoring at least once. Lanus has enough attacking quality through Carrera and Valois to threaten, but Sampaoli’s side should control the match in the second half and take all three points. A 2-1 scoreline in favour of Talleres is our call.
