Rafael Nogueira
Santos host Bragantino at Estádio Urbano Caldeira in a crucial fixture for both sides. Santos seek to escape the relegation battle, while Bragantino aim to cement their place in the top half. Both teams adopt a 4-2-3-1 shape and rely heavily on dynamic wide players. One interesting subplot: Bragantino’s Lucas Henrique Barbosa, fresh off a brace in recent games, faces Santos’ Benjamín Rollheiser, who leads his side in goals and assists.
The hot stat: Bragantino have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches—nearly double Santos’ output.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2026 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 23:30 CEST |
Santos vs Bragantino prediction
We predict Bragantino to avoid defeat, with a double chance on Bragantino or Draw offering the best value. Bragantino’s form (4 wins in last 9) outshines Santos (just 1 win in last 9). Santos struggle to convert possession into chances, often lacking punch in the final third. Bragantino, in contrast, play with greater attacking intent, registering 77 shots in their last 5 compared to Santos’ 64, and scoring 9 goals.
Discipline remains a concern for both, with 11 and 12 yellow cards respectively in the last five, but Bragantino’s lower interception rate (38 to Santos’ 53) suggests they focus less on disruption and more on direct attacking transitions. Expect Bragantino to threaten on the break, while Santos may control spells of the game but struggle to break their opponent’s lines.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Bragantino Double Chance (X2) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Santos recently played Recoleta, drawing 1-1 in a match that highlighted their inability to capitalize on possession. Rollheiser netted again, but the team’s creativity remains patchy. Defensively, they managed 53 interceptions over their last five, but with just 5 goals in those games, their attack remains blunt.
Bragantino’s 6-0 demolition of Blooming showcased clinical finishing and attacking depth. Lucas Henrique Barbosa and Rodriguinho have stepped up, with Bragantino recording 9 goals across their last 5 matches. Their most recent domestic game, a 2-1 win over Chapecoense, underlines their current edge in the final third.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Santos | Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Total shots | 64 | 77 |
| Free kicks | 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks | 23 | 23 |
| Total fouls | 58 | 61 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 83.0 | 79.7 |
| Interceptions | 53 | 38 |
| Offsides | 9 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Santos vs Bragantino stats page for more info.
Santos. Source: Official Website
Pre-game odds and win probability: Santos the favourite
- Moneyline Santos 2.10 | Bragantino 3.50
- Draw 3.25
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.13 | Under 2.5 1.72
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.87 | No 1.95
Bookmakers install Santos as marginal favorites, likely due to home advantage and historical status. The odds on Bragantino are tempting, especially considering their superior form and goal output. With both teams producing frequent draws, the Draw option also deserves consideration. The Over/Under odds reflect expectations of a low-scoring contest; both have shown defensive vulnerabilities, but neither looks capable of running up the score.
Possible Starting Lineups
Santos possible starting eleven
- GK: Gabriel Brazão
- DF: Lucas Veríssimo, Luan Peres, Gonzalo Escobar, Igor Vinicius
- MF: João Schmidt, Christian Oliva, Gabriel Bontempo, Willian Arão
- FW: Benjamín Rollheiser, Neymar, Gabriel Barbosa
The Santos lineup revolves around Rollheiser’s creativity and Neymar’s technical quality. Brazão anchors the defense, which is likely to deploy four at the back. Expect a 4-2-3-1, with Rollheiser given license to roam behind Barbosa. Santos’ key challenge: translating possession into shots on target.
Bragantino possible starting eleven
- GK: Tiago Volpi
- DF: José Hurtado Cheme, Pedro Henrique, Gustavo Marques Alves dos Santos, Juninho Capixaba
- MF: Gabriel Girotto, Gustavo Neves, Eric Ramires, Marcelinho Braz
- FW: Lucas Henrique Barbosa, Eduardo Sasha
Bragantino’s eleven blends youth and experience. Volpi remains reliable in goal. Barbosa and Sasha spearhead the attack, ably supported by Neves and Girotto. Bragantino stick to a 4-2-3-1, often looking to hit on the counter. Barbosa’s finishing and Sasha’s movement will test Santos’ backline.
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Bragantino. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Bragantino to secure at least a point in Santos. The visitors’ offensive output and recent win streak contrast with Santos’ poor form and lack of cutting edge. Rollheiser and Neymar need standout performances for the hosts to claim three points. Our team prefers the X2 market, with both teams to score and under 2.5 goals as strong supporting options.
