Arjun Menon
One last home stand for Samsunspor this Süper Lig season, and Goztepe come to town breathing down the necks of the Istanbul giants in the standings. There’s tension. Both sides have found something close to their best form lately. A home win would secure Samsunspor a solid mid-table finish, while Goztepe are hunting for a European spot—just a few points off the pack above. The sides’ last encounter ended with Goztepe taking the points, but Samsunspor have looked reinvigorated in recent weeks, notably smashing four past Galatasaray. Key players? Samsunspor’s Marius Mouandilmadji has been clinical—three goals and two assists in his last five—while Goztepe rely on Juan Santos for attacking spark and hard running.
Hot stat: Samsunspor have scored 9 goals across their last five league games, with a statement 4-1 win over Galatasaray thrown in. Not every mid-table side can claim that.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Süper Lig 2025/26 Regular Season, Turkey |
| 🏟 Venue: | Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Samsunspor vs Goztepe prediction
We think the best value here lies with Both Teams To Score—Yes. Both squads are coming off streaks of goals and rarely manage a clean sheet against anyone competitive. Samsunspor have bagged at least a goal in their last five, while Goztepe have not failed to score in any of their last five outings. The visiting side’s run of draws (3 in last 5) also points toward a wide-open game rather than a shutout.
Neither team is shy with physical play—Samsunspor committed 88 fouls in the last five matches (17 per game), Goztepe 90 (18 per game). Cards? Plenty—16 yellows for Samsunspor, 15 for Goztepe. Expect interruptions, tactical fouling, maybe a bit of frustration, which could mean momentum swings and opportunities from set-pieces. Samsunspor complete more passes (over 1800 in last five), but Goztepe’s direct play can turn games on their head in a flash.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw at Half Time |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Samsunspor’s latest run has been up and down, but the home fans will remember their 4-1 rout of Galatasaray for a long time. That game, full of pressing and quick passing, showed what Thorsten Fink’s men can do when it clicks. They then lost 0-3 to Basaksehir, suggesting inconsistency, but still, in their last five, they beat big clubs like Besiktas and held their own against upper-table opponents. Defensively, though, gaps remain—only one clean sheet in the last five. The front four, with Mouandilmadji and Holse, create plenty. Will they convert against a stubborn Goztepe? Maybe.
Goztepe have built their season on resilience—five unbeaten, but with three draws in that spell. They ground out a 2-1 win over Gaziantep in their most recent match, a tough slog decided late. Scoring comes from different places—Juan Santos remains dangerous, but Arda Kurtulan chips in from midfield and Alexis Antunes sets up teammates. The problem: Goztepe tend to drop points away, and don’t kill games off. Their passing accuracy lags behind the hosts, but their ability to disrupt with fouls and interceptions makes them awkward to play against. Coach Stanimir Stoilov has them organized, but a little predictable going forward.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Samsunspor | Goztepe |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 7 |
| Total shots | 58 | 60 |
| Free kicks | 17 | 8 |
| Corner kicks | 19 | 15 |
| Total fouls | 88 | 90 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 83% | 68% |
| Interceptions | 36 | 35 |
| Offsides | 17 | 8 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Samsunspor vs Goztepe stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Samsunspor the favourite
- Moneyline Samsunspor 2.38 | Goztepe 2.88
- Draw 3.60
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.75
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.72 | No 2.07
Bookies rate Samsunspor a slim favourite. Probably because of their recent home results, especially that demolition of Galatasaray. Goztepe are no pushovers, but their draw streak and away form hold them back a little in the odds. Draw is attractively priced—recent history between these two has been tight, with one win each and a draw in the last three. Over 2.5 goals is almost evens, which feels about right given neither side can defend with confidence. Both Teams To Score is a low price, not much value, but it does seem nailed on with these two.
Possible Starting Lineups
Samsunspor possible starting eleven
- GK: Okan Kocuk
- DF: Yunus Emre Cift, Zeki Yavru, Rick Van Drongelen, Logi Tomasson
- MF: Antoine Makoumbou, Lubomír Šatka, Olivier Ntcham, Carlo Holse, Yalçın Kayan
- FW: Marius Mouandilmadji
Pretty stable selection—no need to overthink. Kocuk starts in goal, with Van Drongelen and Tomasson the likely full-backs. The midfield is a real engine: Makoumbou, Ntcham, Holse, and Kayan all have the legs to press, disrupt, and create. Mouandilmadji is the obvious danger man up top, and he’s got a nose for finding space. Fink will stick with his favoured 4-2-3-1.
Goztepe possible starting eleven
- GK: Mateusz Lis
- DF: Malcom Bokele, Amin Cherni, Allan Godói, Taha Altikardes
- MF: Novatus Miroshi, Anthony Dennis, Arda Kurtulan, Alexis Antunes, Janderson de Carvalho Costa
- FW: Juan Santos
Lis is a lock in goal, with Bokele and Cherni patrolling the flanks and Godói adding muscle in the middle. The midfield sees Miroshi and Dennis as disruptors, with Antunes and Kurtulan to add guile. Janderson and Santos up front are unpredictable—Santos can turn a half-chance into a goal, while Janderson’s movement unsettles defenders. Stoilov should persist with the 4-1-4-1, packing midfield and hoping for a quick break.
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Samsunspor. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We think this will be a frenetic, untidy, compelling match. Both sides play direct, aggressive football, with plenty of turnovers and fouls. Samsunspor’s slightly better ball retention and home crowd give them an edge, but Goztepe’s grit and ability to pinch goals out of nowhere make them dangerous. The TipsGG team leans toward a score draw—2-2 wouldn’t surprise anyone. Over 2.5 goals is a strong play, as is Both Teams To Score. For risk-takers, backing a Draw at HT and goals in the second half might bring in more value.
