The upcoming Group F encounter between San Jose and Once Caldas in the Copa Sudamericana holds pivotal importance for both squads. With early results placing Once Caldas in a promising second position and San Jose trailing at the bottom, this match represents an opportunity—or perhaps a necessity—for San Jose to revive their campaign. Every point is crucial in a tightly contested group, and San Jose, winless after two rounds, must seek a result at Brann Stadion not only to sustain mathematical hope but also to restore pride after heavy defeats. Conversely, Once Caldas aim to tighten their grip on the qualification spots, building on a superior recent run of form. The venue in Bergen adds an intriguing dimension; both sides must adapt quickly to neutral ground conditions.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Sudamericana 2025, Group F |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23 April 2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 03:30 CEST |
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San Jose vs Once Caldas prediction
Given the form trajectory and structural imbalances revealed in their group matches to date, Once Caldas enter this contest as justifiable favourites. San Jose have suffered heavy defeats (0-2, 0-4, 0-5) and have not convinced defensively or in transition, registering just a single goal in their last five outings. In contrast, Once Caldas demonstrate both attacking fluidity and defensive cohesion—evidenced by their 3-0 and 2-0 victories, and a 50% win rate in the last month.
San Jose’s high count of yellow cards and their struggle with maintaining disciplined shape, especially under sustained pressure, makes them susceptible to conceding early. The Bolivians’ pass accuracy drops steeply in advanced areas, reflective of their difficulties in sustaining possession and building meaningful attacks. Once Caldas, though not without flaws, have balanced midfield play and a forward line led by in-form Dayro Moreno. Expect Once Caldas to press high and exploit San Jose’s discomfort in possession, with set pieces and corners key to their offensive arsenal.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Once Caldas -1 (Asian Handicap) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
San Jose’s excessive fouling and Once Caldas’ ability to draw free kicks may increase set-piece chances. Both teams’ preference for the 4-2-3-1 setup suggests that the midfield battle will be defining, but Once Caldas appear far more equipped for dominance, both in possession and duels.
Team Analysis
San Jose Review:
San Jose’s last five matches tell a stark story: a single win, one draw, and three losses. Their last outing was a 0-2 defeat at home to Always Ready, a match marked by defensive frailty and lack of attacking edge. The heavy 0-4 and 0-5 losses to The Strongest and Fluminense RJ respectively further compound their issues—a leaky defence and little support for isolated forwards. Even in their sole recent win (2-0 vs Independiente Petrolero), possession was often ceded cheaply, and transitions remained disjointed.
Once Caldas Review:
Once Caldas come in on much sturdier footing: four wins in their last eight and only two losses in that stretch, highlighted by a dominant 3-0 home victory over La Equidad and a controlled 2-0 success against U. Espanola. While they stumbled to a 0-2 defeat vs Independiente Medellin, their overall group form (one win and a narrow loss) underlines their credentials for progression. Players like Dayro Moreno and Esteban Beltran inject dynamism, allowing the Colombians to oscillate effectively between patient buildup and incisive counterattacks.
Most recent H2Hs: XXXX dominates
| Statistic | San Jose | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 8 |
| Total shots | 51 | 63 |
| Free kicks | 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks | 20 | 29 |
| Total fouls | 32 | 51 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 81.6% | 91.0% |
| Interceptions | 34 | 29 |
| Offsides | 3 | 8 |
🚨Read our full San Jose vs Once Caldas stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Once Caldas the favourite
| Moneyline | San Jose 3.82 | Once Caldas 1.86 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.43 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.20 | Under 2.5 1.60 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.95 | No 1.81 | |
The markets clearly back Once Caldas, whose impressive away form and attacking efficiency justify the short odds. San Jose’s lengthy odds reflect not just their winless run but also their alarming goal differential. Over 2.5 goals is a fair projection—Once Caldas have shown a clinical edge, while San Jose have leaked goals in clusters. The “No” for both teams scoring is slightly favored, mirroring San Jose’s lack of attacking punch and Once Caldas’ solid defensive record.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Key Players to Watch
San Jose: Joel Lopez Pisano (Midfielder)
Despite the team’s struggles, Lopez Pisano stands out for his creative intent. With 1 goal from midfield in very limited minutes (just 2 recent appearances), he has provided a much-needed spark between the lines. His ability to win free kicks (2 in just 174 minutes) shows a willingness to get on the ball, and San Jose will hope he can extend his influence over a full 90 minutes.
Once Caldas: Dayro Moreno (Forward)
With 4 goals in the last 5 matches, including decisive contributions against La Equidad and U. Espanola, Moreno is central to the Colombian side’s attacking ambitions. He is not just a target man—his movement and clever hold-up play open spaces for others, and his shot tally (10) in five games is a clear threat for San Jose’s beleaguered backline.
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Possible Starting Lineups
San Jose possible starting eleven

- GK: Roberto Rivas
- DF: Augusto Seimandi, Leonardo Urapuca, Luis Torrico, Ariel Juarez
- MF: Joel Lopez Pisano, Josue Mamani, Jorge Añez
- FW: Fernando Arismendi, Raul Becerra, Bruno Vides
Given recent appearances and the 4-2-3-1 formation preferred by coach Dalcio Giovagnoli, expect a conservative back four, with Seimandi the most consistent in defense (4 appearances, 2 yellows as proof of aggressive style). The midfield’s creative responsibility will fall on Lopez Pisano and Añez, who must counter Once Caldas’ pressing. Raul Becerra, despite limited scoring, offers off-ball movement, but the key will be how well the attack can link with the midfield—a challenge so far this group stage.
Once Caldas possible starting eleven

- GK: James Aguirre
- DF: Jorge Cardona, Jaider Riquett, Juan Cuesta, Juan Castano
- MF: Esteban Beltran, Iván Rojas, Alejandro García
- FW: Dayro Moreno, Luis Palacios, Michael Barrios
Once Caldas are expected to stick with their preferred 4-2-3-1, leveraging Aguirre’s distribution from the back (170 passes in 5 games) and a disciplined defensive setup. Beltran and Rojas offer balance in the double pivot, while Alejandro García connects play with impressive pass accuracy. The trio of Barrios, Palacios, and Dayro Moreno provide both pace and guile; Moreno’s form makes him the focal point. This squad is tactically flexible, quick in transition, and likely to exploit San Jose’s defensive gaps.
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Once Caldas. Source: Official Website
The Verdict
Once Caldas have the momentum and quality to capitalize against a San Jose side that has been troubled on both tactical and psychological fronts. With superior form, better ball circulation, and an attacking leader in Dayro Moreno, the Colombian club is my main pick for outright victory. The likely scenario is Once Caldas pressing high, generating numerous set-piece opportunities, and punishing a San Jose defence that has already shipped six goals in two group games. As group dynamics gain intensity, expect Once Caldas to assert themselves and step closer to knockout qualification—while San Jose face an uphill struggle to keep their continental adventure alive.
