Serbia (w) vs Iceland (w) Prediction: 27.06.2025 International Friendly

With both Serbia (w) and Iceland (w) looking to sharpen their squads during an international break, this friendly at Bergen’s Brann Stadion serves as a fascinating test of current form and tactical progression. While Serbia (w) have built strong recent momentum, Iceland (w) arrive in search of new answers, with both coaches eager to gauge depth ahead of more competitive engagements. The interesting subplot here? Serbia’s blend of rising midfield control meets Iceland’s penchant for quick transitions from the back a possible tactical chess match with significant insight for the months ahead.

For the neutral observer, two key players could prove decisive: Serbia’s midfielder Jelena Cankovic, whose passing tempo dictates the rhythm, and Iceland’s dynamic forward Sveindis Jane Jonsdottir, a player with an eye for goal and the resolve to make something from little. Both are more than capable of shaping the game’s narrative outside of the spotlight reserved for the goalkeepers.

The “hot stat”? Serbia (w) are unbeaten in their last six, with only two goals conceded across that stretch a sign of collective defensive discipline and structured pressing that’s been growing stronger with each outing.

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Serbia (w) vs Iceland (w) prediction

The safest bet here appears to be Serbia (w) to win or Draw No Bet. Given their strong recent form (67 percent win rate this year and undefeated in the last six matches), Serbia (w) enter with confidence and structure lacking from Iceland (w), who have not won in their last six. The Balkan side boasts a sturdy defensive record just 2 goals conceded in the last five while Iceland (w) have been less convincing, conceding five and managing only one clean sheet in the same span.

Expect Serbia (w) to control the midfield, relying on higher pass accuracy (average 78 percent to Iceland’s 69 percent) and better ball retention. Serbia’s disciplined approach means fewer reckless fouls (averaging 12) and a lower card count (2 yellows), contrasting Iceland’s 14 fouls and 3 yellows per match, signalling potential composure issues. Serbia (w)’s 4-3-3 is used to stifling opposition, and their attacking width could expose Iceland (w) on the flanks, especially given Iceland’s defensive lapses from recent matches.

Team Analysis

Serbia (w) have steadied their ship this year, recording four wins from six including a recent defensive masterclass in a 1-0 win over Hungary (w). Their latest outing, a 1-1 draw with Finland (w), saw Serbia dominate possession and create more shots (19) despite conceding late. What stands out is their build-up through the midfield most notably Cankovic and Filipovic combined with Blagojevic’s composure and Kostic’s reliability in goal. Defenders like Vlajnic and Poljak have contributed both defensively and aerially, especially on set pieces.

Iceland (w), in contrast, struggle to convert possession into results. A spirited 1-1 draw against Norway (w) was followed by a sobering 0-2 defeat to France (w), exposing gaps when pressed by higher-level opposition. Iceland have managed just one goal in their last three, with defensive linchpins like Glódís Perla Viggósdóttir often left exposed. Passing accuracy and rhythm have suffered, with midfielders often isolated and forwards, chiefly Jonsdottir, feeding off scraps. With a 4-3-3, discipline is paramount but Iceland’s increased yellow card count hints at frazzled nerves under pressure.

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🚨Read our full Serbia (w) vs Iceland (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Serbia (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Serbia (w) 1.95 | Iceland (w) 3.85
• Draw 3.25
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.20 | Under 2.5 1.65
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.30 | No 1.55

Bookmakers clearly see Serbia (w) as the likely winners, with odds in their favour despite the neutral venue. A sub-2.00 moneyline suggests strong belief in their current form and tactical discipline. The higher odds for Iceland (w) and BTTS Yes reflect their recent struggles in attack and Serbia (w)’s tight defensive line. With both sides preferring structure over risk, Under 2.5 Goals stands out as the statistically sound prediction.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Serbia (w) possible starting eleven

This predicted 4-3-3 is anchored by Kostic in goal, who’s been a steadying influence. Poljak, Vlajnic, and Blagojevic provide both solidity and an unexpected attacking thrust from the back, while Cankovic pulls the strings in possession. Filipovic and Petrović offer defensive reliability, while the offensive trio of Damnjanovic, Ilic, and Ivanovic aim to exploit Iceland’s high line. Watch for Cankovic to link deeper midfield play to advanced positions, a crucial axis in Serbia’s system.

Iceland (w) possible starting eleven

Coach Halldórsson will set up in a familiar 4-3-3, looking to steady a wavering defence through leadership from Viggósdóttir and Sigurdardottir. In midfield, Antonsdottir and Jessen look to recapture fluency and provide Jonsdottir the service she needs to test Serbia. Since Iceland’s discipline has been tested of late, the play of Eiriksdottir out wide may be key to bolstering defensive shape while contributing going forward.

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The Verdict

This encounter feels like a litmus test for both squads’ mental resilience and system maturity. Our main pick: Serbia (w) Draw No Bet. Their form, defensive shape, and ability to control the game’s tempo set them apart at this stage. With Iceland (w) still searching for an attacking spark, it wouldn’t be a shock to see Serbia (w) edge a closely-fought contest possibly by a single goal, with an emphasis on rigour over risk. Could this be the start of a breakout run for Serbia (w)? If they keep building on this foundation, few would bet against them finding success through the rest of 2025.

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