Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan Prediction: 16 August 2026 Argentine Primera Division

Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover

Add on Google

Sarmiento Junin host Huracan in the Argentine Primera Division 2026 Clausura at Estadio Eva Peron. Both sides sit on 6 and 7 points respectively after four Clausura rounds, making this a tightly contested mid-table clash. Sarmiento have already shipped 8 goals in those four games, a figure that matches their own tally and signals a side prone to wild scorelines. Huracan, by contrast, have been more composed, and their superior global ranking reflects a squad with more quality across the pitch. Junior Marabel leads Sarmiento’s attack with 3 goals in 5 recent games, while Jordy Caicedo has been equally sharp for Huracan with 3 goals in 4 appearances, making both strikers the central figures to watch.

Hot stat: Sarmiento Junin have scored 8 goals and conceded 8 in just 4 Clausura matches, an extraordinary goal-to-game ratio that points strongly toward high-scoring encounters when they are involved.

Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan Prediction

The bookmakers lean slightly toward a Huracan win or a draw, with Sarmiento priced as the clear outsider at around 3.10–3.30. That reflects the gap in squad quality, but Sarmiento’s home form and their tendency to produce goals at both ends make a straightforward Huracan win far from certain. We predict Over 2.5 goals as the primary bet. Sarmiento have scored 8 and conceded 8 in 4 Clausura games, and their last five competitive matches across all competitions produced 8 goals for them alone. Huracan scored twice against San Lorenzo most recently and have Caicedo firing. The conditions for goals at both ends are strong.

Sarmiento average 13 fouls per game across their last five matches compared to Huracan’s 8.8, suggesting Sarmiento play a more physical and disruptive style. That extra aggression has earned them 9 yellow cards to Huracan’s 6 in the same period, and it may hand Huracan set-piece opportunities in dangerous areas. Huracan’s pass accuracy of 1,520 out of 1,870 passes reflects a team that keeps the ball better and builds with more structure, which should give them the edge in controlling spells of the game. Sarmiento’s direct approach, however, keeps them dangerous on the counter, and their 49 total shots across five games shows they are not passive in front of goal.

Team Analysis

Sarmiento Junin have been inconsistent over the past 30 days, recording 2 wins and 3 losses with no draws across 5 matches. Their most recent result was a 2-1 home win over Atletico Tucuman, which snapped a run of back-to-back league losses to Banfield (2-3) and Argentinos Juniors (2-3). Those defeats highlighted a defensive vulnerability that has been a recurring theme. Their only clean sheet in recent memory is absent from this dataset, and conceding in bulk against Banfield and Boca (0-2 loss) underlines how exposed they can be. On the positive side, Junior Marabel has 3 goals in his last 5 games, and Julian Mavilla has chipped in with 2, giving Facundo Sava’s side a genuine cutting edge going forward.

Huracan arrive in slightly better shape, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss across their last four games. Their most recent outing was a comfortable 2-0 win over San Lorenzo, with Caicedo and Oscar Cortes providing the attacking threat that Diego Martínez has been building around. Before that, a goalless draw against Atletico Tucuman and a 1-2 loss to Independiente Rivadavia showed the team can be vulnerable when pressed, but the San Lorenzo performance was a statement of intent. Huracan’s discipline stands out: just 6 yellow cards and 1 red card across their last 5 matches, with 44 fouls committed, showing they compete without constantly giving away set pieces.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨 Check out our dedicated Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Huracan the Favourite

• Moneyline Sarmiento Junin 3.10–3.30 | Huracan 2.55–2.72
• Draw 2.60–2.80
• Over/Under Over 2.5 – approx. 1.85 | Under 2.5 – approx. 1.95
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes – approx. 1.80 | No – approx. 1.95

The spread between Huracan and the draw is unusually tight at these odds, which reflects genuine uncertainty about this fixture. Sarmiento at 3.10–3.30 represents a price that slightly overestimates the home advantage, given how leaky their defense has been. Huracan at 2.55–2.67 is fair value for a side in better recent form with a stronger squad. The Over 2.5 market is where the real value sits: Sarmiento’s last four Clausura games alone produced 16 goals combined, and Huracan have scored in three of their last four. The BTTS Yes line around 1.80 also looks attractive given both teams carry a clear goal threat.

Possible Starting Lineups

Sarmiento Junin Possible Starting Eleven

Sarmiento set up in a 4-4-2 under Facundo Sava, and this lineup reflects the players with the most appearances across the last five matches. Thyago Ayala starts in goal with 13 saves to his name in that period. The back four is anchored by Insaurralde, who leads the team in interceptions with 7. In midfield, Mauricio Martínez is the most direct contributor with 1 goal and 1 free-kick goal, while Santiago Salle covers the most ground. Up front, Junior Marabel is the standout with 3 goals and the highest shot volume of any outfield player, paired with Mavilla who has contributed 2 goals from deep runs.

Huracan Possible Starting Eleven

Diego Martínez also deploys a 4-4-2, and Huracan’s lineup is built around a well-organized defensive structure with Palazzo, Nervo, and Blondel providing solidity. Galindez has 11 saves across four games and is a reliable last line. Leonardo Gil controls the tempo in midfield with 265 passes and 1 assist, while Kalinger di Napoli adds creativity and set-piece delivery with 8 free kicks. The forward pairing of Caicedo (3 goals, 9 shots) and Cortes (1 goal, 11 shots) gives Huracan the most potent attacking unit in this match, and both will look to exploit Sarmiento’s defensive fragility early.

🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

TipsGG Match Prediction

Huracan enter this fixture as the better-organized side with a sharper forward line and stronger squad depth. Their 2-0 win over San Lorenzo demonstrated composure and efficiency, and Caicedo in particular looks dangerous against a Sarmiento back line that has already shipped 8 goals in 4 Clausura matches. Sarmiento are not without threat at home, and Marabel’s form means this will not be a clean sheet exercise for Huracan’s defense. We predict a Huracan win in a game that goes over 2.5 goals, with both teams finding the net. The BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 combination is our preferred play, and a Huracan win at 2.55–2.67 offers solid value for a side that has the tools to control large portions of this match.

• We predict Huracan to win
• Over 2.5 goals
• Both Teams to Score: Yes

More useful links for football fans

• Gamble Responsibly
• Best Football Betting Websites
• How to Bet On Sports
• Sports Betting Glossary
• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG