Sofia Quijada
Sporting Gijon hosts Almeria in a high-stakes La Liga 2 clash at El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini. Gijon, in mid-table and seeking stability, must contain an Almeria side with promotion ambitions. The bookmakers back the visitors heavily, yet Gijon’s recent home win against Real Zaragoza shows some fighting spirit remains. Sergio Arribas of Almeria, with three goals in his last four games, stands out as a constant threat. Gaspar Campos has provided creativity and goals for Gijon. Defensive discipline will be tested on both sides.
Hot stat: Almeria have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, showing consistent attacking output despite tough fixtures.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2 2025/26 Regular Season, Spain |
| 🏟 Venue: | El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini, Gijon |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:30 CEST |
Sporting Gijon vs Almeria prediction
We predict Almeria to win. The visitors enter with a 57% winrate for the year and a strong 60% winrate over the last five matches. Sporting Gijon, inconsistent and leaking goals, have lost three of their last five. Almeria’s attack, led by Arribas and supported by the likes of Embarba, has looked sharp. Sporting Gijon struggle for control, evidenced by lower pass accuracy and fewer shots.
Both teams are physical: Gijon average 11.4 fouls and almost 3 yellow cards per match, Almeria slightly less. Almeria play with greater discipline (only 7 yellows in last five matches) and superior possession, as seen in more completed passes and higher accuracy. Gijon’s aggressive approach may see bookings and free kicks conceded in dangerous areas, increasing Almeria’s set-piece threat. The match tempo favors Almeria’s organized midfield and their capacity to exploit defensive lapses.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Over 10.5 Corners |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 10.5 |
Team Analysis
Sporting Gijon recently broke a losing streak by defeating Real Zaragoza 3-1, showing more cutting edge in front of goal. Previously, they lost narrowly to Malaga and Ceuta, conceding twice in each. The Gijon defense is porous, allowing multiple goals per match across recent fixtures, and their midfield lacks consistency. Gaspar Campos, a creative forward, remains key in connecting play and generating chances. Keeper Rubén Yáñez faces heavy workloads, often exposed by defensive errors.
Almeria dropped points against Las Palmas (1-2) but posted a solid unbeaten run before that, including a 4-2 win over Mirandes and a 3-2 away victory at Malaga. Arribas drives their attack, Embarba provides experience and assists, and the defensive line, led by Rodrigo Ely, brings stability. Their midfield, with Lopy and Horta, dictates possession and tempo. Almeria’s strong pressing and transitions turn defensive moments into attacking opportunities.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Sporting Gijon | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1, 1, 1 | 2, 1, 1 |
| Total shots | 32 (last 5) | 66 (last 5) |
| Free kicks | 11 (last 5) | 6 (last 5) |
| Corner kicks | 12 (last 5) | 17 (last 5) |
| Total fouls | 57 (last 5) | 54 (last 5) |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 69-88 | 52-89 |
| Interceptions | 40 (last 5) | 40 (last 5) |
| Offsides | 11 (last 5) | 6 (last 5) |
🚨Check out our dedicated Sporting Gijon vs Almeria stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Almeria the favourite
- Moneyline Sporting Gijon 4.20 | Almeria 1.70
- Draw 4.00
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.75
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.85
Almeria’s clear favorite status reflects superior form, winrate, and attacking output. The high odds on a Gijon home win (4.20) align with their recent defensive struggles. Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 offers value given both teams’ scoring patterns and defensive vulnerabilities. BTTS (Yes) at 1.95 makes sense: Gijon have scored in all recent matches, and Almeria rarely fail to find the net.
Sporting Gijon. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Sporting Gijon possible starting eleven
- GK: Rubén Yáñez
- DF: Guillermo Rosas, Lucas Perrin, Andres Cuenca, Pablo García
- MF: Justin Smith, Álex Corredera, César Gelabert
- FW: Gaspar Campos, J. Dubasin, Amadou Matar Coundoul
Yáñez retains his place as first-choice keeper. Rosas, Perrin, Cuenca, and García have been the most consistent defenders. Smith and Corredera anchor midfield, with Gelabert providing link-up play. Campos and Dubasin deliver width and goals, while Coundoul leads the attack. Gijon will likely stick to their 4-2-3-1 setup, relying on Campos for creative spark and Dubasin for incisive runs.
Almeria possible starting eleven
- GK: Andrés Fernández
- DF: Álex Muñoz, Rodrigo Ely, Federico Bonini, Marcos Luna
- MF: Stefan Džodić, André Horta, Sergio Arribas
- FW: Adrián Embarba, Léo Baptistão, Miguel De La Fuente
Fernández starts in goal, shielded by a reliable back four. Džodić and Horta control the midfield, with Arribas as the playmaker. Embarba and Baptistão provide width and attacking impetus, De La Fuente the focal point up front. Almeria will deploy a 4-2-3-1, maximizing Arribas’ goal threat and Embarba’s service from wide areas.
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Almeria. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Almeria to win away, with both teams finding the net and at least three goals scored. Almeria’s superior form, clinical attack, and organized defense set them apart. Sporting Gijon can cause problems through Campos, but defensive lapses and inconsistency undermine their chances. Almeria’s tactical discipline and offensive depth will likely secure all three points.
