Sudan vs Senegal Prediction: 19.08.2025 African Nations Championship

As Qualifier Group D of the African Nations Championship Qualification 2024/25 comes to an end, all eyes fall on Sudan and Senegal battling for supremacy in Bergen’s Brann Stadion. Both teams sit atop the group with four points apiece after two games, but contrasting recent forms and styles of play set up a high-stakes encounter. While Sudan boasts a thumping win over Nigeria in their last outing, Senegal’s consistency and defensive solidity keep them firmly in contention. The context is heightened by both teams’ undefeated records so far in the group—a direct clash where a slip could prove costly in their race for qualification.

Much of the anticipation centers around playmakers Abdelrazig Yagoub Omer Taha, Sudan’s energetic midfielder with 2 goals in his last 2 starts, and Christian Gomis, a dynamic Senegalese forward pivotal in their transition play. Both possess the ability to tilt the balance for their sides, while supporters look for a star turn on the biggest qualifying night.

Hot stat: Sudan delivered the most commanding attack of the round with a 4-0 triumph over Nigeria—an emphatic response that included five different players contributing to the goal tally in the opening two qualifiers.

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Sudan vs Senegal prediction

The best value for this match lies in the “Draw No Bet: Senegal” market. Senegal’s competitive edge comes through in their solid defensive record—just one goal conceded in their two group stage matches—contrasted by Sudan’s occasional lapses against active midfields. Considering Senegal’s higher win probability (42 percent) compared to Sudan’s (26 percent) as per the bookmakers, a cautious yet aggressive approach favors the West Africans if either side breaks the deadlock.

From a tactical perspective, Sudan is slightly more aggressive in the final third, averaging 18 total shots per match and producing a high press that yielded a dominant 4-0 over Nigeria. However, this style sometimes leads to defensive imbalances, as evidenced by their average of 11.5 fouls and relatively modest pass accuracy (485 passes per match at 71 percent). Senegal, meanwhile, is more methodical, focusing on ball retention and transition, illustrated by their 535 average passes per game at a sharper 73 percent accuracy, and a disciplined foul count for a team that defends in numbers.

Expect both teams to stay true to their 4-2-3-1 formations, keeping the midfield crowded. Given their equivalent group standing but different approaches to maintaining possession and disciplined defensive lines, a tight contest with a slight edge to Senegal is anticipated if they can absorb Sudan’s early pressure.

Team Analysis

Sudan recent games: The 4-0 win over Nigeria stands out as a statement result for Sudan, who were clinical and adventurous going forward. Abdelrazig Yagoub Omer Taha’s double set the tone, and Musa Ali provided vital support on the break. Before that, Sudan drew 1-1 with Congo, showing some defensive vulnerability but resilience to recover from setbacks. Their earlier run of matches, including a 1-1 away draw with South Sudan and a goalless stalemate against Senegal, underlines a pattern of tight defense interspersed with bursts of attacking intent—the latter most evident against Nigeria.

Senegal recent games: Senegal registered a gritty 1-1 draw versus Congo in their most recent fixture, a display marked by tactical discipline and the ability to claw their way back into games. In the opening match, they edged Nigeria 1-0 with a compact line and quick counters, using the pace of Christian Gomis and the vision of Joseph Samb for the solitary goal. Despite two early losses in their previous friendlies, Senegal have rebounded with methodical performances and generally outperformed their metrics in possession and corner kicks (eight in their last five).

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Sudan vs Senegal stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Senegal the favourite

• Moneyline Sudan 3.60 | Senegal 2.23
• Draw 2.88
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.45 | Under 2.5 1.55
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.05 | No 1.67

With bookmakers giving Senegal a 42 percent win chance and slightly better odds than Sudan, this reflects their measured consistency and superior pass accuracy. However, both teams’ recent defensive displays suggest goals may be at a premium. A lower-scoring outcome is favored, reinforced by both prior encounters and current qualifying runs where neither has conceded much.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

Sudan possible starting eleven

This projected lineup utilizes Sudan’s most consistent performers over the last two qualifiers, sticking to a robust 4-2-3-1 setup. Mohamed Alnour Adam Saeed’s command in goal has provided stability, while Omer Taha’s midfield drive and Musa Ali’s movement up top remain the major attacking threats to watch.

Senegal possible starting eleven

Senegal also retain their 4-2-3-1 formation, relying on Diouf in goal for calm distribution. Joseph Samb is a leader at the back, while Gomis and Koïté pose the biggest goal threats. Expect the midfield’s balance of Ly and Guèye to help Senegal transition quickly from defense to attack.

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My take on the Match

My main pick: Draw No Bet on Senegal. While Sudan demonstrated a cutting edge in their comprehensive win over Nigeria, Senegal’s well-structured midfield and defensive fortitude give them the edge in prolonged battles. The likely low-scoring affair favors the better-organized Senegalese lineup, who should be able to stifle Sudan’s creative midfield while capitalizing on set piece opportunities at the other end.

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