Levi Rothermund
As the UEFA Nations League 2024/25 draws to a close, the clash between Serbia and Austria becomes a pivotal encounter in League A Promotion. Both teams find themselves in the middle of the standings, each with a point from their opening matches. The stakes are high in this contest as they vie for a spot in the upper echelons of European football. A win here could catapult either team closer to advancement, making this a must-watch for fans anticipating a fiercely contested affair at Belgrade’s iconic Stadium Rajko Mitic.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2024/25 |
| ⚽️ Venue: | Stadium Rajko Mitic, Belgrade |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23.03.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
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Serbia vs Austria prediction: 1-1 Draw
Both Serbia and Austria have shown tendencies towards strategic play, marked by their respective formation choices. Serbia’s 4-2-3-1 focuses on a balanced attack and defense, whereas Austria’s 3-4-1-2 allows for more aggressive forward plays. With similar performance levels in their recent matchups, predicted metrics like xG suggest a closely matched encounter with neither side showing a distinct upper hand. Fouls and yellow cards have been minimal, indicating disciplined playstyles which could lead to a continuation of their recent draw trend.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Value Bet on Draw Odds, higher than 3.0 |
| ⚽Correct Score: | 1-1 Draw |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Goals Over 2.5: | No |
Team Analysis
Serbia’s recent form has been erratic, with a mix of draws and losses against various opponents. They managed a respectful draw against Austria in their previous meeting, indicating a familiarity that could influence this match. When facing strong teams like Spain, Serbia demonstrated vulnerabilities, highlighted by a 0-3 defeat. On the flip side, Austria’s recent performances show a more consistent streak, with key victories against teams like Norway, where they prevailed 5-1, showcasing their offensive capabilities. However, Austria has struggled to maintain form against low-ranked teams like Kazakhstan, suggesting inconsistency that Serbia might exploit.
Both teams currently hold positions mid-table, and with one point each from draws, the onus is on both to break the deadlock and make a statement. Serbia’s strong home advantage, coupled with Austria’s traveling form, sets the stage for a tactically rich clash.
Most recent H2Hs: Austria dominates
| Date | Tournament | Goals | Total Shots | Pass Accuracy (%) | Interceptions | Offsides | Total Fouls | Total Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.03.2025 | UEFA Nations League | 1-1 | 64 | 80% | 28 | 6 | 40 | 10 |
🚨Read our full Serbia vs Austria stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Austria the favourite
| Bookmaker | Serbia | Draw | Austria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderpick | 2.82 | 3.14 | 2.40 |
| Spinbetter | 3.02 | 3.48 | 2.51 |
| 888starz | 3.02 | 3.48 | 2.51 |
| Megapari | 3.02 | 3.48 | 2.51 |
| 22bet | 2.92 | 3.34 | 2.42 |
| Bets-io | 2.85 | 3.15 | 2.43 |
Austria enters this match as the slight favorite, backed by odds tipping just above the even mark. Their recent form supports this prediction with a robust attacking display. However, Serbia’s resilience at home and the 33% win probability indicate that this will be a tightly contested match. A draw remains a plausible outcome, given the strategic parity shown in previous encounters.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Key Players to Watch
From Serbia, Lazar Samardzic stands out. Scoring twice in as many appearances, his creative spark in midfield could be pivotal in breaking down Austria’s defense. Partnering him, Dušan Vlahović is a forward with an eye for goal despite not yet opening his account in recent matches. His presence remains a threat that could shift the balance in Serbia’s favor.
For Austria, Michael Gregoritsch presents a formidable challenge. With two goals in his recent outings and a knack for positioning, keeping him in check will be essential for Serbia. Additionally, Marko Arnautović provides an experienced head in attack, his playmaking ability accentuated by two recent assists that have been crucial for Austria’s forward momentum.
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Possible Starting Lineup
Based on their recent formations, Serbia is likely to stick to their 4-2-3-1 setup. Expect Vlahović to lead the line supported by Samardzic in midfield. With a defense marshaled by Srđan Babić, their structure aims for both solidity and counter-attacking threat.
Austria, meanwhile, could line up in a 3-4-1-2 formation. Gregoritsch is anticipated to spearhead their offense, with tactical support from Arnautović. In defense, Philipp Lienhart provides stability, ensuring Austria remains organized and ready to exploit any Serbian lapses.
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Serbia. Source: Official Website
The Verdict
My main pick is a 1-1 draw. This prediction aligns with both teams’ current form and previous head-to-head results. While Austria enters as a slight favorite, Serbia’s resilience, particularly at home, offers them a strong chance to earn a point. Neither team has shown enough dominance to suggest a clear winner, making a draw the most logical outcome.
