Sevilla vs Celta Vigo Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga - 12.01.2026

The Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán in Seville sets the stage for an intriguing La Liga 2025/26 regular season clash as Sevilla welcome Celta Vigo on January 12, 2026, at 22:00 CEST. This matchup features two sides with parity in bookmaker predictions (both at 35 percent implied probability for a win), underlining how finely balanced this contest is at this stage of the season. With only six points separating the seventh-placed Celta Vigo and thirteenth-placed Sevilla in the standings, this fixture bears significant implications for both clubs’ ambitions and mid-table fortunes.
Under the tactical stewardship of Matías Almeyda, Sevilla seek a turnaround from a challenging spell, while Celta Vigo, marshaled by Claudio Giráldez, arrive in Seville hoping to consolidate their recent uptick in form.

Among the host of talent set to feature, keep an eye on Sevilla’s Batista Mendy, whose intensity and versatility anchor their midfield transition, and Celta Vigo’s Borja Iglesias, whose predatory instincts have yielded three goals in his last three appearances.

In considering decisive factors from recent outings, note Celta Vigo’s attacking efficiency: eight goals in their last five matches double Sevilla’s total over the same span demonstrate a significant offensive advantage.

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Sevilla vs Celta Vigo predictions

Me best bet: Both Teams To Score – Yes.
This selection offers the most value. Recent results highlight Celta Vigo’s offensive momentum (eight goals in five matches), while Sevilla, despite their inconsistency, boast creative players and have netted in challenging fixtures. Both teams’ defensive lapses Sevilla have conceded seven in their last three games, Celta Vigo five in the same period suggest a lively affair where chances at either end look probable.
Sevilla’s tactical flexibility under Almeyda often leads to open, transitional football evident in their 3-4-3 structure, which invites adventure but can leave gaps at the back. Celta Vigo’s 4-2-3-1, meanwhile, emphasizes width and incisive counters, a style that amplifies goal-scoring opportunities but may expose their own rearguard on transitions.

Both squads have been prone to disciplinary interruptions Sevilla’s ten yellow cards and one red in their last five, Celta Vigo’s seven bookings potentially disrupting defensive rhythm. Tackles and rough challenges may fragment play and provide set-piece chances, influencing the rhythm and perhaps the final margin. In terms of ball progression, Celta Vigo engineer moves with markedly superior pass accuracy (86.8% over last five matches) compared with Sevilla (74.6%). The statistics anticipate a match open to momentum shifts, heightened tempo, and danger in both penalty areas.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 9

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Sevilla vs Celta Vigo Most recent H2Hs

In their last two league encounters each side claiming a victory the fine margins were evident. Sevilla edged a 1-0 win away in 2024, while Celta Vigo claimed a spirited 3-2 success in their most recent meeting, demonstrating their ability to dig deep in tense moments. Bookmakers also anticipated close encounters: expectations for each game rarely saw a favourite emerge with more than a 51 percent implied probability, reflecting this pair’s competitive rivalry. Both matches featured sustained periods of end-to-end action and fluctuating momentum, typifying the stylistic friction between Sevilla’s resourceful combinations and Celta Vigo’s sharp counterattacks.

🚨Read our full Sevilla vs Celta Vigo stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Celta Vigo have scored at least two goals in three of their last five matches.
• Sevilla have failed to score in two of their last three matches at home.
• Celta Vigo maintain the best away pass accuracy in La Liga outside the traditional top four.
• Sevilla average 2.0 yellow cards per match, the second-highest in the league over the past month.
• Over 2.5 goals have landed in four of Celta Vigo’s last five La Liga fixtures.
• Head-to-heads: Both teams scored in four of their last six meetings.

Sevilla vs Celta Vigo score prediction: 1-2

Celta Vigo’s recent attacking form, allied with Sevilla’s vulnerability at the back (seven goals conceded in their last three league matches), points to a narrow away victory. Expect Borja Iglesias to feature prominently, given his current purple patch, while Batista Mendy’s midfield command will be vital in dictating Sevilla’s tempo. Ultimately, Celta Vigo’s clinical transition play and superior ball retention could shade a high-quality contest.

Pre-game odds and win probability: No clear favourite

The pre-match moneyline odds put both Sevilla and Celta Vigo at parity (2.74), indicating bookmakers’ deep uncertainty over the winner. The elevated over 2.5 goals price (2.08) reflects recent attacking productivity, especially from the visitors, but caution remains, owing to Sevilla’s variable output. Both Teams To Score at 1.80 is favoured due to each team’s strong attacking performers and a defensive record that suggests goals at either end. Draw odds at 3.30 highlight a history of close, competitive duels. These markets reinforce expectation for an open, balanced encounter where individual brilliance could tip the scales.

Sevilla vs Celta Vigo Over/Under Analysis

• Over 2.5 goals hit in 4 of Celta Vigo’s last 5 matches.
• Sevilla’s home matches have averaged 2.4 goals per game this season.
• Celta Vigo have averaged 1.6 goals scored per away league outing in 2025/26.
• Sevilla kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 6 La Liga matches.
• “Both Teams To Score: Yes” landed in 3 of their last 4 head-to-heads.

Sevilla Preview

Sevilla endured a tough spell leading into this fixture: a run marked by three straight losses before a resounding 4-0 win over Real Oviedo, only to falter again in the most recent game with a 0-3 defeat to Levante. Goals have been at a premium, with just four scored in their last five. Defensive frailty has further complicated Sevilla’s task, as evidenced by their goal difference and disciplinary record. Matías Almeyda’s side often look fluid in phases, but sustained pressure leads to leaks at the back a trend only a unified, focused performance can reverse at home.

Sevilla possible starting eleven

Celta Vigo Preview

Celta Vigo approach this fixture in a robust sequence, buoyed by a commanding 4-1 win against Valencia and a series of positive results overall. Offensive variety evident from Borja Iglesias (three goals, two yellow cards in last three) and Jones El-Abdellaoui (two goals in last five) has propelled them to the upper reaches of the table. Coach Claudio Giráldez’s philosophy emphasizes swift ball recovery and vertical progression, suiting the strengths of Williot Swedberg and Oscar Mingueza in linking play. Defensive lapses remain, with five goals conceded across three matches, but their transitions have proven decisive in tipping the balance of important fixtures.

Celta Vigo possible starting eleven

The Verdict

As a Tips.GG team expert, my main pick is Celta Vigo to triumph 2-1 in a match where both sides’ attacking units will pose consistent threats. With a 36 percent win probability for Celta Vigo, according to our dedicated AI prediction engine, the margins remain razor thin. Yet, Celta Vigo’s sharper recent edge in finishing and discipline, as well as their adaptable structure out of possession, should tilt the balance in their favour. Expect a high-tempo, tactically fascinating affair with goals assured and both midfields tested from the outset.

How to watch Sevilla vs Celta Vigo

When?
Kick-off time: 22:00 CEST, 12 January 2026
Where?
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville
How to watch: Live broadcast on La Liga TV and major Spanish sports networks.
Favorite: No clear favourite (implied probability at 35 percent for both sides).

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