Levi Rothermund
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Serbia host Germany at the Rajko Mitić Stadion on Friday evening in a League A Group 2 fixture that still carries weight. Germany sit third with five points, while Serbia have yet to pick up a point in the group. The gap in quality looks wide on paper, and the bookmakers agree.
Germany arrive with the stronger momentum. Serbia, meanwhile, have lost every game in the last month and need a reaction at home. We think the visitors have the tools to control this one, though honestly the home side could make it messy if they press early.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League A Group 2 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Rajko Mitić Stadion, Belgrade |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:45 CEST |
Serbia vs Germany prediction
Germany look like the side to back. The bookmakers price them at roughly 74 percent to win, and the moneyline prices around 1.27 confirm that view. Our pick is a Germany win without conceding, and we think that is the smartest angle here.
Serbia have struggled to keep clean sheets. They have conceded eight goals in four group matches, and their attack has managed just three. Germany have scored steadily and kept a 2-0 win over Serbia in their last meeting. The visitors do not need to score a lot to win, so a tight, controlled game suits them.
Serbia tend to commit plenty of fouls when they lose the ball, and that gives opponents set-piece chances. Germany keep possession well and should limit those moments, which lowers the chance of an open match. Honestly, a low-scoring game feels most likely.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Germany to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 3.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
Team Analysis
Serbia have endured a rough stretch. They lost all four matches in the last 30 days and collected only one win this year from eight games. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-2 home defeat to the Netherlands, a result that showed some fight but not enough finishing. The side conceded late in that game, which has become a recurring problem.
Germany have been far more consistent. They have won seven of twelve games this year and taken a solid run of results into this window. Their last match finished 0-0 away to Greece, which looked more like a game of patience than a sign of trouble. The attack lacked sharpness there, but the defence stayed organised.
🚨Check out our dedicated Serbia vs Germany stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Germany the favourite
- Moneyline Serbia 8.50 to 9.60 | Germany 1.23 to 1.28
- Draw 5.85 to 6.67
The market is clear. Germany sit around 1.27 across most bookmakers, which implies a probability near 79 percent before margin. Serbia at 9.60 or higher suggests a long shot, and the draw around 6.05 looks fair given how Serbia have struggled to convert chances. We think the home price offers no value, so the Germany win remains the logical side.
Serbia. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Germany should take the points in Belgrade. Their form, consistency and recent head-to-head win all point in the same direction. Serbia have the home crowd, and maybe that brings some energy early, but the team has not shown the defensive shape needed to hold a strong side for ninety minutes.
Our call is a narrow Germany win, with the clean sheet as the main angle. Serbia have the pressure to score, but a low-scoring game fits the numbers better than a shootout.
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