Sofia Quijada
Rubio Nu and Ameliano meet at Estadio La Arboleda on Matchday 2 of the Clausura, with both sides already under pressure after difficult opening rounds. Rubio Nu lost 0-1 to 2 de Mayo in their first Clausura game and sit at the bottom of the table, while Ameliano drew 1-1 with Nacional Asuncion and occupy a mid-table spot with one point. The bookmakers lean toward Ameliano at 41%, and the recent head-to-head history backs that lean, with Ameliano winning their last meeting 2-1 earlier this year.
Defender Luca Andrea Falabella has been a standout for Ameliano with 101 passes at 95% accuracy in the most recent match, providing a composed base from which Roberto Nanni’s side builds. For Rubio Nu, forward Steven Perez is the most active attacking threat, registering four shots in the last game, and he will need to convert chances if Jeff Strasser’s team are to pick up their first points of the Clausura.
Hot stat: Ameliano have scored in four of their last five matches, while Rubio Nu have failed to score in four of their last five, making the attacking imbalance between these sides one of the most telling numbers heading into this fixture.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Paraguayan Primera Division 2026 Clausura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio La Arboleda, Asuncion |
| 🗓️ Date: | 28.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Rubio Nu vs Ameliano Prediction
Ameliano are the clearer pick here. They carry more attacking output, better pass volume, and a steadier recent form run compared to Rubio Nu, who have won just six of 23 matches in 2026 and have been shut out in the majority of their last five games. Ameliano’s 4-1-4-1 setup allows them to control the midfield and recycle possession efficiently, and their 576 passes with 485 accurate in the last recorded match dwarfs Rubio Nu’s 425 passes at 341 accurate. Rubio Nu average just 1 corner per game in recent outings against Ameliano’s 3, which underlines the territorial gap between the two teams.
Rubio Nu commit fewer fouls per game (7 vs Ameliano’s 9), but their lack of attacking production means that defensive discipline alone will not be enough. Ameliano’s Walter Rodriguez picked up a yellow card and logged three shots in limited time, suggesting an aggressive midfield presence that Rubio Nu’s backline will struggle to contain. We predict Ameliano to win this match, with the scoreline likely staying tight given Rubio Nu’s defensive organization.
- Best bet: Ameliano to Win
- Value pick: Under 2.5 Goals
- Side bet: Ameliano to score in both halves
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Ameliano to Win to Nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 4.5 |
Team Analysis
Rubio Nu have had a difficult stretch across 2026, winning just six times in 23 outings. Their last five matches have produced zero wins, with the sequence featuring heavy defeats to Cerro Porteno (0-2) and 2 de Mayo (0-2 and 0-1), a goalless draw with Sportivo Luqueno, and a 1-1 result against Nacional Asuncion. The only goal they managed in this run came in that draw, which tells you everything about their attacking struggles. Jeff Strasser’s side are compact and disciplined in their own half, but they generate very little going forward, and their 11 total shots across the last recorded match reflects a team that rarely tests goalkeepers. The 0-1 Clausura opener against 2 de Mayo confirmed the trend.
Ameliano’s recent form is considerably more stable. Their last five matches show a mixed but more competitive picture, with a 3-2 win over Recoleta being the standout result. They also drew with Nacional Asuncion (1-1) and Olimpia Asuncion (1-1), lost narrowly to Sportivo Trinidense (1-2) and Guarani (0-1), and opened the Clausura with a 1-1 draw against Nacional. Roberto Nanni’s team have shown they can score against quality opposition, and their passing structure, anchored by Falabella and Julio Gonzalez at the back, gives them a platform to control games. The 12 total shots in the last match, combined with three corners, shows a team that generates consistent pressure.
🚨Check out our dedicated Rubio Nu vs Ameliano stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Ameliano the Favourite
- Moneyline Rubio Nu 3.20 | Ameliano 2.25 (avg)
- Draw 2.82 (avg)
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The moneyline odds at around 3.20 for Rubio Nu reflect their poor form accurately. Ameliano at roughly 2.25 represent reasonable value given their superior passing stats, more consistent scoring record, and the head-to-head edge. The draw at 2.82 is tempting given both sides’ tendency to play tight matches, but Ameliano’s quality advantage makes backing the outright win the smarter call. We lean toward Ameliano to win at the available prices.
Possible Starting Lineups
Rubio Nu Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Tomás Ezequiel Canteros
- DF: Lucas de Jesús Gómez Peralta, Víctor Ramón Cabañas, P. Álvarez, J. Vallejos
- MF: Rodrigo Rojas, William Mendieta, Carlos Giménez
- FW: Steven Perez, Octavio Alfonso, Jorge González
Strasser is likely to set up in a 4-1-4-1 shape, consistent with recent matches. Tomás Ezequiel Canteros starts in goal after featuring in the last outing. The back four of Gómez Peralta, Cabañas, Álvarez, and Vallejos provides the most experienced defensive unit available. Steven Perez is the key attacking reference, having registered four shots in the last match, making him the primary threat to watch. Rodrigo Rojas and William Mendieta provide the midfield legs, though the team’s overall output remains low.
Ameliano Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Á. Sánchez
- DF: Luca Andrea Falabella, Julio González, Fabián Franco, Miguel Benitez
- MF: Valentin Larralde, Walter Rodriguez, Luis María Ayala Bentos, Estivel Moreira
- FW: Luis Ortiz, Raul Ignacio Cabral
Ameliano’s 4-1-4-1 system gives Nanni a solid defensive base and the freedom to push wide midfielders forward. Á. Sánchez made five saves in the last match, showing he is tested but reliable. Luca Andrea Falabella is the standout defender, completing 101 passes at 95% accuracy, and Fabián Franco adds attacking threat from deep with two shots and five interceptions. Walter Rodriguez is the player to watch in midfield, combining pressing intensity with direct shooting. Luis Ortiz leads the attack and will look to exploit the space Rubio Nu’s wide defenders tend to leave.
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Ameliano. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
The numbers point clearly toward Ameliano. Rubio Nu have failed to score in four of their last five matches, carry a 26% win rate across 2026, and lost their Clausura opener without registering a goal. Ameliano, by contrast, have scored in the majority of recent outings, pass the ball with far greater efficiency, and hold a direct head-to-head advantage from earlier this year. We predict Ameliano to win this match, with the total staying under 2.5 goals given Rubio Nu’s inability to generate meaningful attacking output. The Ameliano to Win to Nil market is the pick with the best value on the board.
