Liam Duckstein
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Sassuolo and Frosinone meet at the Mapei Stadium in the second round of the Coppa Italia 2026/27, a clash between two Italian sides who know each other well from recent Serie B combat. Sassuolo enter as hosts and narrow favourites, but Frosinone arrive in surprisingly sharp form this season, having won 57% of their matches in 2026 compared to Sassuolo’s 40%. Alberto Aquilani’s side will need to be sharper than their recent run suggests if they want to avoid an early cup exit on home soil.
Keep an eye on Cristian Volpato for Sassuolo, who has contributed two goals and an assist across his recent appearances and brings real creativity in central areas. For Frosinone, Antonio Raimondo stands out with three goals in his last three matches, making him the most direct attacking threat Massimiliano Alvini has at his disposal.
A hot stat worth noting: Frosinone racked up 57 fouls across their last five matches, more than double Sassuolo’s tally of 28. That level of physicality in a cup tie could mean more stoppages, more set pieces, and a match that suits the home side’s more technical style.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Coppa Italia 2026/27, Round 2 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia |
| 🗓️ Date: | 02.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Sassuolo vs Frosinone Prediction
Sassuolo are the home side and carry a clear advantage in terms of squad depth and recent cup experience, but their last 30 days have been rough, with three losses from six matches. Frosinone, to be honest, look the better-organised side right now over the longer stretch of 2026, but a cup tie at the Mapei Stadium is a different challenge.
We predict Sassuolo to win this match, though not convincingly. The home advantage, combined with Frosinone’s tendency to concede on the counter, tips the balance. Sassuolo’s pass accuracy across five matches sits at 1,267 out of 1,419 attempted, showing a team that builds carefully from the back. Frosinone’s 757 out of 981 tells a different story, one of a more direct side that looks to transition quickly and use set pieces, given their 42 free kicks compared to Sassuolo’s 28.
That foul-heavy approach from Frosinone could open up dead-ball opportunities for both sides. With both teams showing goal threat in recent weeks (Sassuolo scoring six, Frosinone seven in their last five), there is a solid case for both teams to find the net.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Sassuolo to win & Both Teams to Score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Sassuolo’s recent run has been a mixed bag. They beat Torino 2-1 in their most recent outing, which was an encouraging result against a side ranked in the top 130 clubs globally. Before that, they fell 2-1 to Atalanta and suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat to Celta Vigo. The win over Cesena (3-0) provided some breathing room, but the 3-2 loss to FC Augsburg showed defensive vulnerability. Alberto Aquilani’s side are capable of producing results but remain inconsistent under pressure from stronger opposition.
Frosinone come into this fixture with considerably more momentum. Their most recent result was a 3-0 win over Fiorentina, a significant scalp given Fiorentina’s ranking. Before that, they lost narrowly 1-0 to Juventus, which is no disgrace. The 4-1 win over Juve Stabia and a competitive 1-2 loss to Lazio round out a run that shows Frosinone are competitive across the board. Massimiliano Alvini has built a side that is hard to break down and effective on the transition, even if they commit fouls at a high rate.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides have met twice recently in Serie B, with each team taking one win. The head-to-head record is tight and offers no clear edge to either side going into this cup tie.
| Statistic | Sassuolo | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Sassuolo vs Frosinone stats page for more info.
Frosinone. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Sassuolo the Favourite
- Moneyline Sassuolo 1.83 | Frosinone 3.95
- Draw 3.40
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
The odds place Sassuolo as clear favourites, and the bookmaker probability of 51% for the home win aligns with that. At around 1.83 to 1.88 depending on the bookmaker, Sassuolo to win offers reasonable value given their home record and the quality gap at individual positions. Frosinone at 3.95 is tempting given their form, but away cup ties against higher-ranked opposition historically expose their defensive frailties. The draw at 3.40 is fairly priced for a cup match that could go either way in the final stretch.
Possible Starting Lineups
Sassuolo Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Arijanet Murić
- DF: Josh Doig, Cas Odenthal, Simone Cinquegrano, Tommaso Macchioni
- MF: Nemanja Matić, Darryl Bakola, Vasilije Adzic
- FW: Armand Lauriente, Kieron Bowie, Cristian Volpato
Murić starts in goal with 13 saves across recent matches, making him the clear first choice. Aquilani is expected to line up in a 4-3-3, with Matić anchoring the midfield and Adzic providing the creative link to the front three. Volpato, with two goals and an assist recently, is the player most likely to make the difference in the final third. Lauriente and Bowie add width and pressing intensity on either side.
Frosinone Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Lorenzo Palmisani
- DF: Anthony Oyono, Ilario Monterisi, Gabriele Calvani, Gabriele Bracaglia
- MF: Giacomo Calò, Romano Schmid, Patrizio Masini
- FW: Giorgi Kvernadze, Antonio Raimondo, Matteo Cichella
Palmisani takes the gloves after 14 saves in three matches, making him Frosinone’s most reliable defensive presence. Alvini is likely to stick with the same 4-3-3 that has served him well this season. Kvernadze, with two goals and two assists in three matches, is the most dangerous player in this squad, and Raimondo offers relentless pressing and finishing ability up front. Bracaglia adds a goal threat from deep, having scored and assisted once each in recent games. Schmid’s two yellow cards in three matches are worth watching in a physical cup tie.
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Sassuolo. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
This Coppa Italia second-round tie is closer than the odds suggest. Frosinone are in genuinely strong form across 2026, and their attacking trio of Kvernadze, Raimondo, and Cichella have the numbers to hurt any defence. Sassuolo, though, carry the home advantage, the superior passing structure, and a midfield that can control tempo through Matić and Bakola.
We predict Sassuolo to win 2-1. Both teams have shown they can score, and Frosinone’s high foul rate will likely hand Sassuolo dead-ball chances in dangerous areas. A tight win for the home side is the most likely outcome, with goals at both ends making this worth backing on the combined market of Sassuolo win and both teams to score.
