Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split Prediction: 17.04.2026 1. HNL

As the 1. HNL regular season sprints towards its concluding chapters, this clash at Gradski Stadion in Koprivnica holds special significance for both Slaven Belupo and Hajduk Split. While for the hosts it’s a test of resilience and a chance for much-needed respite, for the visitors it’s a platform to maintain their title chase. With Hajduk Split coming into this with blistering form and Slaven Belupo struggling to shake off a winless run, we’re set for an encounter that’s more about psychological fortitude than mere numbers.

Attention will undoubtedly fall on Marko Livaja for Hajduk Split, who has netted four goals from his last three starts, a testament to his clinical finishing and poacher’s instinct inside the box. For the hosts, Ljuban Crepulja stands out—not only for his composed midfield presence but also for the solitary goal Slaven have managed in their last five matches, courtesy of his late surges into the opposition half.

If we dig into the stats for a hot talking point, Hajduk Split have chalked up an astonishing 100 percent win rate over their last four fixtures—an eye-catching purple patch that should have the travelling support brimming with anticipation.

🏅Best bets for Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split at WinSpirit with a Welcome bonus 100% up to 100$ and 25% Freebet💰

Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split prediction

The bookies have pinned Hajduk Split as strong away favourites, and it’s no wonder: not only do they boast a 100 percent win rate in the last month, but they’ve scored 10 goals across those outings. Slaven Belupo, on the other hand, are winless in five and have found the net just once. The gulf in both momentum and quality between these sides could hardly be starker.

Hajduk’s 4-2-3-1 offers both rigidity and width, posing problems for opponents with quick transitions and an aggressive press in midfield. Slaven tend to mirror the same formation, but their ball progression has been much more laboured, reflected in a pass accuracy of just 80 percent over the last five compared to Hajduk’s 87 percent. On discipline, Slaven have accrued 5 yellow cards (and nearly 9 fouls per match), potentially stifling their build-up play if key midfielders are forced to tread carefully. However, Hajduk’s more balanced approach has kept them competitive without veering into reckless territory—just three yellows in their last five. If Hajduk dominate possession as expected, and if Slaven’s discipline falters, it’s difficult to envisage an upset.

Team Analysis

Slaven Belupo went toe-to-toe with Varazdin in their recent home outing, only to fall 1-2 in yet another frustrating match for Mario Gregurina’s men. Despite a bright opening spell, their lack of an attacking spark saw them muster just a single goal in five games—a stat that speaks volumes about their ongoing creative rut. Defensively vulnerable during transitions (as evidenced by the 46 goals conceded so far this season), their issues have been further compounded by ill-discipline and fragility under pressure. With only nine wins in 29 league matches, the margin for error is razor thin.

Hajduk Split meanwhile, just swept Gorica aside 1-0 for their fourth win on the spin, extending a clinical run that has them breathing down Dinamo Zagreb’s neck at the summit. Marko Livaja again showed why he’s one of the most feared forwards in Croatia, while Gonazalo García’s side continue to look well-drilled, fluid, and confident. Clean sheets are becoming a habit, and their attacking fluidity—40 shots on target in their last five games—shows a side hitting their stride at just the right moment of the campaign.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hajduk Split the favourite

• Moneyline Slaven Belupo 4.00 | Hajduk Split 1.85
• Draw 3.35
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.72
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.15 | No 1.67

With Hajduk Split hovering near evens and Slaven Belupo at 4/1, bookmakers are underlining the gulf in class and form. The Over 2.5 market is particularly inviting given Hajduk’s recent scoring spree, though Slaven’s issues in front of goal mean BTTS ‘no’ also offers value. In matches with such one-sided momentum, it’s rare to see such a clear path for the favourites—unless Slaven can dramatically up their game, it’s all pointing Hajduk’s way.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

Possible Starting Lineups

Slaven Belupo possible starting eleven

For Slaven Belupo, Hadžikić’s recent run between the sticks should keep him as the go-to goalkeeper, while Božić and Kruselj bring experience and physicality to the defensive line. Crepulja operates as their creative heartbeat, and Mitrović offers thrust from midfield. Dabro and Mazar are likely to spearhead a conservative 4-2-3-1 setup, though unless Dabro and Mazar rediscover their scoring boots, goals may remain scarce.

Hajduk Split possible starting eleven

Silic’s assured handling ensures stability at the back while Marešić and Diallo anchor a defence that’s been excellent in transition. In midfield, Krovinović and Sigur set the tempo, distributing quickly to wide men like Pukstas and Kalik. Up top, it’s hard to look past Livaja—his movement and clinical finishing are central to Hajduk’s 4-2-3-1 formation, and with Brajkovic roaming, don’t be surprised to see space exploited behind a tiring Slaven line.

Best football betting sites and Bonuses

My take on the Match

Looking at everything—the stats, the form, and the momentum—there’s no escaping the sense that this is Hajduk Split’s game to lose. Their consistency, balance, and depth have been impressive, while Slaven’s campaign feels in danger of drifting unless they spring a huge surprise. My main pick is Hajduk Split to win, likely with a two-goal cushion, as their attacking intent should comfortably overpower a leaky Slaven backline. We might not see fireworks from the hosts, but the visitors have all the tools to get the job done and keep the pressure on Dinamo atop the table.

More useful links for football fans

• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG