San Martin Tucuman vs River Plate Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Copa Argentina - 07.06.2025

The Copa Argentina 2025 continues with a compelling Round 2 encounter as San Martin Tucuman faces River Plate on neutral ground at Norway’s historic Brann Stadion, Bergen, on June 7, 2025. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 CEST, bringing together two Argentine teams under the bright Scandinavian lights in a contest rich with narrative, strategy, and significant implications for both sides’ cup ambitions.

River Plate, under the stewardship of Marcelo Gallardo, stand as perennial cup contenders with proven tactical prowess. In contrast, San Martin Tucuman, led by Ariel Martos, approach this tie as spirited underdogs seeking to challenge the dominance of their illustrious rivals on a global stage. Among a talented cast, River Plate’s Franco Mastantuono and Facundo Colidio emerge as players to watch for their form and influence, while San Martin Tucuman look to Ezequiel Cuevas for creative spark. The goalkeepers, Darío Sand and Franco Armani, offer an additional subplot of veteran reliability and leadership from the last line of defense.

River Plate’s most remarkable recent stat is their impressive tally of 14 goals across their last five matches demonstrating a potent offense few squads in Argentina can match.

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San Martin Tucuman vs River Plate predictions

Me best bet: River Plate to win, with over 2.5 total goals.

River Plate’s attacking versatility and depth are on another level compared to San Martin Tucuman, as reflected by their five-match average of nearly three goals per game. With creative midfielders such as Mastantuono and Ignacio Fernández orchestrating attacks, and the dynamic play of forwards like Colidio and Driussi, River’s offensive strategy is built for high-scoring games. On the other hand, San Martin Tucuman’s recent form — two wins, two losses, one draw — signals inconsistency, especially in defending (conceding six goals in their last five).

Styles of play differ significantly: River Plate dominate possession and focus on fluid passing combinations (over 2800 total passes in last five, 2474 completed at 85 percent accuracy), supporting a fast-paced, attacking game. Meanwhile, San Martin Tucuman, often ceding control, look to counter whenever possible but struggle to convert. Notably, both teams exhibit controlled aggression, but Tucuman’s slightly higher yellow card rate (9 versus 6 in five games) hints at possible disciplinary issues under pressure. Ball recoveries and fouls could tip the dynamic: River Plate have committed slightly fewer fouls (62 vs 91 shots faced by River), staying disciplined in transition and minimizing risky set-piece situations.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5 goals
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

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San Martin Tucuman vs River Plate Most recent H2Hs

Throughout their last meetings, the gulf in attacking efficiency becomes evident, with River Plate consistently outscoring San Martin Tucuman and maintaining greater control in midfield, as illustrated by a near-treble in total shot count and clear superiority in pass metrics and set-piece creation. San Martin’s struggles to keep up have led to an accumulation of fouls and disciplinary cautions, factors that historically have tilted the tie toward the more composed River Plate.

🚨Read our full San Martin Tucuman vs River Plate stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• River Plate have scored at least three goals in three of their last five matches.
• San Martin Tucuman have not scored more than two goals in any of their last five fixtures.
• River Plate’s pass accuracy is 85 percent, with nearly 2900 passes completed in the last five matches.
• San Martin Tucuman have averaged almost two yellow cards per recent match.
• River Plate have forced 25 corners in their last five games, underscoring attacking pressure.
• San Martin have won just twice in their last five outings (40 percent win rate).
• River Plate enter with a six-match unbeaten streak before their last defeat.

San Martin Tucuman vs River Plate score prediction: 1-3

Expect River Plate’s attacking trio Mastantuono, Colidio, and Driussi to test San Martin Tucuman’s defensive resolve early. San Martin’s Ezequiel Cuevas may engineer a goal on the counter, especially with River’s aggressive fullbacks risking space behind. However, River’s form, firepower, and midfield superiority should translate into a comfortable win. We anticipate a 3-1 victory for River Plate driven by their established offensive pattern and key contributions from Mastantuono and Colidio.

Pre-game odds and win probability: River Plate the favourite

These odds reflect River Plate’s clear status as favorites. At 1.30, bookmakers are heavily backing Gallardo’s men to progress, given their technical superiority and recent goalscoring record. San Martin’s extended price of 10.00 underlines their status as the underdog, with a draw offering moderate value. The Over 2.5 market (1.65) aligns with River’s attacking data, while BTTS at 1.90 suggests an expectation that San Martin might exploit at least one chance during transitions.

San Martin Tucuman vs River Plate Over/Under Analysis

• River Plate saw Over 2.5 in four of their last five matches.
• San Martin have conceded at least one goal in all of their last five games.
• In the previous five, River Plate have averaged almost three goals scored per match; Tucuman, fewer than one.
• River Plate kept only one clean sheet in their last five chances for a San Martin counter-goal exist.

San Martin Tucuman Preview

San Martin Tucuman’s recent campaign has been marked by inconsistency. Their last five results tell a complex story: a narrow 2-1 win over Quilmes, a confidence-boosting 2-0 against Colegiales, but also defeats to San Miguel and Atletico Atlanta that reveal defensive vulnerabilities. Their inability to put together consecutive wins is a cause for concern, as is their low goal production and high rate of yellow cards. Coach Ariel Martos has relied on a 4-3-3 to maximize counter opportunities, yet their midfield struggles to break up opposition attacks or link effectively with the frontline.

San Martin Tucuman possible starting eleven

River Plate Preview

River Plate have delivered on expectations this season, with dominant attacking displays and clinical finishing. Their last game saw them edge out Universitario de Deportes 1-1 on away ground, but prior results—such as the emphatic 6-2 over Independiente del Valle and the 3-0 rout of Barracas Central reinforce their big-match credentials. Marcelo Gallardo’s 4-4-2 system enables width and supports quick transitions, with Mastantuono, Fernández, and Colidio orchestrating multi-layered attacks. The stability turned in by Armani, and defensive leadership from Casco and Díaz, further cements River’s status as tournament favorites.

River Plate possible starting eleven

The Verdict

The Tips.GG experts strongly back River Plate for this tie. Their quality in attack, tactical structure, and psychological advantage make them clear favorites. While San Martin Tucuman may pose sporadic threats, River’s experience and depth should see them comfortably through. Our AI-powered prediction engine assigns River Plate a 72 percent probability of victory, with a 20 percent chance for a draw and only 8 percent for a San Martin upset. As always, cup competitions can deliver surprises, but all current indicators suggest River Plate will assert their dominance in Bergen.

How to watch San Martin Tucuman vs River Plate

• When? 7 June 2025
• Kick-off time: 20:00 CEST
• Where? Brann Stadion, Bergen
• How to watch: Argentine channels (TV Pública, TyC Sports), international streaming services available in select regions (consult local listings)
• Favorite: River Plate

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