South Korea (w) vs Uzbekistan (w) Prediction: 14.03.2026 AFC Women's Asian Cup Quarterfinals

The AFC Women’s Asian Cup quarterfinal between South Korea and Uzbekistan offers a fascinating contest of contrasting styles and ambitions. While South Korea have quietly built momentum with impressive attacking displays — highlighted by a stunning 3-3 draw against host nation Australia — Uzbekistan are emerging as a resilient side seeking to punch above their weight on the continental stage. Both teams will be acutely aware that a place in the semifinals awaits, ratcheting up the pressure and tactical intrigue. Of particular interest is how South Korea’s wide play and midfield control might fare against Uzbekistan’s physical edge and direct approach. With so much on the line, one senses this clash will shape the tournament narrative moving forward.

Without the need for a separate section, keep an eye on South Korea’s dynamic midfielder Moon Eun-ju, whose two goals in the last three matches have added vital drive in the middle of the park. For Uzbekistan, striker Dildora Nozimova remains their biggest threat having netted twice recently, her movement in the channels will test South Korea’s backline.

Hot stat: South Korea have scored 9 goals in their last five matches with only 2 yellow cards — an illustration of attacking efficiency with disciplined defending.

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South Korea (w) vs Uzbekistan (w) prediction

Given South Korea’s recent form and clinical finishing, the most prudent wager is on the host side advancing, with the likeliest scenario being a win by two or more goals. South Korea’s high press and fluid transitions can trouble Uzbekistan, who struggled defensively in recent losses to China and North Korea. Expect Shin Sang-woo’s side to assert control, leveraging their ball retention (over 80 percent pass accuracy over the last five matches) and exploiting Uzbekistan’s defensive frailties on the flanks.

Uzbekistan, notorious for racking up yellow cards (10 in their last 5), play an aggressive closing game but at the cost of control and discipline. Their lower pass accuracy (just 55 percent) leads to frequent turnovers, inviting pressure from an industrious South Korean midfield. The Uzbek attack, led by Nozimova, will look for scraps, but clear chances may be few. For South Korea, expect effective buildup, measured risk, and an emphasis on set-piece routines — they’ve notched up 11 corners recently and will likely target Uzbekistan’s less composed defensive lines.

Team Analysis

South Korea (w) Recent Matches:
Their most recent outing, a thrilling 3-3 stalemate against tournament favourites Australia, was a true showcase of attacking verve and tactical flexibility. Prior to that, the 3-0 victories over the Philippines and Iran were masterclasses in calculated pressure and clinical finishing. The run-in suggests South Korea are peaking at just the right time—midfielders utilising concise passing, forwards pressing high, and the backline disciplined in transition. Importantly, their ability to keep discipline (just 2 yellows in 5) has allowed for sustained possession and quick turnovers in the attacking third.

Uzbekistan (w) Recent Matches:
Uzbekistan endured a mixed bag in their last trio: a resounding 4-0 win against Bangladesh injected much-needed confidence after consecutive 0-3 defeats to China and North Korea exposed their vulnerability to pace and wide threats. Across these fixtures, the central midfield struggled under pressure, and an over-reliance on direct balls up to Nozimova left them susceptible to counters. Defensively, the high foul count (31 in last 5 games) highlights a need for more composure. Turnovers and rash tackles feed opponent momentum, which could be costly against South Korea’s crisp passing game.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full South Korea (w) vs Uzbekistan (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: South Korea (w) the favourite

• Moneyline South Korea (w) 1.15 | Uzbekistan (w) 8.00
• Draw 5.80
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.80 | Under 2.5 2.00
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.15 | No 1.65

South Korea are overwhelming favourites and for good reason: superior form, ball security, and tactical acumen. The draw commands a longer price, reflecting South Korea’s proactive approach and Uzbekistan’s defensive struggles. The over on total goals looks sharp given South Korea’s recent high-scoring outings, while “No” on BTTS is justified — Uzbekistan have found the net only 4 times in 5 and were blanked in their toughest group games.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

South Korea (w) possible starting eleven

This projected XI offers the right blend of experience and energy in a 4-4-2 formation — an approach that’s paid dividends across their current winning stretch. Expect Moon Eun-ju to orchestrate attacks from deep alongside the seasoned Ji So-Yun, while the Ko Yoo-Jin and Jang Sel-gi partnership brings stability at the back. With Jeon Yu-gyeong eager to exploit Uzbekistan’s flanks, South Korea could dominate both phases.

Uzbekistan (w) possible starting eleven

Uzbekistan should mirror the 4-4-2, with Jonimqulova between the sticks and a defensive line that must remain compact if they’re to hold out. Zoirova and Ablyakimova hold the midfield engine, while the quick-footed Nozimova and technical Kudratova are tasked with providing the offensive spark. The side must find early attacking rhythm to avoid being boxed in by Korea’s high press.

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My take on the Match

Given South Korea’s consistently high level of technical execution, balance, and resourcefulness in big matches, they’re my confident pick to progress. Expect them to set the tempo, force turnovers, and use width to wear down Uzbekistan, who have yet to prove they can handle pressure from top-tier opposition. The Korean midfield, led by Moon Eun-ju, ought to dictate proceedings and provide the extra quality in the final third. Uzbekistan’s battling spirit will keep it lively, but unless they significantly raise their defensive game, the edge is with South Korea to book a spot in the semifinals.

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