Slaven Belupo vs Vukovar 1991 Prediction: 21.11.2025 1. HNL 2025/26 Preview

As we approach the heart of the 1. HNL regular season, Slaven Belupo host Vukovar 1991 at Gradski Stadion in Koprivnica. Both sides have shown a preference for structured, tactical football, and this encounter offers more than just mid-table points: Slaven seek to consolidate their hold on the fifth position, while Vukovar look to lift themselves out of the bottom tier. A key subplot is the discipline both teams show on the pitch—expect a tightly contested midfield battle and plenty of strategic adjustments from coaches Mario Gregurina and Silvijo Cabraja.

Keep an eye on Adriano Jagusic, whose goal-scoring flair from midfield offers Slaven Belupo an additional dimension, and Vukovar’s dynamic forward Jakov Puljić, who can create opportunities even against compact defensive lines. These instrumental players could be pivotal, especially given both teams’ recent difficulty in breaking deadlocks.

The ‘hot stat’ for this matchup? Vukovar 1991 have amassed an impressive 17 corner kicks in their last five matches, a standout figure that highlights their attacking intent from wide areas.

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Slaven Belupo vs Vukovar 1991 prediction

Despite only a moderate win rate in the last month, Slaven Belupo enter this match as clear favourites—supported by bookmaker consensus averaging a 54% probability for the home win compared to Vukovar’s 19%. Slaven’s home record this season has underlined their reliability in structured matches, particularly when they keep a solid back four and press efficiently in a 4-2-3-1 formation. Their latest run includes consistent results, holding strong opponents like Hajduk Split and Rijeka to draws, and clinching a notable 3-1 win over Varazdin.

Vukovar 1991’s main vulnerability lies in their ability to sustain pressure over ninety minutes. Their recent games feature a solitary win and several draws, despite a commendable ability to win corners and build play from wide. With just 12 goals in 13 fixtures, their attack has struggled for cutting edge—underscored by limited conversion from ample set-piece opportunities.

In terms of style, expect Slaven to control possession (689 passes in the last five games with pass accuracy at 51%) while Vukovar seek chances on the break, exploiting Slaven’s occasional defensive lapses. However, discipline could be an issue for both: 13 yellow cards for Slaven and 9 for Vukovar in the last five matches signal potential for stoppages and cautious phases, likely keeping the match tight but competitive.

Team Analysis

Slaven Belupo’s recent form has been built on a robust defensive platform. In their latest outing—a 1-1 draw with Lokomotiva Zagreb—they demonstrated composure and resilience, conceding infrequently but also finding it challenging to turn possession into clear chances. Earlier, the 3-0 win against Bijelo Brdo showcased their ability to harbour control in midfield and capitalize on transitions with clinical finishing, particularly from Adriano Jagusic. This balance between resilience and sporadic bursts of attacking intent forms the backbone of Slaven’s current campaign.

Vukovar 1991, meanwhile, continue to show a cooperative spirit and adaptive approach under Silvijo Cabraja. In their last five matches, they have only lost once, demonstrating a tendency to turn matches into gritty affairs—evident in their 1-1 draw with Gorica and the impressive 1-0 win over Dinamo Zagreb, a result achieved through effective pressing and taking advantage from set-pieces. However, difficulties remain in breaking down defensive setups, particularly as seen in their narrow defeats and low-scoring draws.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Slaven Belupo vs Vukovar 1991 stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Slaven Belupo the favourite

• Moneyline Slaven Belupo 1.70 | Vukovar 1991 4.90
• Draw 3.40
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.75
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.74

Slaven Belupo’s odds appear fair given the side’s recent steadiness at home and their superior position in the standings. The underlines on “Under 2.5 goals” (priced around 1.75) suggest a low-scoring affair—a logical conclusion, given both teams’ lack of prolific goal scoring in recent weeks. The “Both Teams to Score – No” market is also attractively valued, acknowledging Vukovar’s scoring troubles. The draw remains a realistic risk, but the implied probabilities and head-to-head advantage tilt value strongly toward a home result.

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Possible Starting Lineups

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My take on the Match

My main pick is a home win for Slaven Belupo, with strong value on Asian Handicap -0.75 and Under 2.5 goals. Slaven’s tactical stability, defensive discipline, and ability to manage key moments at home give them the edge, even though Vukovar’s corner count and fighting spirit make them lively opponents. Expect a closely contested match, but Slaven’s midfield quality and ability to turn possession into results should prove decisive.

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