Liam Duckstein
This second leg is a formality on paper. Shkendija crushed Europa FC 5-0 in the first leg, giving Artim Polozani’s side a commanding aggregate lead heading into this home fixture at Philip II Arena in Skopje. Europa FC, representing Gibraltar, must score six unanswered goals to advance, which makes Michele Di Piedi’s task close to impossible by any realistic measure. The interesting angle here is not whether Shkendija progress, but how they approach this match. Will they rotate and manage the squad, or push for more goals ahead of the next qualifying round?
Fabrice Tamba is the name to watch for Shkendija. The forward bagged four goals and two assists across the last two matches, making him the standout performer in this tie. For Europa FC, Borja Fernández in midfield will need to set the tempo if the Gibraltarians want any kind of dignity from this leg, though the task ahead of him is steep.
Hot stat: Shkendija have scored 10 goals in their last two matches alone, averaging five per game. That attacking output against a Europa FC side that has managed just four shots in the same period tells a very clear story about the gap between these two sides.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Conference League 2026/27, First Qualifying Round |
| 🏟 Venue: | Philip II Arena, Skopje |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:00 CEST |
Shkendija vs Europa FC Prediction
With a 5-0 first-leg lead, Shkendija are already through. The second leg is effectively a dead rubber in terms of progression, but Shkendija at home against this Europa FC side still presents a strong case for goals. The Macedonian side have been prolific, and Europa FC have shown almost no attacking threat across their recent matches in this tie.
We predict Shkendija to win and the match to go over 2.5 goals. Even with potential rotation from the home side, their quality difference is significant enough that goals should flow. Europa FC’s defensive record in this tie, conceding five without reply, gives little confidence they can keep Shkendija quiet for 90 minutes.
Shkendija’s playing style leans on width and forward movement, which generates corners and forces fouls. Europa FC have picked up two yellow cards across recent matches while committing fouls at a rate that suggests they struggle to contain quicker opposition. Shkendija, on the other hand, have kept their discipline relatively clean at just four yellow cards across their last five matches, suggesting a team that controls games rather than chasing them.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Shkendija to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Shkendija enter this second leg on solid footing. Their recent form across the last 30 days shows two wins, two losses, and a draw, but the context matters. The losses came against Hajduk Split (0-4) and Celje (0-1), both higher-ranked European sides used as preparation ahead of the qualifying campaign. When facing opposition at their level, Shkendija have been dominant. The 5-0 demolition of Europa FC in the first leg was their most recent match, and it followed a 2-1 win over Koper, showing they can grind results when needed and also produce big performances.
Europa FC arrive in Skopje having played just once in the last 30 days, and that was the 0-5 defeat in the first leg. Before that, their Gibraltar league campaign showed more promise, including a 4-1 win over Mons Calpe and a 3-0 result against Lions Gibraltar. The step up in quality against Shkendija was stark. They managed just four shots in the first leg and were unable to sustain any meaningful pressure. Their 0-0 draw with St Josephs earlier in the season hints at a side that can be conservative, but in this tie they have no choice but to attack.
🚨Check out our dedicated Shkendija vs Europa FC stats page for more info.
Europa FC. Source: Official Website
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Shkendija the Favourite
- Moneyline Shkendija 1.22 | Europa FC 10.50
- Draw 5.75
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The odds reflect exactly what the first leg established. Shkendija at around 1.20-1.22 with most bookmakers is short but justified. The 75% bookmaker probability for a Shkendija win aligns with the reality of this tie. Europa FC at 10.00 and beyond is a long shot in every sense. The draw at 5.75 is worth ignoring here given the aggregate situation. To be honest, the value in this match does not sit on the result market. Shkendija winning comfortably and the total goals line are where the smarter angles live.
Shkendija are likely to set up in their familiar 4-4-2 shape, though some rotation is possible given the tie is already settled. Baboucarr Gaye starts in goal as the regular between the posts. The defensive line of Trumci, Fetai, and Zejnulai has been consistent, with Zejnulai picking up four assists in recent matches, showing how much he contributes going forward from deep. Fabrice Tamba leads the attack and remains the player most likely to add to his tally. Besart Ibraimi provides a second goal threat up front, having scored twice in the last two outings.
Europa FC are expected to line up in their 3-5-2 formation. Borja Fernández in midfield and Vittorio Vigolo up front are the two players with confirmed recent involvement. Di Piedi will need his side to press high from the start given the aggregate deficit, but doing so against Shkendija at home carries significant risk of being caught on the counter. Vigolo will need supply from midfield to have any impact, and the pressure of chasing six goals in 90 minutes is an enormous ask for a squad of this level.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Shkendija. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Shkendija have done the hard work. Their 5-0 first-leg win was comprehensive and built on genuine quality across the pitch. Europa FC managed just four shots in that match and showed no signs of being able to trouble a well-organised Macedonian side at home. The aggregate gap is insurmountable for the Gibraltarians.
We predict Shkendija to win this second leg comfortably. Their attacking output across recent matches, particularly the form of Fabrice Tamba, suggests they will not simply sit back and manage the tie. Europa FC will need to commit forward, which leaves space for Shkendija to exploit on the break. Corners should be plentiful given how the first leg played out, and Shkendija scoring in both halves is a realistic outcome based on their recent performances. This is a match where backing the home side to win and backing goals is the straightforward read.
