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Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente Prediction: 12.10.2026 Argentine Primera Division

11.10.2026, 05:30
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Talleres Cordoba welcome Independiente to the Mario Alberto Kempes with the hosts sitting second from bottom on just 8 points from 11 games. Independiente arrive in better shape, 16th in the table but with a 50% win rate across their last four outings. The hosts have won only two league matches all season, a number that says plenty about why bookmakers still rate them narrow favourites purely on home comfort rather than current form.

Watch Maximiliano Meza for Independiente, he has two goals in his last three appearances and links midfield to attack better than anyone else on the pitch. For Talleres, Valentin Depietri is their main outlet up top with a goal already logged in three recent games despite the team’s wider struggles in front of goal.

Hot stat: Talleres Cordoba have scored just 3 goals across their last five matches while conceding 7, failing to find the net in four of those five games, the weakest attacking return of either side heading into this fixture.

20:30Finished11.10.2026
0IndependienteArgentina
🏆 Tournament: Argentine Primera Division 2026, Clausura
🏟 Venue: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Córdoba
🗓️ Date: 12.10.2026
⏰ Time: 02:30 CEST

Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente prediction

We predict Independiente avoid defeat here, with the double chance (draw or away win) carrying real value at odds near evens. Talleres sit 29th in a 30 team table and lost at home to Belgrano in their last outing, while Independiente have taken 7 points from their last 4 matches. Perhaps the home crowd gives Talleres a lift, but on quality and recent momentum alone, backing the visitors not to lose looks like the sharper line.

Both sides foul at similar rates, Talleres with 39 fouls and Independiente with 37 across their last five games, and both pick up a card roughly every other game, 8 yellows for Talleres against 9 for Independiente. Passing numbers are close too, Talleres completing around 80% of their passes against Independiente’s 79%, suggesting a tight, physical game rather than one shaped by technical superiority. Talleres do generate more from corners, 17 compared to Independiente’s 12 in the same stretch, which could matter if the game opens up late.

🔥Hot Tip: Independiente Double Chance (Draw or Win)
⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Under 9.5

Team Analysis

Talleres Cordoba’s recent run reads ugly: a loss to Belgrano, a 1-3 defeat to Instituto de Córdoba, a rare 2-1 win over Union de Santa Fe, a 0-1 loss to San Lorenzo and a goalless draw with Central Cordoba. Their most recent game at home against Belgrano ended 0-1, a result that fits their season-long pattern of struggling to create chances at the Kempes. In our preview of Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano we leaned toward a tight game with Belgrano nicking it late on the back of better passing numbers, and the 0-1 scoreline delivered exactly that call.

16:00Finished04.10.2026
1BelgranoArgentina

Independiente’s last five results show more balance: a 1-4 hammering by Instituto de Córdoba, a 2-1 win over Union de Santa Fe, a 1-1 draw with San Lorenzo, a 1-0 win against Central Cordoba and a 0-3 loss to Gimnasia Mendoza. The 1-4 defeat to league leaders Instituto stands out as their worst performance of the stretch, conceding four without much resistance. In our preview of Independiente vs Instituto de Córdoba we called Instituto’s double chance alongside BTTS yes as the sharpest angle given their table-topping form, and the 1-4 result delivered that call comfortably.

18:15Finished02.10.2026

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Talleres Cordoba Independiente
Goals (last 3 meetings) 6 5

🚨Check out our dedicated Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente stats page for more info.

Talleres Cordoba. Source: Official Facebook

Talleres Cordoba. Source: Official Facebook

Pre-game odds and win probability: Talleres Cordoba the favourite

  • Moneyline Talleres Cordoba 2.45 | Independiente 3.00
  • Draw 3.00

Bookmakers give Talleres a slight edge at 38% implied probability against Independiente’s 31%, with the draw sitting close behind at 31%. That gap feels generous toward the hosts given their league position, and we think the market is leaning too heavily on home advantage. Independiente’s price around 3.00 looks fair value for a side averaging a win every other game in the last month.

Possible Starting Lineups

Talleres Cordoba possible starting eleven

  • GK: Luis Unsain
  • DF: Roman Daniel Riquelme, Matías Catalán, Augusto Schott, Gabriel Baez
  • MF: Juan Sforza, Franco Cristaldo, Matias Alejandro Galarza
  • FW: Rick Lima, Valentin Depietri, Agustin Alvarez Martínez

De Felippe sticks with his usual 4-3-3, built around Juan Sforza’s passing volume in midfield and Depietri’s movement up top. Riquelme and Catalán have started every recent match at the back and remain the defensive backbone despite the team’s poor defensive numbers this season.

Independiente possible starting eleven

  • GK: Rodrigo Rey
  • DF: Juan Fedorco, Leonardo Godoy, Juan Miguel Arrayago
  • MF: Iván Marcone, Mateo Pérez Curci, Maximiliano Meza, Lautaro Millán
  • FW: Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Matías Abaldo, Iván Morales

Jádson Viera’s 3-4-3 relies on Iván Marcone dictating tempo and Montiel’s work on the right, who already has a goal and two assists across his last three games. Meza’s recent scoring form makes him the player most likely to decide this one from midfield.

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Independiente. Source: Official Facebook

Independiente. Source: Official Facebook


TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict Independiente leave Cordoba unbeaten. Talleres sit second from bottom with only two wins all season and lost their last home game to Belgrano without scoring, while Independiente arrive having taken seven points from twelve in their last four. Goals should be hard to come by given both sides managed just 7 combined in their last five matches each, so the lean here is under 2.5 goals paired with Independiente’s double chance. To be honest, the physical nature of this fixture, similar foul counts and card totals for both sides, points to a scrappy, low-event match rather than an open contest.

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