Sofia Quijada
Sarmiento Junin and Independiente Rivadavia meet in Hu Ning on August 3rd in the Argentine Primera Division Clausura. Both clubs already know each other well this season: Rivadavia beat Sarmiento 2-1 in the Apertura earlier in 2026, and the visitors have won both previous head-to-head meetings. Sarmiento are rooted to the bottom of the Clausura table with zero points from two games, making this a must-respond fixture at home. Rivadavia, sitting 7th, arrive with a clean three-match unbeaten run and genuine momentum. Midfielder Jose Ignacio Florentin has been one of the most active players in Rivadavia’s recent games, contributing a goal and leading the team in shots and free kicks. For Sarmiento, forward Junior Marabel is the main attacking outlet, accounting for two of the team’s four goals across their last five matches.
Hot stat: Independiente Rivadavia have scored in each of their last five matches, netting 10 goals in that span, averaging two per game across a stretch that includes Copa Sudamericana fixtures against Bolivar and La Guaira.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Argentine Primera Division 2026, Clausura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Eva Peron, Hu Ning |
| 🗓️ Date: | 03.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:45 CEST |
Sarmiento Junin vs Independiente Rivadavia Prediction
Independiente Rivadavia are the clear value pick here. They have won 18 of 27 matches in 2026 (67% win rate), gone unbeaten in their last three, and have beaten Sarmiento in both recent head-to-heads. Sarmiento, by contrast, have lost all three matches in the last 30 days and have not won any of their last five games, conceding 12 goals in that stretch. Rivadavia’s 4-4-2 produces structured attacking play with width, and their 36 shots across the last five games outpaces Sarmiento’s 29. We predict an away win as the primary bet.
Sarmiento commit fouls at a high rate (38 in five games) and have conceded freely, which plays into Rivadavia’s ability to earn set pieces and generate corners. Rivadavia lead in corner kicks (14 vs 12) and total shots, suggesting they dominate possession phases. Sarmiento’s pass accuracy across five games sits at 833 out of 1097 attempted passes, a respectable completion rate, but they lose the ball frequently (46 lost balls from Santamaría alone). Rivadavia’s disciplined defensive structure, with interceptions spread across multiple defenders, should contain Sarmiento’s attack, which has struggled to create consistent chances.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Independiente Rivadavia to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Sarmiento Junin have been in poor form, losing all three matches in the last 30 days and going winless in their last five competitive fixtures. Their most recent match ended in a 2-3 defeat to Banfield on July 28th, where they scored twice through Marabel and Herrera but conceded three. Before that, they fell 2-3 to Argentinos Juniors and 0-2 to Boca Juniors. The pattern is consistent: Sarmiento score occasionally but their defensive shape breaks down under pressure. They have conceded 12 goals across five recent matches and carry a -2 goal difference in the Clausura after just two games.
Independiente Rivadavia arrive in strong form. Their last match, a 2-1 win over Huracan on July 30th, extended their unbeaten run to three games. Before that, a 0-0 draw with Atletico Tucuman showed defensive solidity, and a 1-0 win over Tigre in their Clausura opener gave them a solid base. Their Copa Sudamericana outings earlier in July produced a 3-1 win over Bolivar and a 4-2 victory over La Guaira, demonstrating genuine attacking firepower across competitions. With 18 wins from 27 matches in 2026, Alfredo Berti’s side carry real confidence into this road trip.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Sarmiento Junin | Independiente Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Sarmiento Junin vs Independiente Rivadavia stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Independiente Rivadavia the favourite
- Moneyline Sarmiento Junin 3.35 | Independiente Rivadavia 2.25
- Draw 2.90
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The bookmakers reflect Rivadavia’s quality accurately. At around 3.35, Sarmiento’s price is fair given their current run, and the draw at 2.90 offers little value considering both teams’ recent trajectories. Rivadavia at approximately 2.25 to 2.40 across books is the most grounded option. The average market probability of 41% for a Rivadavia win aligns with their form, though to be honest, their actual performance data across 2026 suggests they win at a closer to 67% clip. The away win represents the best-value position on this market.
Sarmiento Junin. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Sarmiento Junin Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Mauricio Arboleda
- DF: Juan Manuel Insaurralde, Renzo Orihuela, Thiago Santamaría, Lucas Suarez
- MF: Cristian Exequiel Zabala, Elián Giménez, Santiago Salle, Mauricio Martínez
- FW: Junior Marabel, Pablo Daniel Magnin
Facundo Sava has consistently used a 4-4-2 across recent fixtures. Mauricio Arboleda starts in goal, with Insaurralde and Orihuela as the experienced center-back pairing. Zabala and Santamaría anchor the midfield and defensive transitions. Up front, Marabel is the key name to watch: he has scored twice in the last three games and leads the squad in attacking output. Magnin provides support runs and registered an assist recently.
Independiente Rivadavia Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Nicolás Bolcato
- DF: Sheyko Darko Studer, Leonard Costa, Juan Elordi, Iván Villalba
- MF: Jose Ignacio Florentin, Gonzalo Rios, Tomas Bottari, Leonel Bucca
- FW: Alex Arce, Matías Fernández
Alfredo Berti deploys a disciplined 4-4-2 with clear positional structure. Bolcato is the established starter between the posts. The back four of Studer, Costa, Elordi, and Villalba has been consistent across all five recent matches, providing the foundation for Rivadavia’s defensive record. In midfield, Florentin is the standout: he leads the team in shots (6), interceptions (3), and free kicks (6) across recent games and scored once. Arce and Fernández lead the line, with Fernández contributing two assists and five shots. Luciano Gomez, listed as a defender, has also contributed a goal from set-piece situations and is worth tracking.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Independiente Rivadavia. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Independiente Rivadavia are the standout pick in this fixture. Their 2026 record speaks clearly: 18 wins from 27 matches, two consecutive wins over Sarmiento in head-to-head meetings, and a three-game unbeaten run entering this clash. Sarmiento have lost three straight, conceded 12 goals in five games, and sit bottom of the Clausura with no points. Rivadavia’s higher shot volume, better corner output, and organized midfield should produce a controlled away win. We predict Independiente Rivadavia to win, with both teams scoring unlikely given Sarmiento’s attacking struggles. The away win to nil is the most attractive single-market bet at current prices.
