Sevilla vs Girona Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga - 07.02.2026

The historic Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán in Seville is poised to host a pivotal La Liga regular season clash between Sevilla and Girona on February 7th, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 CEST. As the two sides face off in the cauldron of Andalusia, fans will be expecting a game rich in narrative — not only due to Sevilla’s urgent need to revive their season but also because Girona are defying expectations with their disciplined approach. Matías Almeyda and Míchel, two tactically astute coaches, lead their squads into this encounter with different ambitions: Sevilla seeking stability, Girona chasing upward momentum in the table.

All eyes will be on Sevilla’s dynamic forward Akor Adams — a clinical presence with three goals in his last three outings — and Girona’s Vladyslav Vanat, whose tireless pressing and recent three-goal tally provide Girona with their creative spark. Their direct contributions could very well decide the contest.
The “hot stat”: Girona have accumulated a remarkable thirteen yellow cards in their last five matches, a figure that starkly highlights the intensity and, at times, the volatility in their defensive transitions — a trait to be monitored closely in this match.

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Sevilla vs Girona predictions

My best bet: “Both Teams To Score: Yes”
Recent performances and lineup dynamics suggest a match open to attacking exchanges. Sevilla’s last five fixtures have averaged 1.0 goals scored but with a defense that has leaked nine in the same period — a vulnerability Girona are well equipped to exploit. Conversely, Girona’s pressing and movement, led by Vanat and Viktor Tsygankov, often create chances even against the run of play. Both sides have shown a tendency to score and concede, with disciplined midfielders (like Sevilla’s Joan Jordan and Girona’s Iván Martín) orchestrating transitions that can lead to open goalmouth action. This sets the stage for a contest where neither team can convincingly shut down the other, making “Both Teams to Score” the most value-driven prediction.

In terms of style, Sevilla average 10.4 fouls and 1.4 yellow cards per match, exposing a side that presses yet can be broken by swift counters. Girona, on the other hand, have amassed a concerning 13 yellow cards in five games, suggesting an aggressive defensive approach under Míchel which may tip the balance towards set pieces and possible disruptions. Ball retention is slighted towards Girona, who have made 2056 passes over their last five fixtures with a 73.6 percent accuracy, compared to Sevilla’s 1709 passes at 82.2 percent. The higher foul rate and yellow card count for Girona could open spaces for Sevilla if Girona lose discipline, but could also break Sevilla’s buildup and foster chaotic phases in the midfield.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

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Sevilla vs Girona Most recent H2Hs

Looking at the most recent three encounters, Sevilla took two victories (2-0 in August 2025 and 2-1 in January 2025), while Girona triumphed 2-0 in September 2024. Both teams have shown the ability to find the net and force set-piece situations, with small margins deciding the contest. Intensity is never in doubt — as evidenced by double-digit corner and foul counts in these battles.

🚨Read our full Sevilla vs Girona stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Girona have seen 4 of their last 5 matches go Over 2.5 Goals.
• Sevilla have scored in every home match since December.
• Girona’s Vladyslav Vanat has scored 3 goals in his last 4 appearances.
• Sevilla average 11.4 shots per game at home.
• Girona average 2.6 yellow cards per away match — the highest in La Liga this segment.
• Girona have failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their last 10 league outings.

Sevilla vs Girona score prediction: 2-1

Expect a tense and eventful match, with Sevilla slightly favored due to home advantage and their ability to strike in critical moments. Akor Adams’ form and Sevilla’s experience in key battles should ensure at least two goals for the hosts, while Girona’s direct pressing and Vanat’s threat all but guarantee they’ll breach Sevilla’s back line. Nevertheless, the home side’s resilience and tactical discipline under Almeyda point to a 2-1 final result — a score that mirrors recent head-to-head trends.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sevilla the favourite

The odds indicate a moderate favoritism for Sevilla given their home record and marginally higher scoring propensity. Both the Over 2.5 and BTTS lines are closely matched — reflecting bookmakers’ anticipation of an open, high-tempo fixture with goals at both ends. Girona’s higher yellow card occurrence makes the game slightly unpredictable, as potential suspensions or tactical changes could sway the final outcome. Sevilla’s greater pass accuracy and set-piece threat, however, justify the edge granted by oddsmakers.

Sevilla vs Girona Over/Under Analysis

• Sevilla have gone Over 2.5 in 4 of their last 6 home matches.
• Girona have scored and conceded in 8 of their last 10 La Liga games, supporting BTTS bets.
• Average combined corners per match: 9.2 (suggesting value in Over 9.5 corners markets).
• Girona’s set piece threat is notable — two free kick goals in their last five games.

Sevilla Preview

Sevilla come into this match having lost three of their last five, but their most recent home victory (2-1 over Athletic Bilbao) provided a lifeline. Inconsistent form had dogged the Andalusians, with defensive lapses exposed in a 1-4 home loss to Mallorca. Yet the performances of Akor Adams, who has netted three times during this span, and committed midfield battles from Joan Jordan and Nemanja Gudelj, suggest the pieces are in place for a recovery. Sevilla’s shifting between discipline and occasional recklessness (7 yellow cards in five games) must be addressed if they are to control the tempo and stifle Girona’s counterattacks.

Sevilla possible starting eleven

Girona Preview

Girona have shown resilience and tactical maturity under coach Míchel, boasting a 60 percent win rate in their last five matches. Their latest results include a vital 2-0 victory over RCD Espanyol and a gritty 1-0 against Osasuna, signaling an ability to break down robust defenses. Yet, a surprise loss to lowly Real Oviedo exposed occasional lapses in concentration. Vanat is the offensive engine, and the defensive composure of Daley Blind and Álex Moreno offers stability, even as yellow cards accumulate at a quick pace. Girona’s patience in build-up and willingness to press high, even away from home, could enable them to disrupt Sevilla’s structure, but their disciplinary record remains a major concern.

Girona possible starting eleven

The Verdict

In consensus with our TipsGG AI engine, Sevilla are given a 45% winning probability. The home advantage, tactical adjustments by Almeyda, and the scoring prowess of Adams tip the scale. Girona, dogged and well-drilled, have a 26% chance, but their disciplinary issues and inconsistency on the road give pause. A draw stands at 28%, reflecting how closely matched these squads are right now. Our main pick: Sevilla to win (2-1), but expect both sides to leave their mark in a game likely to entertain from kickoff to final whistle.

How to watch Sevilla vs Girona

When?
Kick-off time: 19:30 CEST, 07.02.2026
Where?
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville
How to watch: Regional broadcasters in Spain (Movistar+), official La Liga streaming partners, or your licensed bookmaker’s live stream.
Favourite: Sevilla

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