Liam Duckstein
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Hajduk Split travel to Velika Gorica on Matchday 6 of the 1. HNL season carrying real momentum. Sitting fourth in the table with ten points from five games and a goal tally of 11, Gonzalo García’s side have been the most prolific team in the league outside of Dinamo Zagreb. Rudes, on the other hand, are rooted ninth with just three points and a goal difference of minus nine. The gap in quality is stark, but the interesting angle here is that Rudes have already scored six goals in their five league matches, showing they can hurt teams even when losing heavily.
Two players stand out ahead of this fixture. Michele Šego has been outstanding for Hajduk, netting four goals in five appearances while generating seven shots and drawing six fouls. On the Rudes side, Noa Skoko has been the most energetic presence in midfield, contributing a goal, eight free kicks won, and solid defensive work with three interceptions across four matches.
A hot stat worth noting: Hajduk Split have scored 13 goals in their last five matches across all competitions, averaging 2.6 per game. Their attacking output has been consistent regardless of the opponent’s quality.
| 🏆 Tournament: | 1. HNL 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion Radnik, Velika Gorica |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Rudes vs Hajduk Split Prediction
The best value in this match sits with Hajduk Split to win with over 2.5 goals in the game. Hajduk have conceded only five goals in five league outings and have scored at least two in each of their last four competitive matches. Rudes have shipped 15 goals in five league games, a rate that makes Hajduk’s attacking depth look even more dangerous.
Rudes play a 4-2-3-1 shape and commit fouls frequently, averaging over ten per match across their last five games. Their pass accuracy sits at roughly 80%, which is reasonable, but they lose the ball often in dangerous areas. Hajduk also commit fouls at a high rate, 59 in five matches, but they convert that aggression into forward pressure rather than defensive scrambling. With 84 total shots across five matches compared to Rudes’ 41, Hajduk’s dominance in transition should be decisive here.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Hajduk Split to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Rudes have had a difficult start to the 2026/27 campaign. Their last five league matches paint a clear picture of a side struggling against top-half opposition. They were beaten 1-2 by Rijeka, then crushed 1-6 by Osijek and 0-4 by Dinamo Zagreb. A 4-1 victory over Lokomotiva Zagreb gave them their only three points of the season, but they then fell 0-2 to Varazdin in their most recent outing. Alen Peternac’s team has shown fight in patches, particularly in their big win over Lokomotiva, but the defensive numbers are alarming. Conceding 15 goals in five league games is a rate that will only get worse against a side of Hajduk’s calibre.
Hajduk Split have been the standout performers in the early weeks of the season. They opened with a 2-1 win over Gorica, then drew 2-2 with Rakow in European competition before beating Osijek 4-0 in a dominant league performance. A second draw with Rakow followed, but Hajduk responded immediately by beating Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 in their most recent match. Six wins from eight across all competitions in the last 30 days, with two draws and zero defeats, tells you everything about their current confidence. García has built a side that presses high, creates volume in the final third, and defends with reasonable structure.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Rudes | Hajduk Split |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 13 |
| Total shots | 41 | 84 |
| Free kicks | 54 | 54 |
| Corner kicks | 14 | 22 |
| Total fouls | 52 | 59 |
| Interceptions | 31 | 26 |
| Offsides | 2 | 8 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Rudes vs Hajduk Split stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hajduk Split the favourite
- Moneyline Rudes 9.04 | Hajduk Split 1.24
- Draw 5.60
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
The market is in strong agreement on this one. Hajduk Split at around 1.24 to 1.30 reflects their 72% implied win probability according to bookmaker averages. Given their form, squad depth, and Rudes’ defensive fragility, those odds are fair rather than generous. The value, to be honest, is not in the outright winner market but in the goals and corners lines. Hajduk’s 22 corners across five matches versus Rudes’ 14 suggests the corner market over 8.5 is worth targeting. Rudes have scored in four of their five league games despite heavy defeats, which supports the BTTS angle as well.
Possible Starting Lineups
Rudes Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Lovre Rogić
- DF: Vedran Celjak, Marko Stolnik, Bruno Unusic, Ante Susak
- MF: Jurica Poldrugac, Xavier Cabrita Fernandes, Noa Skoko, Ivan Đoric
- FW: Lenny Ilecic, Jakov Blagaić
Rudes are likely to line up in their familiar 4-2-3-1 shape, with Lovre Rogić between the posts after featuring in four of the last five matches. Bruno Unusic and Marko Stolnik have been the most consistent defenders by playing time, while Jurica Poldrugac and Xavier Cabrita Fernandes provide the double pivot. Noa Skoko is the player to watch in midfield, offering energy, press resistance, and direct running. Lenny Ilecic leads the line and has a goal and assist to his name in recent weeks.
Hajduk Split Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Toni Silic
- DF: Dario Marešić, Simun Hrgovic, Ron Raqi, Dario Melnjak
- MF: Alberto del Moral, Adrion Pajaziti, Dalisson De Almeida Leite, Andelo Šutalo
- FW: Michele Šego, Marin Soticek
Hajduk will most likely deploy their 4-2-3-1 system with Toni Silic in goal, who has made ten saves across five matches and logged the most playing time of any goalkeeper in the squad. Dario Marešić anchors the backline with 200 passes completed in five appearances, the highest of any outfield player. Michele Šego is the standout threat up front with four goals in five games, and Marin Soticek has been equally productive with three assists and a goal from his wide forward role. Dalisson De Almeida Leite adds a creative spark from midfield, chipping in with a goal and two assists.
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Hajduk Split. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a comfortable Hajduk Split victory in this one. Rudes have conceded 15 goals in five league matches and face a Hajduk side that has scored 13 times in their last five games across all competitions. The numbers point clearly in one direction.
Rudes’ defensive structure is porous, and their tendency to commit fouls in their own half gives Hajduk set-piece opportunities on top of their already strong open-play creation. With 84 shots generated in five matches, Hajduk create volume as well as quality. We back Hajduk Split to win, with both teams scoring and the total going over 2.5 goals. The hot tip is Hajduk to score in both halves, a market that reflects their sustained attacking pressure throughout full matches rather than bursts of activity.
- Hajduk Split to Win
- Both Teams to Score: Yes
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Hajduk Split to Score in Both Halves
- Over 8.5 Corners
