Liam Duckstein
Sturm Graz host Mura in a pre-season friendly at the Brann Stadion in Bergen on June 26, with the Austrian side entering as heavy favourites at 77% according to bookmaker averages. The two sides met in a friendly last summer and shared the spoils in a 2-2 draw, which adds a bit of intrigue to what is otherwise a lopsided matchup on paper. Sturm Graz, coached by Fabio Ingolitsch, sit significantly higher in the world club rankings and have shown a more consistent win pattern across the season. Mura, under Darjan Slavic, have gone winless in their last two outings, both ending in draws.
Sturm Graz midfielder depth and structured build-up play will be tested against a Mura side that tends to sit deep and absorb pressure. Keep an eye on Mura’s attacking outlet from midfield, as their recent 2-1 win over Maribor showed they can spring counters effectively when given space. For Sturm Graz, their forward line carries the real threat, and whoever leads the press in the final third will be key to breaking down a defensive Mura shape.
Hot stat: Mura’s last five competitive results include just one win, and their only recent goal tally of note came in a 2-3 defeat to Radomlje, where they scored twice but still lost. Their overall 2026 win rate sits at just 18% across 22 matches.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026, June Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 26.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Sturm Graz vs Mura Prediction
Sturm Graz are the clear pick here. Their form across the season is considerably stronger than Mura’s, and with a 77% win probability from the bookmakers, the market agrees. The Austrian side’s recent run includes wins over SK Rapid and Hartberg, and while they drew three of their last five competitive matches, those draws came against quality opposition including Salzburg and LASK. That level of competition is far above what Mura can offer.
Mura have drawn both of their matches in the last 30 days, against opponents with much lower ratings than Sturm Graz. Their winless run stretches back through a string of losses and draws, and their form guide reads as one of the weaker in this friendly tournament. We predict Sturm Graz to win, and to do so with a clean sheet being a realistic possibility.
On the style front, Sturm Graz tend to play a possession-based game with structured pressing phases, which should allow them to control tempo. Mura rely more on transitions and can be disorganized when pressed high. The fouls and yellow card data is unavailable for their recent five matches, but based on their broader season profile and the physical nature of their Slovenian league play, Mura tend to give away set pieces, which could hand Sturm Graz additional scoring opportunities.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Sturm Graz to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Sturm Graz have played five competitive matches in the recent window, going W-W-D-D-D across that stretch. Their 4-2 win over Hartberg was the standout result, showing genuine attacking output and the ability to absorb a goal or two while still dominating. The 2-0 victory over SK Rapid was also notable given Rapid’s rating of 591, making it one of the stronger scalps in recent weeks. Their draws against Salzburg, Austria Vienna, and LASK came against top-tier Austrian Bundesliga opposition, so those results carry no shame.
Mura’s recent form is far patchier. Their most encouraging result was a 2-1 win over Maribor, a solid Slovenian side. But that has been bookended by a 0-1 defeat to Koper, a 2-3 loss to Radomlje, and a 1-1 draw with Ararat-Armenia in their most recent outing. Their last five results show a team that struggles to see out victories and leaks goals when pressed. The 2-3 defeat to Radomlje is particularly telling, as Radomlje sit at a world ranking of 1203, meaning Mura dropped points to a side significantly below them on paper.
🚨Check out our dedicated Sturm Graz vs Mura stats page for more info.
Mura. Source: Official Website
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Sturm Graz the Favourite
- Moneyline Sturm Graz 1.17 | Mura 11.00
- Draw 6.00
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The 1.17 price on Sturm Graz reflects just how dominant the market expects them to be. To be honest, that price leaves almost no value on the straight win market. The draw at 6.00 is the only head-to-head precedent we have from last July’s meeting, but repeating that result feels unlikely given the gap in current form. Mura at 11.00 is a long shot that only makes sense if Sturm Graz field a heavily rotated squad, which is possible in a pre-season setting. The better value play, as we predict, is Sturm Graz to win to nil, which should carry a more attractive price than the flat moneyline.
Possible Starting Lineups
Sturm Graz Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: J. Scherpen
- DF: G. Wüthrich, J. Gazibegovic, A. Affengruber, S. Ingolitsch
- MF: A. Hierländer, J. Kiteishvili, M. Stankovic
- FW: O. Ajeti, M. Bøving, B. Yalcouye
Sturm Graz are likely to line up in a 4-3-3 or a 4-2-3-1 shape under Fabio Ingolitsch. Given the friendly nature of the fixture, rotation is expected, but the core defensive and midfield structure should remain recognizable. Kiteishvili is the player to watch in the middle of the park, as his ability to dictate tempo and find pockets of space will be central to breaking down Mura’s defensive block. Ajeti leads the line and has the physicality to cause problems for a Slovenian backline that has already shown vulnerability this season.
Mura Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Š. Ilič
- DF: L. Karničnik, M. Maruško, A. Pucko, D. Kouter
- MF: J. Maroša, N. Repas, T. Cipot, A. Horvat
- FW: A. Mulahusejnović, L. Šturm
Mura are expected to set up in a 4-2-3-1 or a compact 4-4-2 under Darjan Slavic, prioritizing defensive organization over attacking ambition. Repas in midfield has the energy to press and win second balls, and Mulahusejnović up front showed in the win over Maribor that he can hold the ball and bring others into play. The defensive line will need to be alert to Sturm Graz’s wide play, as their full-backs tend to get forward and overload the flanks. Mura’s best chance of staying in the game is a tight first half where they limit Sturm Graz to half-chances.
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Sturm Graz. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Sturm Graz should win this comfortably. Their season win rate of 33% across 21 matches may not look spectacular, but it comes against a much higher quality of opposition than Mura faces in the Slovenian league. Mura’s 18% win rate across 22 matches in 2026 tells a clearer story about their current level.
The one result that gives Mura any credibility here is last July’s 2-2 draw with Sturm Graz in the same friendly competition. Perhaps that result reflects Sturm Graz’s tendency to ease off in pre-season, or perhaps Mura simply had a good day. We would not bank on a repeat. The Austrian side’s recent wins over Rapid and Hartberg show they are capable of turning on the performance when motivated, and this fixture gives them a chance to build rhythm ahead of competitive action.
We predict a Sturm Graz win, with goals coming primarily from the home side. Over 2.5 goals in the match looks reasonable given Sturm Graz’s attacking output, and both teams to score gets a no from us, as Mura’s attacking record against quality sides is poor. The Sturm Graz to win to nil market is our preferred play, offering better value than the flat moneyline at 1.17.
