Liam Duckstein
This friendly brings together two clubs from very different footballing realities. Shkendija, the Macedonian outfit coached by Artim Polozani, arrive on the back of a competitive domestic schedule, while Gonzalo García’s Hajduk Split carry the weight of expectation that comes with being one of Croatia’s most supported clubs. The venue is Brann Stadion in Bergen, a neutral ground that removes any home advantage from the equation. What makes this fixture worth watching is the contrast in styles and the fact that Hajduk Split’s recent matches have been remarkably low-scoring affairs, with their last five results all ending 0-0 before this tournament.
Hajduk’s Iker Almena Horcajo stands out immediately, having contributed a goal and an assist in his only documented outing here, combining well with Michele Šego, who scored twice and added an assist. For Shkendija, the individual data is sparse, but their last 30 days tell a story of a side that wins more than it loses, going 3W-2L across five matches with no draws at all.
Hot stat: Hajduk Split’s last five competitive matches before this tournament all finished 0-0. That run of clean sheets on both ends reflects either a very cautious approach or a squad still finding its rhythm ahead of the new season.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026, June Phase |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
Shkendija vs Hajduk Split Prediction
The bookmakers are clear on this one. Hajduk Split are heavy favourites at 62% implied probability, and the numbers back that up. Their world club ranking is significantly stronger, and their squad depth, as seen in the available lineup data, is considerably more documented and structured. We predict a Hajduk Split win, and the value at 1.44 is reasonable given the gap in quality between these two sides.
Hajduk’s only tracked match in this tournament produced 12 total shots, 8 corners, and 15 fouls. That level of attacking intent, combined with 85% pass accuracy from key midfielders like Adrion Pajaziti and Hugo Guillamón, suggests they control possession and create chances at a steady rate. Shkendija’s style, based on their form, leans more direct and physical. Without detailed shot or possession data for them, their approach is harder to profile, but their tendency to win or lose rather than draw points to a side that commits forward rather than sitting back.
The foul count from Hajduk’s one documented match was 15, which is fairly high and could open up set-piece opportunities for Shkendija. Guillamón picked up a yellow card in that game, so discipline could be a minor concern if the match gets competitive. Shkendija will need to be clinical if they are to threaten, as Hajduk’s defensive organisation looks solid across multiple positions.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Hajduk Split to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Shkendija enter this match with a 60% win rate over their last 30 days, which is respectable. Their five recent matches included wins over Koper (2-1 in this tournament), AP Brera Strumica, and Struga, though they dropped points against Vardar (0-3) and Sileks (0-1). Those two defeats came against sides with world rankings of 815 and 954 respectively, which raises questions about how they will cope against a Hajduk Split side ranked 211st globally. The Koper win is their only result with any statistical tracking in this tournament cycle, and it showed enough fight to secure three points.
Hajduk Split’s recent form reads as llwwwdllwwwwdld, which is mixed but shows clusters of wins. Their last five competitive matches before this tournament all ended 0-0, against Rijeka, Varazdin, Dinamo Zagreb, Lokomotiva Zagreb, and Vukovar 1991. That string of goalless draws is unusual, but it may reflect a squad in pre-season mode, conserving energy and testing combinations rather than chasing results. Their one match in this friendly tournament produced a 2-1 win, with Michele Šego and Roko Brajkovic both finding the net. That suggests the attacking players are beginning to click when given a more open friendly context.
🚨Check out our dedicated Shkendija vs Hajduk Split stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Hajduk Split the Favourite
- Moneyline Shkendija 5.20 | Hajduk Split 1.44
- Draw 4.40
The 5.20 on Shkendija reflects a genuine outsider price, and to be honest, it is hard to argue against it given the ranking gap. Hajduk at 1.44 is short but fair for a side with clear quality advantages. The draw at 4.40 is interesting on paper, but given both teams’ tendency to produce a result rather than a stalemate in friendlies, it does not represent strong value. Hajduk’s win is the play here.
Possible Starting Lineups
Hajduk Split Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Ivica Ivušić
- DF: Dario Melnjak, Dario Marešić, Simun Hrgovic, Ron Raqi
- MF: Hugo Guillamón, Adrion Pajaziti, Filip Krovinović, Rokas Pukstas
- FW: Michele Šego, Iker Almena Horcajo
Hajduk Split appear to line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape as well, which is consistent with their recent matches. Ivica Ivušić is the established goalkeeper, with 90 minutes already logged in this tournament. Dario Marešić anchors the defence with strong interception numbers and high pass accuracy. In midfield, Hugo Guillamón and Adrion Pajaziti form a reliable double pivot, both completing the majority of their passes and covering significant ground. The attacking threat comes primarily from Michele Šego, who scored twice and assisted once in Hajduk’s only tournament match so far, and Iker Almena Horcajo, who also contributed a goal and an assist. These two are the players to watch. Ante Rebić and Marko Livaja are in the squad and could feature from the bench, adding experience if needed.
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Shkendija. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Hajduk Split are the stronger side on paper and in the stats. Their attacking unit produced goals and creative output in their one tournament outing, and their midfield structure gives them control. Shkendija have shown they can be competitive in domestic Macedonian football, but the step up in quality here is significant.
We predict a Hajduk Split win, with goals coming from their front pair. The 4-2-3-1 shape from both sides should create space in transition, and Hajduk’s higher-quality midfield will likely dominate possession. A scoreline in the range of 2-0 or 2-1 feels most probable. The “Hajduk Split to score in both halves” tip carries good value given their attacking momentum and the tendency of friendlies to open up in the second half as substitutions disrupt defensive organisation.
Perhaps the only scenario where Shkendija stay in the game is if Hajduk rotate heavily and lose their shape. That is possible in a friendly, but even then, the individual quality of players like Šego and Almena Horcajo should be enough to find the net.
