Saint Mirren vs Celtic Prediction: 22.11.2025 Scottish Premiership

The Scottish Premiership regular season resumes on November 22, 2025, at St. Mirren Park in Paisley, with Saint Mirren hosting Celtic in a fixture that’s long mirrored the contrasting realities of these two historic clubs. With Celtic chasing Hearts in the table and Saint Mirren battling to climb out of the lower reaches, both teams bring clear motivation. While Celtic’s attacking machine seems to have clicked, Saint Mirren still poses a particular danger at home, especially after their explosive 4-1 win over Motherwell in recent weeks. The tactical chess match between Stephen Robinson’s defensive-minded 4-2-3-1 and Martin O’Neill’s relentless pressing will likely define the rhythm of play.

Among the standout names for this clash, all eyes are on Dan N’Lundulu, whose three goals in his last five games have provided Saint Mirren with a crucial attacking focal point. Celtic’s Johnny Kenny, meanwhile, has enjoyed a prolific run, notching four goals in five matches and consistently threatening defenses with his movement and finishing.

The “hot stat” for this contest? Celtic have amassed an impressive 13 goals and 41 corners in their last five matches, a clear indicator of their intent and dominance in the attacking third.

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Saint Mirren vs Celtic prediction

Given the recent form, squad strength, and attacking firepower, Celtic are deserved clear favorites. With a 66 percent win probability in bookmaker models and recent hard-hitting wins like the 4-0 against Kilmarnock and 3-1 Old Firm success over Rangers, O’Neill’s side are firing on all cylinders offensively. Saint Mirren’s defense, meanwhile, has conceded three or more goals in three of their last five outings – a vulnerability likely to be exploited by a Celtic attack generating an average of 2.6 goals per game across their latest five.

Stylistically, Celtic play with intensity and width, generating over 40 corners in five matches, displaying their focus on wide overloads and second-ball recoveries. Saint Mirren, while defensively solid at times, have amassed nine yellow cards and committed 47 fouls in that same span, revealing their physical and sometimes desperate defending when under pressure – a trait that could lead to set-piece chances for Celtic. Expect Celtic to dominate ball possession, evident from over 2000 passes and a near 84 percent pass accuracy in their last five matches, compared to Saint Mirren’s more modest 959 passes at about 73 percent accuracy.

Team Analysis

Saint Mirren’s recent outings reflect the challenges of inconsistency. Their last five matches featured a solitary win, a pulsating 4-1 home triumph against Motherwell, punctuated by three damaging losses – including a 0-3 defeat to Hibernian and a 1-3 home setback to Dundee United. While N’Lundulu’s dynamic front play was decisive against Motherwell, the team’s defensive fragility surfaced repeatedly with 15 goals conceded in their past 11 league matches. High numbers in the foul and yellow card columns further limit their rhythm and ability to sustain pressure. Alexander Gogić and Miguel Freckleton have provided some stability, but Saint Mirren will need a near-flawless defensive display to keep Celtic at bay.

Celtic, meanwhile, arrive brimming with confidence. Four wins in their last seven, including a dominant 4-0 over Kilmarnock and a statement 3-1 victory over fierce rivals Rangers, illustrate the firepower available to Martin O’Neill. Even the 1-3 midweek European loss to Midtjylland displayed their willingness to attack and commit numbers forward. Johnny Kenny has led the line expertly, with support from creative midfielders Callum McGregor and Arne Engels, while Kieran Tierney and Auston Trusty provide solidity and occasional attacking thrust from the back. Though they lost to Hearts recently, Celtic’s blend of experience (Schmeichel in goal) and explosive youth consistently overwhelms most domestic opponents.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Saint Mirren vs Celtic stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Celtic the favourite

• Moneyline Saint Mirren 6.65 | Celtic 1.43
• Draw 5.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.73 | Under 2.5 2.00
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.16 | No 1.64

The bookmakers’ odds strongly favor Celtic, reflecting both recent form and broader squad quality. With prices hovering around 1.43 for a Celtic victory and up to 6.65 for a Saint Mirren upset, the gulf in quality is clearly recognized by the market. Over 2.5 goals is also favored, consistent with recent high-scoring head-to-heads and Celtic’s offensive stats, while the market seems to lean toward one-sided scoring (BTTS No at 1.64), highlighting trust in Celtic’s defensive edge.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Saint Mirren possible starting eleven

Saint Mirren’s regular 4-2-3-1 will likely be maintained, with Shamal George as the reliable presence in goal. Freckleton and King anchor the back line, both showing consistency in recent weeks. The midfield pairing of Phillips and Baccus offers energy and tackling, while Mandron will support N’Lundulu, whose recent scoring run makes him the focal point of the attack. Alexander Gogić is an all-action midfielder to watch for transitions and late runs into the box.

Celtic possible starting eleven

Celtic are well-drilled in their aggressive 4-2-3-1 system. Schmeichel commands the back, with Tierney and Trusty providing attacking depth from defense. In midfield, McGregor orchestrates and Engels brings industry and creativity. The front three packs pace and technical quality—Kenny is in remarkable form and must be closely watched, while Maeda’s tireless pressing creates space for Nygren to exploit. Expect proactive pressing and quick transitions from this lineup.

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My take on the Match

Prediction: Celtic -1.5 (Asian Handicap)

With Celtic in devastating form, boasting far superior attacking numbers and defensive solidity, the most logical pick remains their win by at least two clear goals. Saint Mirren have struggled against top-half opposition and concede too many set pieces and shots – areas where Celtic excel. Expect O’Neill’s men to push for early control, create danger from corners, and suffocate Saint Mirren’s counterattacks. While the home side may dig in defensively, the quality gap is likely to be telling over 90 minutes.

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