Rafael Nogueira
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Ghana travel to face Somalia in Group C of the Africa Cup of Nations 2027 qualifiers on 16.11.2026. Ghana sit third in the group with three points from three matches, while Somalia remain bottom without a point. The sides met only four days earlier, and Ghana won 2-0 on that occasion, so the group pressure on both teams is clear.
Mohammed Kudus carries the main attacking threat for Ghana. He has taken eight shots and recorded two assists across the latest five matches, and he links play well between midfield and attack. Felix Ohene Afena-Gyan supplies the finishing, having scored two goals in two appearances. For Somalia, Sakariya Hassan is the outlet to watch. He has completed 22 passes and created the most chances from the forward line, with six free kicks won.
Hot stat: Ghana registered 46 total shots across their latest five matches, while Somalia managed only six in the same period. That gap points to a heavy attacking workload for Ghana and a limited threat from Somalia.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Africa Cup of Nations 2027 Qualifier, Group C |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:00 CEST |
Somalia vs Ghana prediction
Ghana are the clear favourite, and we back them to win. Their attacking output across the last five matches sits far above Somalia, and the 2-0 win in the previous meeting showed they can control this fixture. The best value sits in backing Ghana to win to nil, because Somalia have failed to score in their last five matches and Ghana have the superior midfield and passing platform to keep a clean sheet at a short price.
Ghana complete far more passes, with 1,126 to Somalia’s 356, and they keep the ball for long spells. Somalia commit fouls at a similar rate, with 22 against Ghana’s 28, and they collect two yellow cards to Ghana’s none. Somalia will sit deep and counter, and that approach limits their ability to create clear chances. Expect Ghana to dominate possession, force Somalia into defensive errors, and win the game with a controlled scoreline.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Ghana to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Somalia lost their most recent match 0-2 to Ghana. Their form reads as a long losing run with only two wins and three draws across the last fifteen results. Somalia struggled to create chances, managing six shots over five matches, and they have not scored in that period. Before the Ghana defeat, they lost 0-2 to Côte d’Ivoire and 1-2 to Gambia, and their only convincing result came in a 4-2 win over Mauritius. In our preview of Ghana vs Somalia we called a Ghana win with a narrow margin, and the 0-2 result delivered it.
Ghana won their last match 2-0 against Somalia, which broke a sequence of defeats. Before that win, they lost 2-4 to Gambia, 0-2 to Côte d’Ivoire, 0-1 to Colombia and 1-2 to Croatia. Their form remains poor overall, with ten defeats across the last fifteen results, but their attacking numbers stay strong with 46 shots over five matches. In our preview of Ghana vs Somalia we predicted a Ghana victory, and the 0-2 scoreline confirmed that call. To be honest, Ghana’s defensive record in the group has given us some doubt, yet Somalia lack the firepower to exploit it.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Somalia | Ghana |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Somalia vs Ghana stats page for more info.
Somalia. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ghana the favourite
- Moneyline Somalia 21.00 | Ghana 1.09
- Draw 7.50
Bookmakers price Ghana at roughly 84% to win, Somalia at 5%, and the draw at 11%. The 1.09 price on Ghana offers little return, so backing Ghana to win to nil or under goals will provide better value than the straight moneyline.
Possible Starting Lineups
Somalia possible starting eleven
- DF: Omar Ali, Abdiwali Abdirahman Mohamed, Ahmed Abdullahi Abdi
- MF: Abdi Sharif, Mohamed Ahmed Osman
- FW: Sakariya Hassan, Abdulsamed Abdullahi, Bilal Njie, Muba Nour, Ali Musse
We expect Somalia to line up in a 4-2-3-1, with Sakariya Hassan and Abdulsamed Abdullahi carrying the attacking load. Abdi Sharif is the main midfield presence, and he has collected two yellow cards in recent matches, so discipline in the middle of the pitch will matter.
Ghana possible starting eleven
- GK: Benjamin Asare
- DF: Alidu Seidu, Mohammed Salisu, Gideon Mensah, Jonas Adjetey
- MF: Thomas Partey, Caleb Yirenkyi, Ibrahim Sulemana, Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
- FW: Mohammed Kudus, Felix Ohene Afena-Gyan
Ghana should set up in a 4-4-2. Thomas Partey anchors the midfield and completes the most passes on the team, while Jonas Adjetey adds a goal threat from full-back. Jordan Ayew offers an alternative up front if the coach wants more physical presence, and he has produced six shots in the last five matches.
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Ghana. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Ghana to win this fixture with a clean sheet. Ghana’s attacking volume and superior passing make them the stronger side, and Somalia have scored no goals in five matches. Expect a low-scoring contest where Ghana control possession and Somalia struggle to create clear chances. Our tip is Ghana to win to nil, with under 2.5 total goals as the secondary option.
