Sevilla vs Alavés Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga Match - 14.02.2026

On the crisp evening of February 14, 2026, Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán will become the stage for a pivotal La Liga clash as Sevilla hosts Alavés. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:30 CEST, with both sides eager to distance themselves from the lower rungs of the table and push toward mid-season stability. Nestled in the heart of Seville, the stadium’s electric atmosphere will undoubtedly elevate this encounter, especially in a campaign where every point is fiercely contested.

As the regular season unfolds, both teams find themselves locked with 25 points from 23 matches—Sevilla holds 13th, Alavés 14th only by a single goal in the differential. This parity underlines the stakes: a win could be a lifeline for either, and a loss might deepen existing woes. Matías Almeyda commands Sevilla’s dugout with tactical ingenuity, while Eduardo Coudet’s Alavés has proven capable of memorable upsets, making this matchup a study in calculated risk and resurgence.

Eyes will be trained on Akor Adams for Sevilla, whose potency in the final third (3 goals in his last 4 matches) could be the antidote to their recent scoring woes, and Toni Martínez for Alavés, whose directness and eye for goal (2 goals, 1 assist in the latest 5 games) bring real threat.

Hot Stat: Both teams have exactly 6 goals in their previous five games, yet their methods differ: Sevilla relies heavily on Adams’ finishing, while Alavés disperses their threat among Martínez, Boyé, and Rebbach.

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Sevilla vs Alavés predictions

My best bet: Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes)

Given the recent scoring patterns—both sides netting six in their last five outings—and the defensive frailties evident (Sevilla conceding 9, Alavés 10 in the same spell), there’s ample reason to expect both teams finding the net. Sevilla’s 4-4-2 has seen a surge in pressing intensity at home, but gaps in midfield have left them vulnerable. Alavés, favoring a 4-2-3-1, projects more structure but concedes nearly as many chances. The clash of styles often yields open football, especially with both desperate to widen the gap from the relegation zone.

Sevilla averages about 10.2 fouls and 1.4 yellow cards per match in their last five, while Alavés registers a remarkable 14.8 fouls and 1.6 yellows—a marker of their aggressive pressing. Ball possession has oscillated near the 48-52% mark for both, underscoring competitive parity but also occasionally chaotic transitions. High foul counts and frequent set pieces could disrupt rhythm, but also produce scoring opportunities—factors that align neatly with a BTTS scenario.

Prop picks by me:

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Sevilla vs Alavés Most recent H2Hs

In their last four confrontations, Alavés holds a slight edge in both goals and fouls, indicating a willingness to disrupt Sevilla’s rhythm. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in these fixtures, reinforcing the likelihood of another open contest. The home victory in their last La Liga meeting (2-1 for Sevilla) was balanced by Alavés’ Copa Del Rey triumph this season, showing a true equilibrium. Historically, narrow margins define these matches—expect late drama.

🚨Read our full Sevilla vs Alavés stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Sevilla has drawn two of their last five home matches, highlighting resilience under pressure but also issues closing games.
• Alavés has failed to keep a clean sheet in nine straight La Liga fixtures.
• Akor Adams (Sevilla) scored 3 of the team’s last 6 goals, showing his crucial attacking role.
• Matches between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals over the last two seasons.
• Both teams rank in the league’s bottom six for pass completion, indicating potential for transitions and turnovers.

Sevilla vs Alavés score prediction: 2-2

Expect goals from Akor Adams and Peque Fernández for Sevilla, with Toni Martínez and Lucas Boyé posing the greatest threat for Alavés. Both sides’ defensive imprecisions make a high-scoring draw probable, especially given their H2H scoring trends and statistical symmetry.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sevilla the favourite

Bookmakers narrowly favour Sevilla, given their home advantage and Adams’ form, but only marginally so—the odds reflect the finely balanced state of both teams. Draws are a serious risk, as are over goals markets given defensive lapses. That both teams to score is listed near even odds (1.84) points to market expectation of an open clash, perfectly in line with both teams’ H2H and current form.

Sevilla vs Alavés Over/Under Analysis

• Four of Sevilla’s last five La Liga matches ended with at least three goals scored in total.
• Alavés have conceded at least two goals in four of their last six league games.
• Both teams’ recent meetings have averaged over 2.5 goals.
• Corner counts frequently exceed eight, aligning with expected high set piece activity.

Sevilla Preview

Sevilla’s inconsistency has hit new heights in 2026: one win in their last six league games, a dispiriting 1-4 loss to Mallorca, and only two points gleaned from their last three fixtures. Their 4-4-2 is functional going forward but susceptible down the flanks—a weakness Mallorca exploited with repeated overlap runs. The draw with Girona (1-1) restored a sliver of belief, showing smart movement from Peque Fernández and midfield grit from Nemanja Gudelj. Yet, the collective is still overly dependent on Akor Adams’ finishing.

Alavés Preview

Alavés have been more active—seven matches in the last month testify to their grind. Their latest 2-1 win against Real Betis, with Lucas Boyé and Toni Martínez finding the net, marked a tactical masterstroke by Coudet: the team pressed tenaciously but also held defensive discipline late. The main risk remains fatigue, with three defeats in their last five stemming from late-game lapses. Their midfield trio, especially Antonio Blanco, brings balanced ball retention, but set piece defense is a well-known Achilles’ heel.

Our prediction: Who Wins?

On behalf of Tips.GG’s analytical team, we forecast a tightly contested draw (scoreline: 2-2), fueled by pressing football and defensive vulnerabilities on both ends. While Sevilla, at home, have a sliver of statistical edge (45 percent win probability by our AI prediction engine), Alavés’ counter-attacking acumen ensures balanced danger. The risk of late drama is high—those seeking value might look beyond the outright result, focusing on goals and set pieces.

How to watch Sevilla vs Alavés

• When? February 14, 2026
• Kick-off time: 19:30 CEST
• Where? Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville
• How to watch: Check La Liga official broadcasts, DAZN (ES), and local listings for live streaming options.
• Favorite: Sevilla

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