Rafael Nogueira
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Sao Bernardo welcome Londrina PR to Estadio Primeiro de Maio in a fixture that pits a mid-table home side against the division’s basement club. Sao Bernardo sit 14th with 27 points from 21 games, while Londrina occupy 18th spot on just 15 points, one of only two teams in Série B currently winless streaks stretching across last six outings. The interesting wrinkle here: these two sides met in the reverse fixture just months ago in Série C 2025, and neither has managed to shake the other off convincingly across their last four meetings, three of which ended level or with a single-goal margin.
Watch Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes for the hosts. He carries two goals from his last five appearances, more than any teammate, and his movement between the lines has troubled Série B backlines all season. On the away side, Gilberto remains Londrina’s most dangerous outlet with one goal in five games, though his two yellow cards in that span suggest discipline could become an issue against a physical Sao Bernardo midfield.
Hot stat: Londrina PR have not won a single match in their last six outings across all competitions, four losses and two draws, a run that has dropped them to 0% winrate over their previous 30 days of action.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Primeiro de Maio, San Bernado do Campo |
| 🗓️ Date: | 11.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:30 CEST |
Sao Bernardo vs Londrina PR prediction
We predict Sao Bernardo to win this one, backed by home advantage and a Londrina side that has forgotten how to win on the road. Sao Bernardo have picked up a win and two draws from their last five, a modest return, but light years ahead of a Londrina outfit that has lost four of its last six and sits rock bottom in scoring output. Perhaps the most telling number is goals: Sao Bernardo have netted 5 in their last 5 matches against Londrina’s 3, and the away side’s attack has looked toothless for weeks.
Style-wise, Sao Bernardo have committed 67 fouls and picked up just 4 yellow cards across their last five matches, a fairly clean disciplinary record, while Londrina have racked up 75 fouls and 10 bookings in the same span, more than double the hosts. That aggression from Londrina, combined with their passing accuracy sitting well below Sao Bernardo’s (82% versus 84% roughly, based on completed pass ratios), points to a side under pressure that concedes possession cheaply. Expect Sao Bernardo to control tempo through Romisson and Hyoran in midfield, while Londrina’s discipline issues could invite an early card or two.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Sao Bernardo Win & Both Teams To Score No |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Sao Bernardo arrive off a 2-0 win against Ponte Preta, their most recent result, snapping a run of two draws and a loss before that. Across their last five, they beat a bottom-table side, lost narrowly to Goias and Botafogo SP, and drew with Nautico and Fortaleza, both tough away tests. The pattern suggests a team that performs well against weaker opposition at home, exactly the profile Londrina fits heading into this match.
Londrina’s most recent match ended 1-2 against Operario PR, continuing their miserable run. Before that they drew 0-0 with Juventude, lost 1-2 to Ceara, drew 0-0 with Atletico Goianiense, and fell 1-2 to Sport Recife. Zero wins across those five fixtures, with just two goals scored in three of the last four games combined. Their away form specifically has been dismal, and nothing in this data suggests a turnaround is imminent.
🚨Check out our dedicated Sao Bernardo vs Londrina PR stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Sao Bernardo the favourite
- Moneyline Sao Bernardo 1.83 | Londrina PR 4.39
- Draw 3.53
Markets have Sao Bernardo as clear favourites here, and rightly so given their home record against a Londrina side stuck at the bottom of the table. The draw price around 3.53 reflects the tight recent head-to-head history, but form and table position both lean toward the hosts. We would not touch the away price at over 4.30, the value simply is not there against a team that has not won on the road in months.
Possible Starting Lineups
Sao Bernardo possible starting eleven
- GK: Alex Alves
- DF: Pará, Jemerson, Mário Sérgio Valerio
- MF: Romisson, Hyoran, Foguinho, Lucas Eduardo Lima da Silva
- FW: Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes, Felipe Garcia, Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva
Vinícius Bergantin should stick with the 4-2-3-1 shape that has featured in the last five matches. Jemerson anchors the backline with 450 minutes played, the most of any outfield player, while Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes leads the attacking line as the club’s sharpest finisher this stretch.
Londrina PR possible starting eleven
- GK: Mauricio Kozlinski
- DF: Gabriel Santos Cordeiro Lacerda, Kaue Leonardo De Souza Prado, Kevyn Lucas Ramos da Costa, Heron
- MF: Lucas Marques, Thalis Henrique Cantanhede, Paulo Roberto Moccelin
- FW: Gilberto, William Pottker, Pablo Dyego
Rogério Micale keeps his 4-2-3-1 setup intact, leaning on a settled back four that has played every minute available. Gilberto and William Pottker carry the attacking burden, but neither has scored enough recently to inspire much confidence against a tighter Sao Bernardo defense.
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Londrina PR. Source: Official X/Twitter. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Our punters team backs Sao Bernardo to win this one at home, without needing a high-scoring affair to justify it. Londrina’s inability to find the net, just three goals across their last five fixtures, paired with a defense conceding regularly on the road, gives the hosts a clear route to three points. To be hones, this looks like one of the more straightforward calls on the Série B card this round, and we expect Sao Bernardo to close it out by a single goal, keeping the clean sheet intact.
