Sofia Quijada
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Sevilla welcome Valencia to the Sánchez-Pizjuán with the visitors sitting rock bottom of the table on a single point from four games. Sevilla, meanwhile, occupy 7th spot after a solid opening month, though their own form has wobbled between sharp wins and careless defeats. The gap on paper is wide, and the underlying numbers back that up: Valencia have scored just once in their last five matches across competitions, a scoring drought that makes this fixture look one-sided before a ball is kicked.
Isaac Romero has been Sevilla’s most reliable attacking outlet, contributing a goal and an assist in his four appearances and offering constant movement in behind. On the other side, Arnaut Danjuma has racked up 10 shots in his last five games without a return, a volume that suggests he is due a goal and remains Valencia’s biggest individual threat regardless of the team’s collective struggles.
Hot stat: Sevilla have netted 7 goals across their last five matches while Valencia have managed just 1 in the same span, one of the widest attacking output gaps you will find between two top-flight sides right now.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2026/2027, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville |
| 🗓️ Date: | 11.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Sevilla vs Valencia prediction
We predict Sevilla to win this one comfortably, and to be honest the case is straightforward: a home side with genuine attacking output (7 goals in five games) against a visitor that has forgotten how to score. Valencia sit last in La Liga with a -8 goal difference from just four matches, conceding far more than they create. Sevilla’s home comfort at Sánchez-Pizjuán, paired with Valencia’s road form (1 win in 7 games over the last month), points strongly toward a home win, likely with a two-goal cushion or more.
Style-wise, Sevilla have racked up 13 yellow cards and 67 fouls across their last five matches, a physical approach that suits a team looking to disrupt Valencia’s build-up. Valencia actually hold a slightly higher pass completion rate (1400 accurate passes recorded versus Sevilla’s 974 in the same sample), yet that possession comfort has not translated into chances or goals. Expect Valencia to control spells of the ball without threatening much, while Sevilla look to break quickly through Romero and Peque Fernández.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Sevilla to win by 2+ goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Sevilla’s last outing ended 1-1 against RCD Espanyol, a result that snapped a run of mixed form. Before that draw, Luis Garcia Plaza’s side lost 1-3 to Atletico Madrid but bounced back with confident wins over Athletic Bilbao (3-1) and Rayo Vallecano (2-1). The pattern shows a team capable of scoring goals in bunches but prone to defensive lapses against sharper opposition, exactly the profile that should suit them against a toothless Valencia attack.
Valencia’s latest result was a brutal 0-5 defeat to Barcelona, their heaviest setback of the campaign and a reminder of how far off the pace Carlos Corberán’s side currently sit. Before that they lost 1-3 to Deportivo La Coruna and 0-1 to Real Betis, with a solitary 0-0 draw against Celta Vigo breaking up the losing sequence. Five defeats in their last seven matches paint a side low on confidence and short of firepower up front.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Sevilla | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Sevilla vs Valencia stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Sevilla the favourite
- Moneyline Sevilla 2.14 | Valencia 3.86
- Draw 3.24
Bookmakers give Sevilla roughly a 45% chance of winning against Valencia’s 26%, with the draw sitting near 29%. Those numbers line up with the underlying form gap, Sevilla have won 2 of their last 5, Valencia just 1 of 7 in the last month. We see the Sevilla price as fair value rather than a trap, given how one-sided the attacking numbers look coming into this match.
Possible Starting Lineups
Sevilla possible starting eleven
- GK: Odysseas Vlachodimos
- DF: Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez, Kike Salas, Arouna Sangante, Andrés Castrín
- MF: Lucien Agoumé, Gabriel Suazo, Peque Fernández, Chidera Ejuke, Isaac Romero
- FW: Miguel Sierra
Luis Garcia Plaza should stick with the 4-2-3-1 that has featured in each of the last five matches. Vlachodimos remains an automatic pick in goal after playing every minute available, while Romero and Sierra carry the biggest goal threat from the front three positions. Agoumé and Suazo anchor the double pivot, both logging full minutes in every recent game.
Valencia possible starting eleven
- GK: Stole Dimitrievski
- DF: Jesús Vázquez, César Tárrega Requeni, Mouctar Diakhaby, José Gayà
- MF: Javi Guerra, José Luis García Vayá, Filip Ugrinic, Ryunosuke Sato, Aliou Dieng
- FW: Arnaut Danjuma
Corberán also favours a 4-2-3-1 shape. Danjuma leads the line as the lone striker despite his goal drought, simply because his shot volume outstrips every other forward option available. Javi Guerra and García Vayá provide the passing platform in midfield, though neither has produced a goal or assist in this sample, a worrying sign for a side that badly needs creativity.
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Valencia. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict a home win for Sevilla, most likely settled by a two-goal margin. The numbers from the last five matches leave little room for doubt: Sevilla have scored 7 times, Valencia just once, and Valencia’s away form over the last month shows only a single win from seven attempts. Perhaps Danjuma finally breaks his drought, but even then we expect Sevilla’s attack, led by Romero and Sierra, to score more than enough at home. Our lean sits on Sevilla to win and Over 2.5 total goals, with BTTS No offering solid value given Valencia’s scoring struggles.
