Liam Duckstein
Suduva host Siauliai in what looks like a firmly mid-table A Lyga clash, but the head-to-head record tells a different story. Siauliai have won three of the last four competitive meetings between these two sides, including a 1-2 victory at Suduva’s ground earlier this season in 2026. That makes the bookmakers’ heavy lean toward the home side a point worth questioning.
Suduva sit fourth in the table with 26 points from 17 games, built on a solid defensive record of just 13 goals conceded. Under Donatas Vencevicius, they have lost only three league matches all season. Siauliai, managed by Mantas Kuklys, are eighth with 17 points, though their recent run includes a dramatic 3-4 loss to league leaders Dziugas Telsiai, a match in which they showed plenty of attacking intent.
One player to watch is Siauliai’s attacking output in transition. Despite their lower league position, they have scored 17 goals this season and have proven capable of hurting sides that sit deep. On the Suduva side, their midfield discipline and ability to grind results through structure will be key, particularly given how often these fixtures end level or go against the formbook.
Hot stat: Siauliai have failed to win only once in their last five away fixtures in this head-to-head series, and four of the last six meetings between these clubs have ended with Siauliai scoring two or more goals.
| 🏆 Tournament: | A Lyga 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:30 CEST |
Suduva vs Siauliai Prediction
The most interesting angle here is not the match winner market. Suduva are the logical favourite at home, but the odds of 1.60 offer very little value given that Siauliai have won the last head-to-head played at this venue and the draw has appeared in four of the nine competitive meetings between these sides.
Goals are the real story. Six of the last nine head-to-head matches have produced at least two goals, and three have ended 2-2. Siauliai scored three against Dziugas just days before this fixture, showing they can be dangerous even against quality opposition. Suduva, for their part, have drawn their last two matches 0-0 and 3-0, which shows inconsistency in attacking output rather than a dominant scoring pattern.
Both teams have shown they can score in this fixture historically. The BTTS market looks attractive. Suduva’s 4-4-2 setup pushes players forward in pairs, which creates space on the counter, and Siauliai’s 4-2-3-1 is built to exploit exactly that kind of gap behind the midfield line.
In terms of discipline and style, Suduva’s form over the last 30 days shows two wins and two draws with zero losses, suggesting they are hard to beat but not necessarily dominant. Siauliai’s 40% win rate over the same period, combined with one loss from five, shows they are competitive. This fixture rarely produces a comfortable home win.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Siauliai to score in the match (BTTS Yes) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 1.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Suduva’s most recent outing was a 0-0 draw against Banga, a side sitting sixth in the table. Before that, they put three past Riteriai without reply and beat Kauno Zalgiris 2-1, which shows the range in their attacking output depending on the opponent. The 2-2 draw with Hegelmann Litauen and the 1-1 against Zalgiris earlier in the sequence suggest that against more competitive sides, Suduva tend to share the points. Their form string reads as inconsistent, with a pattern of wins against weaker opponents and draws or losses against stronger ones.
Siauliai’s last match was a 3-4 loss to Dziugas Telsiai, which was their first defeat in five matches. Before that, they beat Riteriai 2-0, won 2-1 against Ataka Vilnius, and drew 1-1 with Banga and 0-0 with Kauno Zalgiris. The Dziugas defeat came against the league’s top side and should not be read as a collapse in form. Siauliai scored three in that match, which is actually an encouraging sign heading into this fixture. They are not toothless, and their attacking players clearly have the confidence to go forward.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
Looking across the nine recorded head-to-head meetings, these two sides have produced a pattern heavy on draws and Siauliai victories. Suduva have won just once in the last six competitive clashes, and the early 2026 meeting this season ended 1-2 in Siauliai’s favour.
| Statistic | Suduva | Siauliai |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 8 | 11 |
| Total shots | N/A | N/A |
| Free kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Corner kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Total fouls | N/A | N/A |
| Pass accuracy (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Interceptions | N/A | N/A |
| Offsides | N/A | N/A |
🚨Check out our dedicated Suduva vs Siauliai stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Suduva the Favourite
- Moneyline Suduva 1.60 | Siauliai 5.00
- Draw 3.85
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The 1.60 on Suduva reflects the bookmakers’ 58% probability for the home side, but we find that number hard to justify given the head-to-head record. Siauliai at 5.00 is genuinely overpriced for a team that has beaten Suduva at this venue already this season. The draw at 3.85 is where we see the most honest reflection of what these fixtures tend to produce. To be honest, backing Suduva at 1.60 feels like paying for a reputation rather than current form.
Possible Starting Lineups
Suduva Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: M. Krasauskas
- DF: R. Panka, E. Verbickas, M. Slavickas, A. Silenas
- MF: M. Verbickas, T. Mikuckis, D. Cesnauskis, A. Petreikis
- FW: V. Slivka, D. Brecko
Suduva are expected to line up in their preferred 4-4-2 shape under Vencevicius. The double pivot in midfield gives them defensive cover, and the two forwards are tasked with pressing high to limit Siauliai’s build-up. The wide midfielders will be key in cutting off Siauliai’s attacking transitions, which proved dangerous in the defeat to Dziugas. Suduva’s defensive structure has been their strongest asset this season, conceding just 13 goals in 17 matches.
Siauliai Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: E. Kerla
- DF: M. Malinauskas, A. Kochanauskas, G. Rukas, T. Bereznickas
- MF: D. Cesnaitis, R. Pilibaitis, M. Luksa, A. Janusevicius, V. Zulpa
- FW: A. Paulius
Kuklys is expected to stick with the 4-2-3-1 that Siauliai have used consistently across their last five matches. The double pivot provides a defensive base, freeing the three attacking midfielders to support the lone striker. The wide attacking players will look to exploit the channels behind Suduva’s full-backs. Given how freely Siauliai scored against Dziugas, their front players carry genuine threat and should not be underestimated simply because of their league position.
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Suduva. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict this match ends with both teams scoring, with a likely scoreline of 1-1 or 2-1 in either direction. The head-to-head record is impossible to ignore. Siauliai have scored in every one of the last six competitive meetings between these sides, and Suduva have not managed to keep a clean sheet against them since 2022.
Suduva’s home advantage and better league position give them a slight edge, but Siauliai’s recent attacking form and their proven ability to win at this venue make them far more dangerous than the 5.00 odds suggest. We favour the BTTS Yes market as the best value play in this fixture, with Over 1.5 goals as the safer companion bet. Perhaps the most telling stat of all is that Suduva have won just one of their last six meetings with Siauliai. That trend is too consistent to ignore.
