Sofia Quijada
The second round of the Copa Del Rey 2025/26 brings a compelling encounter as Sant Andreu hosts Celta Vigo at the historic Camp Municipal Narcis Sala in Barcelona. Scheduled for 4th December 2025 at 22:00 CEST, this tie not only highlights the magic of Spain’s premier cup competition but also pits a determined lower-league challenger against established top-flight opposition. Under the guidance of Natxo González, Sant Andreu aims to conjure an upset against a highly favored Celta Vigo, led by Claudio Giráldez, whose squad approaches this phase on an uptick in performance.
With more than pride at stake, two standout outfielders will be critical to watch: for Sant Andreu, creative spark and form player Marc Prat, and for Celta Vigo, the multi-dimensional forward Pablo Durán Fernández, who netted three goals in his last five appearances and is supported by the ever-reliable Iago Aspas.
A ‘hot stat’ worth noting: Celta Vigo has scored eight goals in their last five matches, twice as many as Sant Andreu, underscoring the visitors’ superior offensive momentum.
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Sant Andreu vs Celta Vigo predictions
Me best bet: Celta Vigo to win & Over 2.5 Goals
Backing Celta Vigo for the outright win is reinforced both by underlying metrics and bookmaker confidence (average 75 percent win probability). The disparity in squad depth, recent form, and technical prowess positions the Galicians as overwhelming favorites, especially against a Sant Andreu side struggling with just one win in their last six matches. Notably, Celta Vigo have displayed attacking efficacy, and in cup matches such disparities often translate to a multi-goal outcome.
From a stylistic perspective, Sant Andreu’s persistent defensive formation (3-4-3) aims to contain and spring forward in transition, but their sequence of draws and low scoring output suggests issues converting chances. Accumulating 12 yellow cards in five matches, they’re prone to disruption and likely to concede free-kicks in dangerous areas. In contrast, Celta Vigo’s 4-4-2, anchored by calm possession, sees them dominate with 2175 completed passes in their most recent outings and a far lower yellow card count (7 total in last five), reducing self-inflicted risks.
If the hosts become frustrated, disciplinary issues could tilt momentum further in Celta Vigo’s favor.
- ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
- 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
- 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5
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Sant Andreu vs Celta Vigo Most recent H2Hs
| Statistic | Sant Andreu | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 8 |
| Total shots | 39 | 50 |
| Corner kicks | 22 | 17 |
In previous recent matches, there’s a clear quality gap in both chance creation and territorial dominance. Celta Vigo average 10 shots per game compared to Sant Andreu’s eight and maintain substantially superior passing numbers. Interestingly, Sant Andreu has had more corners (22 versus Celta’s 17), possibly indicating their intent to exploit set pieces as a leveller. However, the clinical conversion from Celta, along with better off-the-ball discipline, gives them edge in open play.
🚨Read our full Sant Andreu vs Celta Vigo stats for more analysis.
Key Stats
- Pablo Durán Fernández has scored three goals in Celta Vigo’s last five matches—hot form at the crucial moment.
- Sant Andreu has drawn three of their last five matches, highlighting resilience but an inability to kill off matches.
- Celta Vigo average 2.5 times more completed passes per match than Sant Andreu in recent outings.
- The highest single match odds available for a Sant Andreu upset are 13.00.
- Sant Andreu’s yellow card tally (12 in five games) is nearly double Celta Vigo’s (7).
Sant Andreu vs Celta Vigo score prediction: 1-3
Factoring in attacking dynamics and recent results, the projected score leans heavily toward Celta Vigo: 1-3. Expect Pablo Durán Fernández and Borja Iglesias to threaten up front, while Aspas orchestrates with maturity. For Sant Andreu, the main hope lies in set-piece scenarios, with any breakthrough likely coming via second-phase play or a defensive error from Celta. However, the vast difference in depth and firepower is likely to tell over 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Celta Vigo the favourite
| Moneyline | Sant Andreu 13.00 | Celta Vigo 1.20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 7.60 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 1.64 | Under 2.5 2.21 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.84 | No 2.03 | |
Odds unanimously frame Celta Vigo as overwhelming favorites: the away win is as short as 1.20 with several major bookmakers, while the draw and home upset sit at much longer prices. Over 2.5 goals is also the preferred outcome (1.64), reflecting the likelihood of Celta’s forward line converting chances against a less resilient defense. Sant Andreu’s longest odds (13.00) merely reinforce the notion that anything other than a Vigo win would be one of the round’s biggest shocks.
Sant Andreu vs Celta Vigo Over/Under Analysis
- Four of Celta Vigo’s last five games have finished with three or more goals.
- Sant Andreu have conceded at least once in six straight matches.
- Both teams have scored in four of Sant Andreu’s previous six appearances.
- Celta Vigo have kept one clean sheet in their last five—BTTS a credible angle.
Sant Andreu Preview
Sant Andreu’s recent form implies a combative, yet blunt attacking edge: one win, three draws, and two defeats in their last six, with a narrow cup victory over SD Ibiza providing their main highlight. Their last match—a 1-2 defeat to Girona B—adequately reflected their season: defensively industrious, but often lacking a cutting edge in transition. Statistical review reveals a team that leans on compact structure and set piece opportunities, but their low goal tally (four scored from 39 shots over five games) means any defensive lapse against a more clinical opponent will prove costly.
Celta Vigo Preview
Celta Vigo arrive in Barcelona in significantly better shape, with three wins in their last six and a competitive performance against RCD Espanyol their only recent defeat by a one-goal margin. Their robust midfield pivot allows the wide players to push up and overload second balls, while Pablo Durán Fernández and Borja Iglesias provide a dual threat going forward. The Galicians’ game plan is built on organization, counter-pressing triggers, and maximizing ball progression; their 2175 successful passes and 8 goals across five games indicate both control and offensive intent. Their last match—a tense 0-1 loss to Espanyol—was primarily a story of missed chances, not systemic failings, so expect offensive recalibration against Sant Andreu.
Celta Vigo possible starting eleven
- GK: Iván Villar
- DF: Carl Starfelt, Javier Rodríguez Galiano, Marcos Alonso, Sergio Carreira Vilarino
- MF: Oscar Mingueza, Ilaix Moriba, Bryan Zaragoza, Miguel Roman
- FW: Borja Iglesias, Pablo Durán Fernández
Our prediction: Who Wins?
On behalf of TipsGG’s team of experts, our main pick is Celta Vigo to win, with a projected probability of 75 percent, based on our dedicated AI prediction engine and all key performance data. The quality, depth, and competitive experience of Claudio Giráldez’s side, coupled with attacking acumen in the final third, makes them the rational choice. While Sant Andreu will aim to frustrate early, the expected class differential should be evident as the game progresses.
For punters, Celta Vigo & Over 2.5 goals stands as the optimal combination bet for this Copa Del Rey clash.
How to watch Sant Andreu vs Celta Vigo
- When? — 4 December 2025
- Kick-off time: 22:00 CEST
- Where? — Camp Municipal Narcis Sala, Barcelona
- How to watch: Local Spanish broadcasters, streaming platforms with Copa Del Rey rights
- Favorite: Celta Vigo
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Celta Vigo. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
