Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Liga 1 2025 Match - 16.11.2025

On November 16, 2025, at 22:00 CEST, the storied rivalry between Sport Boys and Alianza Lima writes its latest chapter at Brann Stadion, Bergen. Though somewhat removed from their Peruvian origins, the neutral venue heightens anticipation, promising a fascinating tactical battle in the heart of the Liga 1 Clausura phase. As both clubs navigate turbulent campaigns, this encounter assumes significance well beyond mere tables and numbers — offering a spectacle steeped in drama, form, and football culture.

Two players demand the limelight for their recent impact. For Sport Boys, Luciano Nequecaur has been a rare bright spark in attack, netting twice in their last five outings, while Alianza Lima find inspiration and consistency in the veteran presence of Paolo Guerrero — a striker whose tally of six goals in the last five matches underlines both sway and legacy.
The “Hot stat”? Alianza Lima have scored 12 goals in their last five fixtures, effectively averaging over two per match. This offensive momentum could be decisive.

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Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima predictions

My best bet: Alianza Lima to win. The contrast in current form could hardly be sharper. Alianza Lima ride a wave of confidence, three wins and a draw in their last four, underpinned by a bustling attack orchestrated by Paolo Guerrero and supported by Pedro Aquino. In stark contrast, Sport Boys’ campaign has faltered; a winrate of just 25% across their last four matches, and only a solitary win in their last five league outings. Momentum, squad quality, and tactical discipline all skew heavily toward Alianza Lima — making an away win the value play here.

Sport Boys deploy a 4-2-3-1, striving for midfield solidity but often succumbing to lapses in discipline (52 fouls, 6 yellow cards in 5 matches). Alianza Lima’s 4-1-4-1 is equally combative, though typically more compact and clinical, reflected in both their defensive shape and attacking verve (12 goals, 10 yellow cards, 70 fouls in 5 games). The high volume of fouls and bookings raises the stakes, likely resulting in stoppages and swings in rhythm — yet Lima’s superior ball control and ability to capitalize in the final third should make the difference.

Prop picks by me:
• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima Most recent H2Hs

Recent head-to-head encounters mirror the broader arc of both clubs’ fortunes. Alianza Lima have won all three most recent clashes, scoring a cumulative 7 goals while conceding only 1 — a clear testament to their assertive, pressing style and ability to manage high-stakes fixtures. Sport Boys, by contrast, struggled to break down Lima’s compact lines even at home, an omen for this neutral-venue test.

🚨Read our full Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Alianza Lima have collected nine points from their last four matches (three wins, one draw).
• They have outscored Sport Boys 7 to 1 in the last three head-to-head meetings.
• Paolo Guerrero has scored in four consecutive matches.
• Sport Boys have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game in their last five fixtures.
• Disciplinary action: Both teams combine for 22 yellow cards in their last five games — expect a fiercely contested battle.

Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima score prediction: 1-3

This match sets up strongly for a multi-goal contest. Lima’s forward line, centered on Paolo Guerrero (6 goals in 5 matches), should thrive against a leaky Boys’ backline. Expect Luciano Nequecaur and Luis Urruti to push for the hosts, but the collective edge lies with the visitors. Lima’s blend of experience and pace could well see them pull away for a 3-1 victory.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Alianza Lima the favourite

Given their head-to-head dominance and offensive momentum, Alianza Lima justifiably assume the role of favourites. The expected goals tally, combined with discipline and shot volume, makes their victory — and a possible multi-goal margin — the rational baseline.

Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima Over/Under Analysis

• Four of the last five Sport Boys matches have surpassed 2.5 goals.
• Alianza Lima have scored at least two goals in each of their last four outings.
• BTTS landed in three of their last five combined head-to-heads.
• Over 8.5 corners has hit in four of the last five for these sides.

Sport Boys Preview

With a single victory in their last five matches, Sport Boys seek redemption and stability. Their most recent outing, a chastening 0-3 defeat to Cusco, typified ongoing defensive lapses. While Luciano Nequecaur and Luis Urruti strive to inject dynamism up front, structural weaknesses and mounting disciplinary issues (52 fouls, 6 yellows in five games) have undermined their ambitions. Coach Juan Carlos Cabanillas’ 4-2-3-1 formation is designed for balance but has yet to deliver a consistent edge.

Sport Boys possible starting eleven

• GK: Steven Rivadeneyra
• DF: Renzo Salazar, Cristian Carbajal, Hansell Riojas, Sebastian Aranda
• MF: Nicolas Da Campo, Fidel Martinez, Carlos Augusto López Venegas
• FW: Oslimg Mora, Luciano Nequecaur, Luis Urruti

Alianza Lima Preview

Alianza Lima enter this duel on a wave of confidence, unbeaten in their last four (three wins, one draw). In their last match, they dispatched Los Chankas 2-1, with Paolo Guerrero again at the heart of the action. Their hallmark remains a tactically assured 4-1-4-1 set-up, leveraging midfield superiority and quick transitions. The intelligence of Pedro Aquino, combined with Guerrero’s finishing, gives Néstor Gorosito’s side a reliable blueprint for both breaking lines and absorbing pressure.

Alianza Lima possible starting eleven

• GK: Ángelo Campos
• DF: Renzo Garces, Carlos Zambrano, Miguel Trauco, Josué Estrada
• MF: Jesús Castillo, Pedro Aquino, Fernando Gaibor, Pablo Ceppelini, Sergio Peña
• FW: Paolo Guerrero

Our prediction: Who Wins?

As a team of Tips.GG analysts, our consensus pick is for Alianza Lima to secure the victory — with a 66 percent winning probability as projected by our AI-powered model. The superior blend of attacking firepower, recent head-to-head control, and tactical cohesion gives them a clear edge. While Sport Boys possess the spirit to challenge, structural weaknesses at both ends limit their ceiling in this encounter.

How to watch Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima

When? November 16, 2025, 22:00 CEST.
Where? Brann Stadion, Bergen.
How to Watch: Broadcast on local Liga 1 rights partner, plus select streaming platforms.
Favorite: Alianza Lima

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