Spain (w) vs Belgium (w) Prediction: 07.07.2025 UEFA European Women's Championship

The UEFA European Women’s Championship Group B match between Spain and Belgium on 7 July 2025 brings together two sides with contrasting narratives at Thun’s Stockhorn Arena. Spain, reigning champions with heady form, face a Belgian squad keen to reverse recent misfortunes. The Spanish have started emphatically, while Belgium now teeters on the brink of an early tournament exit.

Keep a close eye on Alexia Putellas Spain’s midfield maestro, who has combined technical flair with intelligence in the engine room, and Tessa Wullaert Belgium’s creative heartbeat, whose vision and leadership will be vital if the Red Flames are to engineer an upset. Both possess that match-altering spark that can tilt the game in either direction.

Notably, Spain’s stunning 5-0 opening win was their fourth consecutive competitive match scoring at least three goals an offensive juggernaut rarely seen at this level.

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Spain (w) vs Belgium (w) prediction

Given the crystalline form Spain are enjoying evidenced by their perfect record both in recent matches and across the year the best value sits with a Spain win paired with an Asian Handicap of -2.5. Spain’s relentless pressing game, technical dominance, and attacking depth indicate not just victory, but another comprehensive margin. Belgium are struggling for goals and defensive cohesion, particularly against high-intensity and fluid sides.

Both squads commit around an average of 11 fouls per match, but Spain display greater discipline in transitions and are less likely to self-destruct with rash challenges. Yellow card counts remain even, but Spain’s accuracy (an eye-watering 88 percent pass completion in their opener) contrasts starkly with Belgium’s 62 percent and far fewer completed passes. The Spanish gameplan is grounded in ball progression and width, while Belgium have struggled to get out of their own half and have surrendered sizable shot differences Spain ranking at 22 shots per match to Belgium’s meagre 10.

Such discrepancies make the over goals market attractive: Spain’s attacking configuration, with Putellas and Paralluelo operating between the lines and flanks, is likely to penetrate a Belgium side with a history of defensive vulnerability in this fixture.

Team Analysis

Spain (w): Their latest outing a 5-0 demolition of Portugal showcased the hallmarks of Montse Tomé’s aggressive 4-3-3: relentless wing play, interchange between lines, and a high press that forced turnovers in dangerous areas. Spain scored at will, with Vicky López and Cristina Martín-Prieto among those getting on the scoresheet. This victory followed wins over globally-ranked opponents such as England and Japan, underscoring both consistency and squad depth. Spain’s recent 7-1 rout of Portugal only adds to the impression of irresistible momentum moving forward.

Belgium (w): In contrast, Belgium’s most recent group fixture ended in a narrow 0-1 defeat to Italy. Ives Serneels’s side struggled to carve out meaningful opportunities, with Wullaert often isolated up top. Issues evident in the heavy 0-5 loss to France persist particularly defensive lapses and a lack of penetration from midfield. Yet, there’s hope in flashes, as in their 3-0 win over Portugal, but overall, recent form bespeaks inconsistency and fragility under sustained pressure from technical opponents.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Spain (w) vs Belgium (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Spain (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Spain (w) 1.02 | Belgium (w) 61.00
• Draw 16.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.25 | Under 2.5 4.10
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.85 | No 1.35

These odds leave little room for argument Spain walk in as overwhelming favourites given their scintillating form, technical edge, and recent head-to-head dominance. Bookmakers’ reluctance to give Belgium any respite isn’t just market noise; the gulf on paper and on the pitch is enormous. The draw and away win are priced far out for a reason: Spain’s attack is purring, their defence mean, and Belgium’s struggles against such sides are well-documented. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS (No) also appeal given historic results.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Spain (w) possible starting eleven

Montse Tomé favours her attacking 4-3-3, and with Nanclares Romero staking her claim between the sticks, Spain’s defensive line combines technical proficiency and athleticism. The midfield trio bristles with creativity and composure expect Putellas and Bonmatí, both comfortable carrying possession and threading passes, to dictate tempo. González leads the line having recently bagged a brace. Martín-Prieto and López will stretch Belgium’s back four, exploiting wide areas and running in behind.

Belgium (w) possible starting eleven

Ives Serneels will likely stick with his accustomed 4-4-1-1, maximising the midfield presence to contain Spanish creativity. Lichtfus starts in goal, with experience and organisation needed in front of her. Cayman and Kees anchor the defence, while Vanhaevermaet and Missipo will need to provide stability as Spain press high. Wullaert, Belgium’s most influential player, should drop deeper to link play and spark counterattacks, while Eurlings and Wijnants provide energy in wide and forward areas. Formation discipline is essential if the Red Flames are to keep it competitive.

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The Verdict

Our main pick: Spain (w) to win comfortably, covering the -2.5 Asian Handicap. Spain’s recent scoring deluge, combined with Belgium’s defensive lapses and toothless attack against top-level opposition, strengthen the case for another one-sided affair. The tactical flexibility Spain possess allows them to dominate possession and territory, whilst Belgium have yet to answer fundamental questions about resilience under pressure. History, form, and momentum all direct us to a statement Spanish victory one that may well set the tone for their title defence through the latter stages.

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