Sevilla vs Mallorca Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga Match - 18.10.2025

On the afternoon of October 18, 2025, the iconic Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán in Seville provides the perfect backdrop for this high-stakes La Liga clash between Sevilla and Mallorca. Kicking off at 15:00 CEST, this fixture draws attention not only as a classic contest between two Spanish sides, but as a meeting of teams desperate to shift their momentum in the 2025/26 season. Sevilla, under the guidance of Matías Almeyda and currently in sixth place, seek to exploit home advantage and continue their solid start. Mallorca, steered by Jagoba Arrasate and entrenched at the bottom of the table, arrive in desperate need of points and a statement performance.

Two key players to closely monitor are Sevilla’s Alexis Sanchez, whose creativity and finishing have punctuated Sevilla’s attacking phases, and Mallorca’s Vedat Muriqi, whose physical presence and movement offer Mallorca their best hope of a breakthrough against Sevilla’s resilient back line.

One outstanding trend stands out: Sevilla have scored eight goals in their last five matches, nearly tripling Mallorca’s total (three), underscoring the home side’s significant offensive edge coming into this match.

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Sevilla vs Mallorca predictions

My best bet: Sevilla to win (Moneyline).
There is a clear rationale behind this selection. Sevilla are in superior form, both statistically and stylistically, compared to Mallorca. Their five most recent matches yield a 60% win rate, while Mallorca’s win percentage stands at a modest 20%. Sevilla’s attacking numbers – eight goals and 42 shots – dwarf Mallorca’s three goals and 33 shots, emphasizing the difference in offensive potency.
Considering Mallorca’s struggle to keep possession and difficulties creating clear chances, coupled with Sevilla’s home advantage and recent dominant 4-1 win over Barcelona, backing Sevilla outright as the best value is logical.

Sevilla’s robust defensive unit is characterized by aggressive duelling and tactical fouls, as evidenced by their 69 recorded fouls and 18 yellow cards in their last five outings. Their high intensity generates transitions and disrupts opponent rhythm, but can leave them exposed to quick counters. Mallorca, on the other hand, commit fewer fouls (56) and have received fewer yellows (8), yet their lack of bite in midfield and attack reduces their ability to unsettle top-six opposition. The result should see Sevilla command possession and territory, with Mallorca sitting deep and attempting to absorb pressure.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Sevilla vs Mallorca Most recent H2Hs

The last two fixtures between these sides ended in draws (1-1 and 0-0), with little separating them in raw numbers. However, it is notable that Sevilla consistently outshot Mallorca and enjoyed better pass accuracy, hinting at more control and initiative in the encounters. Yet, Mallorca’s dour defensive organization prevented Sevilla from running away with results, suggesting that this clash will again revolve around Sevilla’s capacity to turn dominance into goals.

🚨Read our full Sevilla vs Mallorca stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Sevilla have scored in each of their last eight home matches.
• Mallorca have failed to win away in their last five La Liga games.
• Sevilla have averaged 8.4 shots on target per game at home in this campaign.
• Mallorca are averaging just 0.6 goals per game away from home.
• Both previous H2Hs finished level, but Sevilla led in total shots both times.
• Mallorca have collected only one clean sheet in the previous 10 away matches.

Sevilla vs Mallorca score prediction: 2-0

The most plausible outcome is a 2-0 win for Sevilla. Alexis Sanchez, in fine form, is primed to orchestrate Sevilla’s offensive transitions. Akor Adams and Isaac Romero will be tasked with breaking down Mallorca’s block, while the experienced defensive unit, supported by Gabriel Suazo and Marcão, will limit Mallorca’s chances. Mallorca’s attack, reliant almost exclusively on flashes from Vedat Muriqi, is unlikely to consistently penetrate, given their pronounced struggles for creativity and lack of away momentum.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sevilla the favourite

The odds are firmly tipped in Sevilla’s favor, a reflection of their home form and Mallorca’s dire away record. The spread between Sevilla’s sub-2.00 line and Mallorca’s above 4.50 demonstrates a strong perceived gap in quality and momentum. The “Under 2.5” line at 1.75 suggests bookmakers expect Mallorca to sit back, resulting in a low-scoring contest; while the lower BTTS “No” price highlights expected offensive struggles for the visitors.

Sevilla vs Mallorca Over/Under Analysis

• Four of Sevilla’s last five matches have gone under 2.5 goals.
• Three out of the previous five Mallorca fixtures featured fewer than three goals.
• Sevilla rarely concede at home, with only four goals allowed in their last five home matches.
• Mallorca have failed to score in three of their last five league games.
• Hot tip: Under 2.5 goals is the standout trend from both sides’ defensive shapes and recent scoring rates.

Sevilla Preview

Sevilla’s recent performances underline a side leaning on structure and intensity. Their statement 4-1 victory over Barcelona sent ripples around La Liga, a match where Almeyda’s coordinated press and counter-attacks carved open elite opposition.
They followed up with a workmanlike 1-0 dispatching of Rayo Vallecano and a gritty 2-1 win over Alavés, only briefly faltering against Villarreal but quickly regaining composure. The attack – led by Alexis Sanchez, Akor Adams, and Ruben Vargas – has benefitted from Gabriel Suazo’s creative passing, while defensive anchor Marcão provides the foundation.

Sevilla possible starting eleven

Mallorca Preview

Mallorca’s campaign has been a narrative of missed opportunities and defensive resolve. Despite a morale-boosting home win over Alavés, the islanders struggled for goals, managing just three in the last five fixtures. Jagoba Arrasate’s side prefers to soak up pressure and break through Vedat Muriqi or Takuma Asano, but with limited penetration. Their recent games – a 1-2 loss to Athletic Bilbao, another narrow defeat to Real Sociedad, and a gritty draw against Atletico Madrid – reflect a side with defensive stubbornness but little attacking output. The midfield lacks creative options, and pressure will build on Muriqi and Samuel Costa to spark any upsets.

Mallorca possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

As the Tips.GG team, our data-driven model assigns Sevilla a 54% chance of victory — a reflection of their home performance, superior squad depth, and Mallorca’s ongoing struggles on both ends. While football respects no certainties, the context, trends, and statistical edge all argue for Sevilla to lock in three essential points. Expect a measured match dominated by Sevilla’s calculated pressure and disciplined build-up, with Mallorca unlikely to shift the pendulum without a dramatic improvement in attack.

How to watch Sevilla vs Mallorca

• When? October 18, 2025 – 15:00 CEST
• Where? Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville
• How to watch: Available via Movistar LaLiga, and select streaming platforms globally. Check local broadcasters for regional coverage.
• Favorite: Sevilla

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