Alex MacQuoid
Two African women’s national sides meet in Bergen on June 4th for the opening round of the CAF Women’s Olympic Qualifying Tournament 2028. South Sudan face Madagascar at Brann Stadion in what is a genuinely difficult match to call with confidence, mostly because both squads have been largely inactive in recent months. South Sudan have played no competitive matches in the last 30 days, and their recent form stretching back further tells a rough story: five losses in their last five recorded results before a pair of wins broke the pattern briefly. Madagascar arrive in slightly better shape on paper, having beaten Namibia 1-0 in their most recent outing, a result that at least shows they can grind out a narrow win when needed.
One thing worth flagging: both teams share the same listed coach, Jeff Strasser, which is almost certainly a data anomaly, but it’s a strange detail that hangs over this preview regardless. On the pitch, watch for Madagascar’s attacking players to test whatever defensive shape South Sudan set up, given that South Sudan conceded 13 goals across their last four matches before their 3-1 win over Burundi. That Burundi win is probably the most meaningful recent data point for South Sudan, and it at least shows they can score when the opposition allows it.
Hot stat: South Sudan shipped 13 goals in four consecutive losses against Tanzania, Uganda, Kenya and Algeria before turning things around against Burundi. Madagascar, on the other hand, have kept a clean sheet in two of their last five recorded matches and scored five against Mauritius, suggesting a team with real variance in output depending on the opponent.
| 🏆 Tournament: | CAF Women’s Olympic Qualifying Tournament 2028, First Round |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 04.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:00 CEST |
South Sudan (w) vs Madagascar (w) prediction
We think Madagascar are the better-organised side based on what the recent results show. Their 1-0 win over Namibia, a team ranked around 10956, was compact and controlled. South Sudan’s 3-1 win over Burundi is encouraging but Burundi sit at a world ranking of over 20000, which puts that result in context. Madagascar’s ability to keep clean sheets and their win over a stronger Namibia side tips the balance here.
The absence of detailed team stats for the latest five matches makes it harder to assess style precisely, but from what the results suggest, South Sudan play with a fairly direct approach that leaves them exposed at the back. Their foul count and defensive discipline are unknowns, honestly, but conceding four goals to both Tanzania and Kenya in consecutive games is a pattern that doesn’t disappear overnight. Madagascar look more defensively sound and their 5-1 win over Mauritius shows they can be clinical when the door opens.
We’d lean toward a Madagascar win or at least a low-scoring match. A total goals market under 2.5 looks reasonable given Madagascar’s recent tendency to win tight, and both teams to score feels unlikely given South Sudan’s recent form on the attacking end against stronger opposition.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Madagascar (w) to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 8.5 |
Team Analysis
South Sudan’s recent run is difficult to ignore. Before their 3-1 result against Burundi on June 21st (timestamp 1750507200), they had lost to Kenya 4-0, Uganda 5-0, and Tanzania 4-0 in successive matches. That’s a 13-goal deficit across three games, and those opponents, while not world-beaters, sit in a reasonable range of African women’s football. The Burundi win came against a side with a ranking over 20000, so it’s a positive result but not one that rewrites the narrative entirely. South Sudan have shown they can be competitive against weaker opposition but fall apart against teams that press high and move quickly.
Madagascar’s most recent match was a 1-0 win over Namibia (ranking 10956), a solid result. Before that, they drew 0-0 with Botswana (ranking 21079) and lost 1-0 to Malawi, then hammered Mauritius 5-1. The Botswana draw is a slight concern since Botswana sit much lower in the rankings, but the Namibia win and Mauritius demolition give a reasonable picture of a team that can perform when motivated. Their form string of lllwldwl shows inconsistency, yes, but that last win over Namibia is the freshest data point and it counts.
🚨Check out our dedicated South Sudan (w) vs Madagascar (w) stats page for more info.
Possible Starting Lineups
South Sudan will likely set up in a 4-3-3 or 4-4-2 shape, depending on how Jeff Strasser wants to approach the game. Their attacking output against Burundi, a 3-1 win, shows they have players capable of finding the net, but the defensive structure needs to be tight here. Without player-level data, it’s hard to pinpoint individuals, but whoever leads the line will need support quickly given how easily South Sudan have been cut open in previous matches.
Madagascar’s 1-0 win over Namibia suggests a disciplined defensive setup, maybe a 4-5-1 or 4-4-2 that prioritises compactness. Their 5-1 win over Mauritius shows they have attacking quality when the game opens up. A 4-3-3 with a hard-working front three would fit their profile nicely in a tournament opener where managing energy matters. Without confirmed squad data, these are reasonable assumptions rather than confirmed picks.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Madagascar (w). Source: WordPressnamibia. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Madagascar are the side we’d back here, and honestly it’s not particularly close when you weigh up the recent results. South Sudan’s defensive record over their last four competitive matches before the Burundi win was catastrophic, and Burundi themselves are ranked well outside the top 20000 in the world. Madagascar beat a team ranked around 10956 in their last match and showed they can keep things tight at the back. The Bergen setting is neutral ground for both, so home advantage doesn’t factor in.
We think Madagascar win this 1-0 or 2-0. South Sudan may create a chance or two, particularly if Madagascar sit deep, but their inability to score against stronger sides in recent memory suggests a clean sheet is well within reach for the Malagasy backline. Under 2.5 total goals and Madagascar to win to nil are the two markets we’d focus on here, with the caveat that odds need to be confirmed before any stake goes down.
