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Shkendija vs Shelbourne Prediction: 23.10.2025 UEFA Europa Conference League

21.10.2025, 12:35

The UEFA Europa Conference League’s group stage continues with a compelling encounter between Shkendija and Shelbourne on October 23, 2025, at the Philip II Arena, Skopje. Both sides opened with less than ideal results and will view this fixture as pivotal to their continental ambitions. Interestingly, while Shkendija boast a marginally higher winrate this season, both teams share a recent surge in form—winning four of their last seven matches. The midfield duel, in particular, promises intrigue as both clubs leverage distinct stylistic strengths: Shkendija’s disciplined 4-4-2 against Shelbourne’s attacking 4-3-3.
Key players to monitor include Kerr McInroy, who has contributed heavily across Shelbourne’s recent matches (1 goal, 4 assists in 5 games), and Shkendija’s reliable defender Klisman Cake, known for his solid defensive stats and passing accuracy under pressure. The “hot stat” from Shelbourne is their remarkable tally of 66 shots and 25 corners across their last five matches, a testament to their attacking intent and ability to create chances.

12:45Finished23.10.2025
1ShkendijaMacedonia
0ShelbourneIreland
🏆 Tournament: UEFA Europa Conference League 2025/26 – League Phase
🏟 Venue: Philip II Arena, Skopje
🗓️ Date: 23 October 2025
⏰ Time: 19:45 CEST

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Shkendija vs Shelbourne Prediction

The best value prediction for this encounter is “Draw No Bet: Shkendija.” Market averages and implied probabilities from top bookmakers suggest Shkendija (45 percent) are slight favourites, yet Shelbourne’s high shot and corner count reveals substantial attacking threat that belies their underdog status. This makes outright markets slightly riskier, but a Draw No Bet on Shkendija offers a balance of upside and safety given their home edge and composed, structured approach. Both teams are prone to disciplined, tactical football—Shkendija average only 6 fouls per game in recent matches versus Shelbourne’s more aggressive 52 over five outings, pointing to a stop-start rhythm that could limit goal scoring.

From a style perspective, Shkendija typically control possession via a patient 4-4-2, boasting high pass accuracy (242 passes at 83 percent in their latest game). However, they sometimes lack a cutting edge up front, as seen in their recent 0-0 draw with Pelister. Shelbourne, set up in a dynamic 4-3-3, are less precise but fast on transitions and dangerous from set pieces—they’ve attempted 25 corners and amassed 66 shots in five games. Watch for Shelbourne’s tendency to concede fouls and pick up yellows (10 in their last five), which could hand Shkendija crucial set-piece opportunities.

🔥Hot Tip: Draw No Bet: Shkendija
⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

Team Analysis

Shkendija suffered a shaky European start, falling to the technical Rayo Vallecano 0-2 in their group opener. However, their domestic form shows reason for optimism—a dominant 3-0 win against Bashkimi and two clean sheets (against Sileks and Rabotnicki) underline defensive solidity. Jeton Bekjiri’s team prefers a tactical, low-risk approach, resulting in solid but sometimes unadventurous displays. Their low totals for yellow cards, fouls, and their high passing stats suggest a team that values composure over chaos. In recent matches, defender Klisman Cake and midfielder Ronaldo Romario Webster have been instrumental in sustaining structure and limiting opposition danger.

08:00Finished16.10.2025
3ShkendijaMacedonia
0BashkimiMacedonia

Shelbourne come into this one after a confidence-boosting 3-1 victory over Sligo Rovers, and previously beat high-scoring outfits like Cork City and Shamrock Rovers. Despite failing to score against Hacken in their last European tie (0-0), the Irish side regularly create chances—outshooting most domestic rivals and delivering 25 corners in five games. Joey O’Brien’s 4-3-3 setup leans heavily on rapid transitions and set-piece opportunities. Kerr McInroy and Harry Wood’s box-to-box energy are key—both have featured in every recent fixture, contributing to Shelbourne’s steady but aggressive midfield play. Defensive lapses occasionally surface, particularly when under persistent pressure out wide, but their resilience and work rate have earned a respectable form line.

14:45Finished17.10.2025
3ShelbourneIreland
1Sligo RoversIreland

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Shkendija Shelbourne
Goals 3 8
Total shots 15 66
Free kicks 14 25
Corner kicks 14 25
Total fouls 6 52
Pass accuracy (%) 83 82
Interceptions 16 58
Offsides 2 10

🚨Read our full Shkendija vs Shelbourne stats for more analysis.

Shelbourne. Source: Official Website

Shelbourne. Source: Official Website

Pre-game odds and win probability: Shkendija the favourite

  • Moneyline Shkendija 2.16 | Shelbourne 3.35
  • Draw 3.35
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 2.08 | Under 2.5 1.79
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.70

These odds firmly reflect Shkendija’s perceived home advantage and overall squad stability, yet with the draw attractively priced, bookies recognise the tactical parity on show. Over/Under predictions tilt towards a cagey affair—backed by both teams’ propensity for discipline and structured setups, underlined by low scoring in recent Conference League games for both. BTTS odds favour “No,” a logical conclusion considering neither side found the net in Europe last time out. While Shkendija are rightly favoured, Shelbourne’s ability to generate significant attacking numbers, plus their set-piece threat, means punters should prepare for a tightly contested match rather than a runaway home victory.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

Shkendija possible starting eleven

  • GK: Baboucarr Gaye
  • DF: Klisman Cake, Aleksander Trumci, I. Fetai, Arbin Zejnulai
  • MF: Kamer Qaka, Endrit Krasniqi, Ronaldo Romario Webster, Adamu Alhassan
  • FW: Fabrice Tamba, Liridon Latifi

Shkendija’s 4-4-2 is likely to feature goalkeeper Baboucarr Gaye, an established last line of defence notable for consistent saves. In defence, Klisman Cake delivers steady passing and aerial presence, while midfielder Ronaldo Romario Webster links play with precision. The double striker axis of Fabrice Tamba and Liridon Latifi offers directness, although the team generally relies on compact defensive phases and patient buildup. Webster and Cake are key players to watch, given their influence on both ends of the pitch.

Shelbourne possible starting eleven

  • GK: Wessel Speel
  • DF: Kameron Ledwidge, Paddy Barrett, James Norris, Milan Bernhard Mbeng
  • MF: Kerr Mcinroy, Harry Wood, Jonathan Lunney
  • FW: John Martin, Ademipo Odubeko, Daniel Kelly

Shelbourne should deploy their preferred 4-3-3 with Wessel Speel anchoring in goal. At the back, Barrett and Norris reinforce a cohesive defence, while McInroy and Harry Wood drive an energetic and combative midfield. Up front, John Martin and Daniel Kelly—combining for several key chances over the last five games—complement the pacey and unpredictable Odubeko. Mcinroy is the player most likely to impact the tempo, both through set pieces and late-arriving runs.

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Shkendija. Source: Official Website

Shkendija. Source: Official Website


My take on the Match

While Shkendija are slight favourites and possess a more controlled, technical structure, Shelbourne have shown they are not to be underestimated—especially when pushing numbers forward or attacking set plays. My main pick is “Draw No Bet: Shkendija”, providing solid value in a game where both sides are capable, yet may cancel each other out for long periods. Expect a tactically sound, closely-fought contest, with Shelbourne’s discipline and Shkendija’s home comfort likely to keep it low-scoring. For value bettors, Under 2.5 goals pairs well with the primary tip, while set-piece and corners markets (Over 8.5) remain attractive given Shelbourne’s stats.

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