Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2025/26 Match - 24.01.2026

The stage is set at Brann Stadion in Bergen for a riveting La Liga clash as Sevilla welcome Athletic Bilbao on January 24, 2026, with kick-off scheduled at 19:30 CEST. Although neither side currently contests for the title, both encounter critical stakes in the regular season—Sevilla aiming to escape mid-table mediocrity, and Athletic Bilbao striving to surge further up the standings. Under the floodlights of this Norwegian venue, expectation and ambition merge, promising a contest deeply rooted in Spanish tradition but contested far from Iberian shores.

Among the protagonists, Gorka Guruzeta’s red-hot form up front for Athletic Bilbao and the midfield tenacity of Nemanja Gudelj for Sevilla will be closely followed. Notably, Guruzeta has been essential, netting four goals in his last five outings, while Gudelj orchestrates Sevilla’s rhythm amidst an otherwise turbulent campaign. With the onus on both teams to revive their season, the creativity and composure of these key men could tip the scales.

Convincingly, the “hot stat”: Athletic Bilbao have racked up a remarkable 10 goals in their last five matches—a scoring rate Sevilla have sorely lacked in recent outings.

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Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao predictions

My best bet: Athletic Bilbao to win or draw (Double Chance X2).

While both teams stumble through inconsistent form, Athletic possess a sharper attacking edge, scoring 10 goals in their last five compared to Sevilla’s toothless two. Guruzeta’s finishing, combined with consistent offensive support from Sancet and Nicholas Williams, gives the visitors a palpable advantage in front of goal. Taking into account Sevilla’s recent home struggles—failing to win any of their last three—the value lies in siding with Athletic to avoid defeat.

Tactical insight: Expect an aggressive, high-stakes encounter with both sides deploying a familiar 4-2-3-1. Sevilla’s ball retention has faltered (1,288 passes in five matches, 1,091 completed), reflected in a dip in pass accuracy and creative output. Their matches have witnessed a high foul count (44 in five games), resulting in seven yellow cards—a clear indicator of their reactive style. Meanwhile, Athletic are not shy of physicality themselves (59 fouls, 11 yellows in five games), but their offensive approach is bolstered by 69 shots, nearly 40 percent more than Sevilla’s total. Bookings and set-piece opportunities could play a defining role.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

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Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Most recent H2Hs

Historically, these head-to-head encounters are fiercely competitive, with Bilbao edging results both home and away in the past year. Matches have tended to be cagey, often won or lost by fine margins, with set pieces, discipline, and defensive lapses determining the outcome. Sevilla’s solitary point from the last three encounters underscores the challenge ahead.

🚨Read our full Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Athletic Bilbao have scored at least two goals in three of their last five matches across all competitions.
• Sevilla have failed to score in four of their last five outings.
• Bilbao’s last five matches featured 32 corners, underlining their ability to sustain attacking pressure.
• Sevilla’s discipline: seven yellow cards in their last five matches, with a high foul count.
• Both teams favor a 4-2-3-1 formation, promising mirrored tactical match-ups.

Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao score prediction: 0-1

With Guruzeta’s clinical form and Bilbao’s willingness to commit men forward, expect the Basques to seize control. Sevilla’s attacking malaise and recurring defensive lapses are likely to be exploited. The outcome may hinge on a moment of quality from the visitors, with Unai Simón providing assurance in goal and Sancet orchestrating transitions. Sevilla’s Gueye and Gudelj must rediscover control to prevent the visitors from dictating play, yet the lack of goals and confidence points to a narrow Bilbao triumph.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Athletic Bilbao the favourite

The odds reflect Bilbao’s recent run of form and attacking prowess, justifying their slight status as favourites despite being away from home. Sevilla’s longer odds are tied to their lack of wins and offensive shortcomings, whereas the draw remains an inviting option given both teams’ uneven consistencies of late. The under 2.5 market is rightly priced as both teams are defensively cautious and Sevilla have struggled to score recently. The “No” on both teams to score carries genuine value given Sevilla’s blunt attack.

Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Over/Under Analysis

• Sevilla have seen under 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches.
• Athletic Bilbao’s last three away matches have also finished below the 2.5 mark.
• The last two H2Hs produced fewer than three goals combined.
• This tactical conservatism points toward a low-scoring encounter.

Sevilla Preview

Sevilla’s recent form typifies a side searching for stability: their last match ended 2-2 against Elche, demonstrating offensive flashes but also glaring defensive vulnerabilities. Preceding games saw a 0-1 defeat to Celta Vigo and a dispiriting 0-3 home collapse to Levante. While individual moments of quality occasionally break through, cohesive output remains elusive under Almeyda. The defensive unit, despite high interception numbers, struggles in transition, while the lack of a consistent scoring threat up front magnifies pressure on the rearguard.

Sevilla possible starting eleven

Athletic Bilbao Preview

Bifurcated between bursts of brilliance and lapses of focus, Athletic’s most recent result—a 3-2 win over Atalanta—typifies their high-ceiling attack and occasional defensive frailties. They fell 2-3 at home to Mallorca, but have consistently generated an impressive shot volume and corner count. Gorka Guruzeta’s scoring exploits and Robert Navarro’s creativity make this team dangerous, yet lapses remain at the back, as evidenced in the 0-5 loss to Barcelona. Discipline and game management, then, will be essential to build on their episodic successes.

Athletic Bilbao possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

On behalf of the Tips.GG expert team, the main pick is an away win or draw for Athletic Bilbao, with 38% win probability assigned by our AI prediction engine. The visitors hold the momentum and goal-scoring dynamism that Sevilla lack, making them the safer bet even on foreign soil. That being said, the match promises tension and tactical chess—the very drama that defines La Liga weekends.

How to watch Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

When?
Kick-off: 24.01.2026, 19:30 CEST

Where?
Brann Stadion, Bergen

How to watch: Available on regional sports broadcasters and select online streaming platforms.

Favorite: Athletic Bilbao

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