Rosenborg vs Hammarby Prediction: 07.08.2025 UEFA Europa Conference League

The UEFA Europa Conference League rarely disappoints when it serves up Scandinavian matchups, and this Third Qualifying Round tie at Trondheim’s Lerkendal Stadion is certainly one to watch. Rosenborg, guided by Alfred Johansson, face a resurgent Hammarby managed by Kim Hellberg. Both sides come into the fixture with a recent wobble, but with enough attacking flair and tactical structure to pose plenty of questions. For Rosenborg, Dino Islamović is the headline-grabber with a red-hot scoring streak, while Hammarby look to the energetic Jusef Erabi for inspiration up front. In midfield, Hammarby’s Nahir Besara has been instrumental, combining technique with key contributions in the final third expect him to test Rosenborg’s pressing shape. Amongst the stats, what truly leaps off the page is Islamović’s staggering 9 goals in just 5 recent appearances, underlining the danger Hammarby’s backline will face.

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Rosenborg vs Hammarby prediction

While the bookmakers narrowly favour Rosenborg, it’s clear this fixture is a close-run thing. Rosenborg’s ability to generate goals if Islamović finds even half a yard will be critical, but Hammarby’s recent form just one defeat in their last six sets up a proper tug-of-war. The best value, in my view, is a “Both Teams to Score” bet. Both clubs have vulnerabilities in defence: Rosenborg conceded four to KFUM Oslo last out, and Hammarby’s defensive lapses saw them let in two against GAIS recently. Both average well above a goal per game, and each set of creative midfielders excels at forcing defensive errors. Neither side is averse to a booking either, with Rosenborg collecting 14 yellows and Hammarby 9 in their last five games, suggesting a feisty, fast-tempo contest. Expect counter-attacking football to feature heavily here Rosenborg’s direct transitions and Hammarby’s expansive wings will both be tested, likely producing an open match with chances both ways.

Team Analysis

Rosenborg: The hosts took a bruising in their most recent outing, falling 1-4 to KFUM Oslo, a sobering result after dispatching Banga with two blistering wins (5-0, 2-0). Islamović was on fire in those triumphs, benefitting from the high number of chances Rosenborg created 52 total shots in five matches is no mean feat. There are concerns, though: the back four looked stretched against KFUM Oslo, and while their 14 yellow cards show plenty of bite, discipline could be a concern against a slick-passing Hammarby. The Lerkendal crowd will demand a response; look for Rosenborg to press higher early and increase tempo to exploit the furthest lines of Hammarby’s formation.

Hammarby: Kim Hellberg’s side are perhaps the more balanced outfit of the pair. Despite a frustrating 1-1 draw versus Charleroi, Hammarby racked up 72 shots across their last five matches a signal that their output from wide areas and Besara’s runs beyond the forwards remain a threat. Jusef Erabi stays the main reference point in the box, but with just 9 goals from all that volume, there’s room for better efficiency. Defensively, they’re steadier than Rosenborg, evidenced by fewer yellows and fouls (28 total in 5 matches), but the attack-first instinct sometimes leaves pockets for counter-attacks. Expect them to use ball retention in midfield to try to quieten the home support, looking to isolate Rosenborg full-backs with Madjed and Besara’s movement.

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🚨Read our full Rosenborg vs Hammarby stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Rosenborg the favourite

• Moneyline Rosenborg 2.30 | Hammarby 2.80
• Draw 3.28
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.99 | Under 2.5 1.84
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.59 | No 2.18

The odds reflect a slight nod towards home advantage for Rosenborg, but Hammarby’s away win price is tempting given their all-round strength and recent form. The short price on both teams to score mirrors what both sides have shown this year: creative, attack-minded football, but neither has truly shut up shop at the back. Draw’s pricing at above 3.20 highlights the bookies’ anticipation of an open, competitive fixture rather than a grind.
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Possible Starting Lineups

Rosenborg possible starting eleven

Johansson is likely to stick with the 4-1-4-1, banking on Selnaes’s composure in midfield and the tireless running of the Konradsen brothers out wide. Dino Islamović leads the line after his electric scoring run his ability to press and finish is Rosenborg’s best weapon. Watch for Aslak Fonn Witry’s overlapping runs and set-piece involvement as a potential game-changer.

Hammarby possible starting eleven

Kim Hellberg’s favoured 4-3-3 gets the nod, aiming for control in midfield and fluidity up front. Besara links play and provides a creative spark, while Erabi’s direct runs stretch the defence. Expect Victor Eriksson’s reliability at the back and the pace of Madjed to prove vital, coupled with plenty of width high up the pitch in attack transitions.

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The Verdict

I’m backing a thrilling contest with goals at both ends, but there’s a sense Hammarby’s greater consistency in build-up and ball circulation may edge the midfield battle. If Rosenborg can recapture their Banga form and channel the Lerkendal atmosphere, this becomes a true toss-up but Hammarby’s recent away form and disciplined pressing could just tilt it in their favour. Main pick: Both Teams to Score (Yes), with a lean towards Hammarby on the handicap line for value.

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